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What’s Keeping The German Grand Coalition Talks Alive?

Authored by Mike Shedlock via www.themaven.net/mishtalk, After rejecting a Grand Coalition, SPD's Sigmar Gabriel seeks to keep the hopes alive despite little party support. Why? Background Heading into the last election, SPD failed to distinguish itself. Voters reacted appropriately, abandoning SPD, leading to its worst performance ever. When SPD initially declined the opportunity to form […]


Bill Blain: “Germany Is On Fire: How Long Until Bundesbank Demands Rate Hikes To Cool It?”

Blain’s Morning Porridge – November 27th 2017, submitted by Bill Blain of Mint Partners Germany – not solved and likely to prove an even larger problem.. “El castillo, le torre yo soy, le espada que guarda el caudal. Another massive shopping day – Cyber Monday. Let’s see if the declining footprint into US malls confirms […]


In Dramatic Rebound, Euro, DAX Recover All Losses; “Is Strong Government Overrated?” SocGen Asks

Having tumbled 80 pips to a one week low in kneejerk response to the late Sunday news that Angela Merkel had failed to form a government following the collapse of the “Jamaica Coalition” talks – when the Free Democratic Party walked out, saying the differences with the Green party were too great to bridge – […]


Merkel Facing “Night Of The Long Knives” On Coalition Talks

In October, Merkel won what was dubbed as the “nightmare victory” in the German elections. The weaker expected showing from the CDU/CSU forced her into complicated coalition negotiations with the FPD and the Greens. This process is coming to a head due to tomorrow’s self-imposed deadline to find enough common ground to press forward with […]


SocGen: “If Anyone Thought That Populism Isn’t A Threat To EU, Today’s Vote Is A Wake-up Call”

Earlier today, we said that as more sellside commentary on today’s startling German election result came out, the knives would be out for the Euro. Sure enough, that’s precisely what happened, and nobody captures the sour mood better than SocGen’s FX strategist Kit Juckes who writes that “if the election of President Macron suggested to […]


In Major Disappointment, Merkel Wins German Election Despite Worst Result Since 1949; AfD Surges To Enters Parliament

The German polls have officially closed, and the first exit polls numbers come in, confirming the expected fourth victory for Angela Merkel’s CDU/CSU, however getting a unexpectedly low 32.5% of the vote, which according to Europe Elects was the worst result for Merkel’s CDU/CSU (EPP) since 1949. Merkel’s main challenger, the SPD, got 20%, also […]


In Major Disappointment, Merkel Wins German Election Despite Worst Result Since 1949; AfD Surges To Enter Parliament

The German polls have officially closed, and the first exit polls numbers come in, confirming the expected fourth victory for Angela Merkel’s CDU/CSU, however getting a unexpectedly low 32.5% of the vote, which according to Europe Elects was the worst result for Merkel’s CDU/CSU (EPP) since 1949. Merkel’s main challenger, the SPD, got 20%, also […]