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The View From 2017’s Bridge: What Clive Hale Learned This Year

Authored by Clive Hale via The View From The Bridge blog, As long time readers will know we do not put much credence in end of year forecasts; nor in fact forecasts in general; the Fed and the Met Office being stand out examples. As an alternative to what is going to happen in 2018 […]


The “Exit” Problem

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Last week, I discussed the issue of “bubbles” in the market. To wit: “Market bubbles have NOTHING to do with valuations or fundamentals.”   Hold on…don’t start screaming “heretic” and building gallows just yet. Let me explain.   Stock market bubbles are driven by speculation, greed, and emotional biases – therefore […]


No Risk Of Recession?

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Review I have been traveling a lot the last couple of weeks, so a big “Thank You” goes to Michael Lebowitz for “pinch hitting” for me. This week, I just want to review a couple of things as we begin to wrap up 2017. Earlier this week, I wrote a […]


Paul Tudor Jones: “This Market, Which Is Reminiscent Of The 1999 Bubble, Is On The Verge Of A Significant Change”

Just hours after Neil Chriss announced that his $2.2 billion Hutchin Hill hedge fund is shuttering due to underperformance and admitted that “we fought hard, but did not deliver the performance that you expected from us”, another legendary hedge fund announced it was undergoing a significant restructuring as a result of relentless investor withdrawals: citing […]


Visualizing How Billionaire Investors Hedge Against Geopolitical Black Swans

Investors must always be comfortable with the idea that the market bears risk. Sometimes this risk flies under the radar and isn’t as pronounced as it probably should be. However, as Visual Capitalists's Jeff Desjardins notes, in other cases, the topic of risk can catapult to the forefront of discussion. There can be specific events […]


The “Fat Pitch” & Miss

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, While I remain long and invested in the markets on behalf of my clients, I focus and write about the significant risks that are currently present. I am fully aware a laissez-faire attitude towards these risks is ultimately likely to destroy large portions of my clients hard-earned, and irreplaceable, […]


The Crash Of ’87 Remembered: “It Was Clear The Acapulco Cliff-Dive Was On For Monday”

“The markets in a panic are like a country during a coup, and seen in retrospect that is how they were that day,” wrote a young Salomon bond salesmena named Michael Lewis, of the chaos he witnessed. “One small group of people with its old, established way of looking at the world is hustled from […]


Howard Marks Warns “Nobody Knows What Will Happen”

Authored by Christoph Gisiger and Mark Dittli via Finanz Und Wirtschaft, Howard Marks, Co-Chairman of the US investment firm Oaktree Capital warns that valuations in the financial markets are uncomfortably high and that investors are acting too complacent. When Howard Marks speaks, financial markets listen. The renowned value investor and co-founder of Oaktree Capital looks […]


Biggest Hedge Fund Manager In The World Warns “Bitcoin Is A Bubble”, Says Gold Is Money

Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio, the 68-year-old founder of the world’s largest hedge fund, said bitcoin is "in a bubble" during an interview on CNBC Tuesday morning, arguing that the so-called currency is too difficult to spend, and too volatile to be a useful store of value. During the interview, Dalio argued that most investors […]


15 Risk Management Rules For Every Investor

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Last week, I was discussing the rather “Pavlovian” response to Central Bank interventions which has led investors into a false sense of security with respect to the risk being undertaken within portfolios. This got me to thinking about “risk” and reminded me of something Howard Marks once wrote: “If I ask you what’s […]


Comparing Bitcoin, Ether, & Other Cryptos

Unless you’ve been hiding under a rock, you’re probably aware that we’re in the middle of a cryptocurrency explosion. In one year, the value of all currencies increased a staggering 1,466% – and newer coins like Ethereum have even joined Bitcoin in gaining some mainstream acceptance. And while people like Jamie Dimon of J.P. Morgan and […]


Mike Krieger Asks Which Is ‘Fraudulent’: Bitcoin Or JP Morgan?

Authored by Mike Krieger via Liberty Blitzkrieg blog, I’m really grateful JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon decided to once again lash out in anger at Bitcoin, as it provides us with ample opportunity to highlight a practice very near and dear to how the bank operates. Fraud. The way the news cycle works, any topic […]


Julian Robertson: “There’s A Bubble” And “It’s The Federal Reserve’s Fault”

Call it the “bearish billionaire” curse. One month ago, MarketWatch penned “7 billionaires who are worried about a stock-market correction” which listed Carl Icahn, David Tepper, Howard Marks, George Soros, Jeff Gundlach, Warren Buffett and Eliot Singer as some of the world’s wealthiest people who are losing sleep over the S&P trading at all time […]


Dangerous Markets – Signs, Signs, Eveywhere A Sign

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Last week, I noted: “I have a sneaky suspicion that when I update the Fed Balance Sheet reinvestment analysis next week, shown below, we are going to find a substantial, well-timed, reinvestment by the Central Bank. Wanna bet?” Well, here is the updated chart of the 4-week net change […]


Howard Marks Graciously Admits He Was Wrong: “Sees No Reason Why Bitcoin Can’t Be A Currency”

Billionaire investor (and self-professed "Bitcoin Dinosaur") Howard Marks made headlines in July when he called Bitcoin a "unfounded fad.. a pyramid scheme" in one of his famous memos, igniting a firestorm of backlash from cryptocurrency advocates. However, in his most recent Oaktree Capital memo, Marks retracted his position after being educated by some of his Bitcoin-loving friends regarding […]