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One Bank Believes It Found The Identity Of Who Is “Propping Up The Bitcoin Market”

Back in May when the Chinese domination over Bitcoin was ending, we predicted that it would shift over to Japan, specifically, we said that “just as the Chinese bubble frenzy in bitcoin is fading, it may be replaced with a new one, in which thousands of Mrs. Watanabe traders shift their attention away from the […]


Deutsche: “We Are Almost At The Point Beyond Which There Will Be No More Bubbles”

Whereas many Wall Street strategists enjoy simplifying their stream of consciousness when conveying their thoughts to their increasingly ADHD-afflicted audience, the same can not be said for Deutsche Bank’s Aleksandar Kocic, who has a troubling habit of requiring a background and competency in grad level post-modernist literature as a prerequisite for his articles among the […]


Government Watchdog Warns Market Crash Risk Rising: “One-Sixth Of All Hedge Funds Are 15x Leveraged”

One wonders if the Fed ever reads the reports issued by the Office of Financial Stability, which does a surprisingly good job of laying out the risks facing the market at any one time, which incidentally are far greater than various Fed presidents would care to admit. If it did, it would learn from the […]


Lessons From The GFC – Beware The Next ‘Soft Landing’ Calls

Authored by Constantin Gurdgiev via Manning Financial, Recent months have seen a steady and growing flow of institutional investors', and market analysts', and researchers' warnings about the medium-term sustainability of the financial assets prices. Both, the IMF and the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) have documented evidence on the buildup of systemic imbalances across the […]


Signs Of The Top? Chinese Demand For 10x Levered Structured Products Surges In US… Again

In the run up to the ‘great recession’ of 2008/2009, it was unsuspecting European and Asian buyers that supplied the marginal capital required to turn America’s plain vanilla, fed-induced housing bubble into a turbo-charged, global financial time bomb by indiscriminately scooping up highly-levered structured mortgage products with absolutely no idea what was behind those products. […]


“People Ask, Where’s The Leverage This Time?” – Eric Peters Answers

One of the Fed’s recurring arguments meant to explain why the financial system is more stable now than it was 10 years ago, and is therefore less prone to a Lehman or “Black monday”-type event, (which in turn is meant to justify the Fed’s blowing of a 31x Shiller PE bubble) is that there is […]


“This Doesn’t End Well”: SocGen Explains Why US Balance Sheets Are Far Worse Than They Appear

Reverting to one of his favorite topics – namely how the application of a statistical average of a sharply bimodal sample tends to muddle the resulting signal, something Ray Dalio expounded on as recently as last month– on Monday morning, SocGen’s Andrew Lapthorne explains not only why the true story of US corporate balance sheets […]


What Risk: Deutsche Bank Ramps Up Loans Business In Desperate Scramble For Profit

We have some sympathy for John Cryan, but only to the extent that he has the near impossible task of putting the biggest German bank back on a sound footing regaining market share and generating some elusive revenue growth: a virtually impossible task as long as Europe is choked by NIRP. As we noted two […]


Saudi Wealth Fund Aims To Double AUM To $400 Billion By 2020 – Discovers Leverage Boosts Returns

Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund, a key engine of the kingdom’s plan to diversify the economy, on Wednesday laid out new targets for growth, saying it aims to nearly double the value of assets it manages to around $400 billion by 2020. That sum includes the expected proceeds from the planned initial public offering of […]


Leverage On US LBOs Is The Highest Since The Financial Crisis

There was a brief period of sober rationality during the current central bank-facilitated, market reflation phase, when Private Equity shops decided they had no desire to chase artificially inflated valuations, especially since their currency – cash – did not benefit in the same was a strategic acquirors did, whose own stock had increased alongside that […]


Levered Loan Volumes Soar Past 2007 Levels As “Cov-Lite” Deals Surge

If a surge in covenant-lite levered loans is any indication that debt and equity markets are nearing the final stages of their bubbly ascent, then perhaps now is a good time for investors to take their profits and run.  As the Wall Street Journal points out this morning, levered loans volumes in the U.S. are […]


The Cost Of Market Crash Insurance Just Hit A Record High

With the VIX surging, and then quickly getting pummeled on two occasions in the past three weeks, dizzy traders could be forgiven to assume that any latent “risk off” threat, whether from North Korea or the US political front, has been taken off the table. However, a deeper look inside the vol surface reveals something […]


Fed’s Kaplan Admits Stock Valuations Are Elevated, But He’s Not Worried For One Reason

There were two explicit warnings about stock market valuations in the latest Fed Minutes: first, the Fed warned that “vulnerabilities associated with asset valuation pressures had edged up from notable to elevated, as asset prices remained high or climbed further, risk spreads narrowed, and expected and actual volatility remained muted in a range of financial […]


BofA: “2018 Is When Bond Investors Again Get Very Concerned About Fundamentals”

One week ago, we closed the book on the long-running debate whether gross (and net) leverage is the highest on record, when we showed a chart from Goldman according to which net debt/EBITDA for all companies (with or without energy) is the highest on record, surpassing the previous credit bubble peak by nearly 0.3x turns. […]