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China To Overtake US As World’s Largest Economy By 2032

Even as China’s credit-fueled boom – which helped it surpass Japan in 2011 to become the world’s second-largest economy – is losing its efficacy as new credit creation is now failing to drive economic growth as we pointed out last week (and many times before that), many economists believe it will eventually surpass its western […]


Citi’s “What If?” Scenarios: Part 2

Yesterday we published the first set of 7 “What If” scenarios that didn’t make it into the Citi Credit team’s (already rather gloomy) year-ahead forecast. Because while Citi’s “base case” was clearly bearish (our summary can be found here), what was left unsaid was even more unsettling, if not troubling. As the bank’s credit team […]


“Chrislam” – Europe Folds To The Islamization Of Christmas

Authored by Soeren Kern via The Gatestone Institute, The re-theologizing of Christmas is based on the false premise that the Jesus of the Bible is the Jesus (Isa) of the Koran. This religious fusion, sometimes referred to as "Chrislam," is gaining ground in a West that has become biblically illiterate. A school in Lüneburg postponed […]


EU Militarizes Africa To Halt Migration

Authored by Finian Cunningham via The Strategic Culture Foundation, Fighting terrorism is now morphing into clamping down on human migration, as far as the European Union is concerned. France’s President Emmanuel Macron is leading the charge, claiming at a conference in Paris last week that terrorism and human trafficking are part of the same problem, […]


This Is The Core Problem Facing Every Investor Today

Authored by Ben Hunt via Epsilon Theory blog, The Three-Body Problem As much as I dislike the chickens on our farm, I love my bees. Do they sting? Of course they sting. The swarm is a wild animal. But after a few painful years I’m no longer a ham-handed goofball with my hives, and a […]


Nikki Haley Holds “Friendship Party” For Countries That Supported US In UN Israel Vote

Though at first glance it sounds straight out of The Onion, Nikki Haley has formally invited the 64 countries who either voted 'against' or abstained (or just didn't show up) for Thursday's UN General Assembly vote on the Jerusalem resolution to a "friendship" party. Hours after Haley tweeted “We appreciate these countries for not falling to the irresponsible ways of the UN," […]


Sharing Risks To Counter Germany’s Plans Seeing Target2 Collaterilazation With Gold Reserves

Marcello Minenna, a division head at the Italian securities regulator, emailed his plan to "Cure the Eurozone". Despite being quite soft (there will not be permanent transfers between Member States), the recent proposals of the European Commission to deepen integration in the economic and monetary union could meet the opposition of Germany as soon as […]


Nigeria, Venezuela, & USA – “We’re Worse Off Today Than 50 Years Ago”

Fifty years ago, the world was a very different place. PCs and smartphones were the stuff of Sci-Fi and numerous nations found themselves at crucial crossroads in their evolution. While Russia and US could arguably be back in another Cold War, Pew Research asked 43,000 around the world whether life is better (or worse) now […]


“A Stunning Rebuke”: 128 Nations Support UN Call For Trump To Withdraw Jerusalem Decision

One day after Trump escalated his war of words with the UN, threatening to cut off foreign financial aid over today’s UN vote on the president’s decision to recognize Jerusalem the capital of Israel, the United Nations on Thursday delivered what has been dubbed a “stunning rebuke” of the US President’s Jerusalem decision, voting overwhelmingly […]


“In The End, There Was Absurdity” – The Great Crash Of 2018?

Authored by Tuomas Malinen, op-ed via Huffington Post, Crises always take longer to arrive than you think, and then happen much quicker than they ought to. – Rudiger Dornbusch An eerie calm has taken over the world markets. Volatility is crashing, and economic and political shocks come and go without any noticeable effect on the […]


Dow 25,000 In Sight As Tax Cuts Are “Priced In” One Last Time

Dow futures are up some 80 points this morning after early on Wednesday morning the Senate passed the Tax Reform bill in a party-line vote, and is now set to become law after a follow-up vote in the House and Trump’s signature some time on Wednesday afternoon. The good news is that the biggest political […]


In Latest Blow For Uber, EU High Court Rules Company Must Be Regulated As Taxi Service

In another major blow to Uber’s ability to operate profitably within the European Union, the EU’s highest court ruled on Wednesday that the ride-hailing app company is, in fact, a transportation company, and its drivers should be subjected to all pertinent regulations for taxi and livery-cab drivers. The decision opens the US ride-hailing app up […]


The Depression Of The 1930s Was An Energy Crisis

Authored by Gail Tverberg via Our Finite World blog, Economists, including Ben Bernanke, give all kinds of reasons for the Great Depression of the 1930s. But what if the real reason for the Great Depression was an energy crisis? When I put together a chart of per capita energy consumption since 1820 for a post […]


Merkel’s Last Stand – Article 7 For Poland

Authored by Tom Luongo, As she fights for her political life Soon-to-be-ex-Chancellor of Germany Angela Merkel will go down swinging against her stiffest political opponents in the European Union, the Poles. Merkel and French President Emmanual Macron publicly agreed to back Article 7 proceedings against Poland for refusing to comply with EU immigration quotas and […]


Global Stocks Roar To Record Highs As Tax Reform Is “Priced In” All Over Again

Global stocks and US equity futures roared upward to new record highs to start the second-to-last week of the year, boosted by optimism over a Republican agreement on the shape of U.S. tax cuts aimed at lifting growth; incidentally this is the 6th consecutive day that the “tax bill” has been priced in by the […]