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Stock Market Bubbles In Perspective (Or Why “This Won’t End Well”)

Authored by Howard Ma via Meritocracy Capital, Last week marked the 9th anniversary of the collapse of Lehman Brothers. It was one of the biggest milestones of the Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) that began approximately a year earlier in 2007. Corporate earnings were abnormally weak during the GFC. I bring that up because a much […]


Government By Goldman

Authored by Gary Rivlin and Michael Hudson via The Intercept, in partnership with The Investigative Fund, Steve Bannon was in the room the day Donald Trump first fell for Gary Cohn. So were Reince Priebus, Jared Kushner, and Trump’s pick for secretary of Treasury, Steve Mnuchin. It was the end of November, three weeks after Trump’s […]


The New ‘Scariest Chart In The World’

While “worst since Lehman” has become ubiquitous and central bankers’ experimentations have left us with many “all-time” record extremes from asset values to inequality, we suspect the following chart from Deutsche Bank is about to become the new “world’s scariest chart.” “Worst Since Hitler”… The last time “Populism” surged this fast to this level of […]


BIS Finds Global Debt May Be Underreported By $14 Trillion

In its latest annual summary published at the end of June, the IIF found that total nominal global debt had risen to a new all time high of $217 trillion, or 327% of global GDP… … largely as a result of an unprecedented increase in emerging market leverage. While the continued growth in debt in […]


Forget The Hype: Public Infrastructure Generates Waste, Fraud And Abuse

Authored by Steve H. Hanke of the Johns Hopkins University. Follow him on Twitter @Steve_Hanke. Economic policy is subject to fads and fashions. The most recent economic-policy fad is public infrastructure. Its advocates include progressives on the “left” and populists on the “right.” It is an undefined hallmark of President Trump’s economic program. They all […]


Could Market Complexity Trigger The Next Crash?

Complex systems are all around us. By one definition, a complex system is any system that features a large number of interacting components (agents, processes, etc.) whose aggregate activity is nonlinear (not derivable from the summations of the activity of individual components) and typically exhibits hierarchical self-organization under selective pressures. In today’s infographic from Meraglim we use […]


Fathom Consulting: “There Is A Bubble In Everything Except Housing”

Presented with minimal comments, the following 'picture' from Fathom Consulting paints a thousand words of unsustainability and delusion… h/t @Schuldensuehner While we agree with most of the chart above's content, we note that the call on the 'housing' non-bubble all depends on which market you are looking at…   Of course, the charts above are […]


“The Ratio Is Lliterally Off The Chart”: Measuring The Real Bond Bubble

Submitted by Francseco Filia of Fasanara Capital Measuring the Bond Bubble A key conviction of ours is that we live through a Twin Bubble in asset markets: an Equity Bubble, particularly in the US, and a Bond Bubble, particularly in Europe. We know how we got here: the irresistible push of 10 years of massive passive […]


“The Ratio Is Literally Off The Chart”: Measuring The Real Bond Bubble

Submitted by Francseco Filia of Fasanara Capital Measuring the Bond Bubble A key conviction of ours is that we live through a Twin Bubble in asset markets: an Equity Bubble, particularly in the US, and a Bond Bubble, particularly in Europe. We know how we got here: the irresistible push of 10 years of massive passive […]


For The First Time Since January 2016, The Market Volatility Regime Finally Snapped

August 17 marked the first time since January 16 when global equity, rates, commodity and FX vols all moved in the same direction.  At the same time, short-dated cross asset correlation continued to rise reaching a level of 50%, its highest level in over 1y. For months on end, traders, analysts and pundits have been […]


Central Banks Have Purchased $2 Trillion In Assets In 2017

In his latest “flow report”, BofA’s Michael Hartnett looks at the “Disconnect Myth” between rising stocks and bonds and summarizes succinctly that there is “no disconnect between stocks & bonds.” Why? The best, and simplest, explanation for low yields & high stocks is simple: so far in 2017 there has been $1.96 trillion of central […]


Using Gold To Hedge Korea Nuclear War Risk? This Is How To Do It, According To Goldman

In a note on the role of gold as a “geopolitical hedge of last resort“, Goldman chief commodities strategist, Jeff Currie, writes that while it is tempting to blame the rally in gold prices on recent events in North Korea – which have certainly helped create a bid in gold – they only explain a […]


Caught On Tape: Mexican Authorities Take On Drug Cartel In Yet Another “Military Style” Shootout

Via StockBoardAsset.com, In part one of this series called: ‘Why America Needs a Wall’, we showed a video of an intense firefight between Government forces and drug cartel members. The widespread death and destruction rippling through Mexico this year is not widely being reported by the mainstream media.  In the first 6-months of 2017, more […]


Out-Of-Towners Whine About “The Militarization Of The Hamptons”

The town of Southampton, with its 55,000 year-round residents and vaunted reputation as a summertime playground for wealthy New Yorkers, now has its very own counterterrorism squad. And unsurprisingly, it’s making the out-of-towners nervous. At least that’s what Joe Nocera, a former New York Times columnist who now writes for Bloomberg View, suggested in a […]


Weekend Reading: Harvey & The Broken Window Fallacy

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, As the waters recede from “Hurricane Harvey,” the rebuilding efforts begin. It will take quite some time before Houston fully recovers from the tragedy, but recover we will. Hopefully, lessons were learned by a city government that has avoided dealing with the drainage and flooding problems for far too […]