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Stocks, Dollar & Yields Sink After Fed Warns Of “Elevated Vulnerabilities” From High Asset Prices

The initial reactions wre modest but directionally 'correct' given the dovish bias to the Fed Minutes – stocks are up, bonds are up (lower in yield), and the dollar is down. But then traders read the warnings that due to excessively easy financial conditions, "a tighter monetary policy than otherwise was warranted", something Goldman has […]


FOMC Minutes Signal Balance Sheet Normalization Begins In September, Most Saw Inflation Pick Up

Since the July 26th 'nothingburger' FOMC statement, Nasdaq is down but bonds and bullion are higher as domestic politics and global war have trumped monetary machinations. All eyes in today's Minutes will be on any mention of inflation and the balance sheet. The Fed sees inflation "picking up over the next couple years" but this […]


Orwell Or Kafka – Ken Rogoff’s Crusade Against Cash Continues

Authored by Raul Ilargi Meijer via The Automatic Earth blog, Harvard professor and chess grandmaster Kenneth Rogoff has said some pretty out there stuff before, in his role as self-appointed crusader against cash, but apparently he’s not done yet. In fact, he might just be getting started.   This time around he sounds like a […]


Dudley Warns “Market’s Rate Hike Expectations Are Unreasonable” Sending Yields, Dec. Odds Higher

One day after the 5th consecutive miss in US CPI, NY Fed President William Dudley threw currency and eurodollar traders for another loop when he said on Monday that it was not “unreasonable” to think that the central bank would begin trimming its balance sheet in September and sees another rate hike this year – […]