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Buffett’s Wrong – Why Market Valuations Are Not Justified By Low Interest Rates

As is his way, Billionaire investor Warren Buffett calmed an anxious nation earlier this month with his comments that: "Valuations make sense with interest rates where they are." And it seemed to work as stocks hit new record highs and Americans have never, ever been more sure that stocks will continue rising for the next […]


Weekend Reading: $7 Trillion To Manipulate Prices

Authoreed by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, As the stock market continues to press new highs, the level of optimism climbs with it. I discussed yesterday Richard Thaler’s, a recent recipient of the Nobel Price in Economics, comments about not understanding the current “irrationality of investors relating to their investing behavior.” What is interesting is that […]


Rationality Versus The Market

Rationality Versus The Market Posted with permission and written by John Rubino, Dollar Collapse   The late stages of financial bubbles are always tough for rational analysts. Focused as they are on the numbers, such analysts are relatively immune to the emotion that drives the action at market extremes, so they find themselves making predictions […]


Weekend Reading: Bull Market In Complacency

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, With the market recently breaking above 2500, there seems to be nothing to dampen the bullish exuberance. The recent run, which has largely been focused on areas in the market with the most sensitivity to tax cuts, has exploded over the last two weeks to record highs. That explosion […]


Bull Trap: The False Promise Of Tax Cuts

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Last week, I did a fairly extensive analysis on the release of the 9-page “Trump Tax Cut” plan.  The most important aspect of that discussion was the difference between 1982, the last time there was permanent tax reform, as compared to today. “Comparing Trump’s economic policy proposals to those […]


Hussman Eyes The Market’s “Remarkable Moment Of Blissful Delusion”

"The present moment of blissful delusion is remarkable to witness. Take it in…" says John Hussman of Hussman Funds. In the following few words and updated charts, Hussman exposes the farce even further… The first chart below updates our variant of Robert Shiller’s cyclically-adjusted P/E (CAPE), where we’ve adjusted the measure to account for variation […]


Weekend Reading: Tax Cut Wish List

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, On Wednesday, the President announced his plan to cut taxes for Americans, return jobs to America and return the country to economic prosperity. It’s a tall order to fill, and the proposed tax reform is a “Christmas Wish List” that will have to checked twice to determine which parts […]


Weekend Reading: Yellen Takes Away The Punchbowl

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, September 20th, 2017 will likely be a day that goes down in market history. It will either be remembered as one of the greatest achievements in the history of monetary policy experiments, or the beginning of the next bear market or worse. Given the Fed’s inability to spark either […]


Stock Market Bubbles In Perspective (Or Why “This Won’t End Well”)

Authored by Howard Ma via Meritocracy Capital, Last week marked the 9th anniversary of the collapse of Lehman Brothers. It was one of the biggest milestones of the Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) that began approximately a year earlier in 2007. Corporate earnings were abnormally weak during the GFC. I bring that up because a much […]


Weekend Reading: They’re Baaaccckkk!

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, I remember the first time I saw the movie “Poltergeist.” It scared the $*#@ out of me, and I slept with the lights on for a month. Recently, I got a chance to catch a rerun. It certainly wasn’t the same experience. It was kind of like eating a […]


“Everyone’s In The Pool”

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, With the market breaking out to all-time highs, the media has started to once again reach for their party hats as headlines suggest clear sailing for investors ahead. After all, why not?  We have run one of the longest stretches in history without a 5%, much less a 10% […]


Weekend Reading: The “Real” Vampire Squid

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, First, it was Hurricane “Harvey” and an expected $180 billion in damages to the Texas coastline. Now, “Irma” is speeding her way to the Florida coastline dragging “Jose” in her wake. Those two hurricanes, depending on where they land will send damages higher by another $100 billion or more […]


Van Halen, M&Ms, And The Next Market Downturn

Authored by Adam Taggart via PeakProsperity.com, The planet-sized egos of rock & roll performers are legendary. Few things symbolize this better than the outrageous requests they often make when on tour. These requests are referred to as "riders", and appear in the contract a tour venue receives in advance of the artist's arrival. These contract […]


Weekend Reading: Harvey & The Broken Window Fallacy

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, As the waters recede from “Hurricane Harvey,” the rebuilding efforts begin. It will take quite some time before Houston fully recovers from the tragedy, but recover we will. Hopefully, lessons were learned by a city government that has avoided dealing with the drainage and flooding problems for far too […]


Weekend Reading: Storm Warning

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, No, I am not talking about “Hurricane Harvey” which will likely be the first hurricane to strike the Texas coast since 2008, but rather the potential for another “debt ceiling” debacle brewing in Washington. Just recently, Goldman Sachs raised its odds for a government shutdown from 33% to 50% which […]