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Stockman Slams “Bubble Finance And The Era of No-See-Um Recessions”

Authored by David Stockman via Contra Corner blog, Today's single most dangerous Wall Street meme is that there is no risk of a stock market crash because there is no recession in sight. But that proposition is dead wrong because it's a relic of your grandfather's economy. That is, a reasonably functioning capitalist order in which the […]


Morgan Stanley Turns Apocalyptic On Credit: “A Cycle Turn Is Closer Than Many Believe”

While many have repeatedly warned over the past year that the record gains in credit are simply too good to stay – especially in Europe where yields and spreads have collapsed largely thanks to the ECB’s relentless purchases of corporate debt, with the central bank announcing on Monday it held a record €127.7bn in bonds […]


Stockman Warns “Mind The Junk” – This Ain’t Your Grandfather’s Capitalism

Authored by David Stockman via Contra Corner blog, The financial system is loaded with anomalies, deformations and mispricings – outcomes which would never occur on an honest free market. For example, the junk bond yield at just 2% in Europe is now below that of the "risk-free" US treasury bond owing solely to the depredations of the ECB. Indeed, […]


Are “Happy Days” In Credit Over? According To BofA, Just One Thing Matters

Just one month ago, we showed a chart according to which the corporate bond spreads as tracked by the BofA/ML Corporate Master Index had tumbled to a level not seen since July 2007…   … while European high yield bonds have sunk below 2%, a head-scratching plunge in European “high” yields. As we have observed […]


Leverage On US LBOs Is The Highest Since The Financial Crisis

There was a brief period of sober rationality during the current central bank-facilitated, market reflation phase, when Private Equity shops decided they had no desire to chase artificially inflated valuations, especially since their currency – cash – did not benefit in the same was a strategic acquirors did, whose own stock had increased alongside that […]


Herbalife Surges After Announcing $600MM Stock Buyback, Failed LBO Transaction

One week after Herbalife stock tumbled following concerns of yet another Chinese crackdown on multi-level marketing scheme, Carl Icahn has struck again, squeezing his nemesis Bill Ackman who continues to be short the name, after Herbalife announced on Monday morning that while the company had tried and failed to pursue an LBO, it has instead […]