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How The Asset Bubble Could End – Part 1

Authored by Pater Tenebrarum via Acting-Man.com, Another Shoeshine Boy Moment We recently pondered the markets while trying out our brand-new electric soup-cooling spoon (see below). We are pondering the markets quite often lately, because we believe tail risk has grown by leaps and bounds and we may be quite close to an important juncture, i.e.,  […]


Bloomberg Pronounces The Early Death Of The Traditional Long-Short Hedge Fund Model

Bloomberg has apparently just taken it upon itself to pronounce the early, unceremonious demise of the traditional Long/Short Hedge Fund model after seemingly declaring that stocks will continue to march higher in perpetuity, with minimal volatility, thus rendering traditional financial analysis and stock picking about as obsolete as a Motorola pager from 1982.  Of course, […]


A “New Era” In Chinese Regulation Means Turmoil For $15 Trillion In China’s “Shadows”

The post-Party Congress attempts to deleverage and crack down on the worst abuses in China’s horrific credit bubble – especially the country's $15 trillion in wealth-management products – saw China’s authorities turn their sights on shadow banking and wealth management products (WMPs) specifically. On their way out are "guaranteed returns" and “capital pools”, which had […]


Norway’s $1 Trillion Wealth Fund Suddenly Considers Dumping $35 Billion Of Oil And Gas Stocks

One of the world’s largest sovereign wealth funds, and one which ironically amassed the overwhelming majority of their wealth via rich oil reserves, is now looking to sell off some $35 billion worth of energy stocks.  According to central bank Deputy Governor Egil Matsen, the move is intended simply to “spread the risks for the […]


Bank Of America: “This Is A Clear Sign Of Irrational Exuberance”

The latest monthly Fund Manager Survey by Bank of America confirmed what recent market actions have already demonstrated, namely that, as BofA Chief Investment Strategist Michael Hartnett explained, there is a “big market conviction in Goldilocks leading to capitulation into risk assets” while at the same time sending Fund managers’ cash levels to a 4-year […]


“How To Forecast Markets”: A Departing Top JPMorgan Strategist Reveals What He Learned After 30 Years

One of the most popular JPMorgan analysts, traders and commentators, Jan Loeys, head of global asset strategy and author of the weekly “The JPMorgan View” piece is moving on (to a different, non-client facing part of the company), and is using his last weekly address to JPM clients to recap the main lessons he has […]


Tech Stocks Accounted For 75% Of The Market’s October Return

For some context on the unprecedented dominance of the tech sector on the overall market, here is some perspective from BofA’s Savita Subramanian on October returns, when Tech continued to lead the other ten sectors, generating +7.8% on a total return basis. This translates into a whopping 75% of the S&P 500’s return last month! […]


The “Fat Pitch” & Miss

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, While I remain long and invested in the markets on behalf of my clients, I focus and write about the significant risks that are currently present. I am fully aware a laissez-faire attitude towards these risks is ultimately likely to destroy large portions of my clients hard-earned, and irreplaceable, […]


One More Trader Capitulates: “It’s A Bubble, Buy It”

"The world is full of bubbles," warns former fund manager Richard Breslow but that shouldn't stop you from buying 'em. In the latest capitulation of a former realist, Breslow's confessional clarifies what many, many market participants clearly believe (and what Goldman called "unusually bullish"), "The reality is, you don’t have to like equities to buy […]


Jack Bogle Slams Wall Street’s “Unrealistic” Earnings Guesses, Says Market Valuations “Rather High”

88-year-old investing icon John "Jack" Bogle, founder of the Vanguard Group, says that the market seems to be "fully valued," and suggests investors adjust their asset allocation. In an interview with The Street, Bogle said: "The valuations of stocks are, by my standards, rather high," adding that "my standards, however, are high." When considering stock […]


Mapping The World’s Trillion-Dollar Asset-Manager Club

In the late 1700s, it was the start of the battle of stock exchanges: in 1773, the London Stock Exchange was formed, and the New York Stock Exchange was formed just 19 years later. And while London was a preferred destination for international finance at the time, Visual Capitalist's Jeff Desjardins notes that England also […]


Hard Assets In An Age Of Negative Interest Rates

Authored by Marcia Christoff-Kurapova via The Mises Institute, Time is the soul of money, the long-view – its immortality. Hard assets are forever, even when destroyed by the cataclysms of history. It is the outlook that perpetuated the most competent and powerful aristocracies in continental Europe, well up through World War I and, in certain […]


A $1.5 Trillion “Quantamental” Market Opportunity

While the debate rages if retail investors have eased on their boycott of the stock market, making it increasingly difficult for institutional investors to dump their holdings of risk assets to Joe and Jane Sixpack even as active investors continue to suffer unprecedented redemptions amid a historic shift from active to low-cost, factor-driven passive management, […]


Warning: Danger Lurks Here

By Chris at www.CapitalistExploits.at Take a look at the volume of stocks listed vs. indexes listed going all the way back to the days of bellbottoms, loud hair, and orange wallpaper. Since 1995, the supply of stocks, particularly in the US, has been shrinking faster than Trump’s approval ratings. At the same time, the number of […]