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Yes, Virginia, There Is A “Santa Rally”

Authord by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Yes, Virgina, There Is A Santa Claus Every year, at this time, I republish the story of 8-year Virginia O’Hanlon who asked the most important of questions. I encourage you to read it as it reminds us of the importance, meaning and the “Spirit” of the Christmas season.  *  […]


Novogratz Delays Crypto Hedge Fund Launch, Warns Of Drop To $8,000 But “Bull Market” Isn’t Over

Last week, Mike Novogratz surprised more than a few market participants by telling CNBC's Fast Money that he was bringing forward the launch date of his crypto hedge fund; today he killed those plans. On December 12th, Novogratz said he thinks bitcoin could hit $40,000 in 2-3 months. The Galaxy Fund was supposed to launch […]


How The Asset Bubble Could End – Part 1

Authored by Pater Tenebrarum via Acting-Man.com, Another Shoeshine Boy Moment We recently pondered the markets while trying out our brand-new electric soup-cooling spoon (see below). We are pondering the markets quite often lately, because we believe tail risk has grown by leaps and bounds and we may be quite close to an important juncture, i.e.,  […]


Wall Street Bonuses Set To Shrink Again This Year

Bankers were thrilled last year when Wall Street bonuses climbed for the first time in years after falling more than 15% in 2015. But unfortunately, even with equity markets around the world at record highs in 2017, volatility across asset class plunged this year – with the Dow seeing its least volatile year on record […]


JPMorgan: “This Is The Moment Everyone Went All In”

There is a fascinating table in JPMorgan’s 2018 year-end outlook released overnight, previewed yesterday by head quant Marko Kolanovic: it shows that a funny thing happened as the so-called experts were looking for signs of retail euphoria (and repeatedly were unable to find it): everyone went “all-in” stocks, and not just retail investors and US […]


Kolanovic Unveils His 2018 Outlook: The “Frogs Are Almost Boiled” So Start Hedging

Barely two months after JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic previewed the next financial crisis, which he dubbed the “Great Liquidity Crisis”, and which would be catalyzed by the following liquidity disrupting elements: Decreased AUM of strategies that buy value assets Tail risk of private assets Increased AUM of strategies that sell on “autopilot” Liquidity-provision trends Miscalculation of […]


“Loonie Longs Are Set For A Painful Dose Of Reality”: Trader

Is all hell about to breaks loose for Loonie longs? Yesterday, Bank of America released a note titled simply enough “CAD longs at risk”, in which it said that “according to our liquid cross border flow (LCBF) data, hedge funds and real money now appear to be in the process of selling out of extended […]


A Gift From The Oldies

By Chris at www.CapitalistExploits.at I bumped into a friendly bloke at my local gym last week. Jim is his name. Jim tells me he just started because, and I quote, “my doctor says I’m going to die unless I do something”. Now, I assure you it doesn’t take a doctor to figure this out. One glance in […]


Frontrunning: December 8

U.K., EU Reach an Agreement on Brexit Divorce Terms (WSJ) What’s in the Brexit divorce deal? (Reuters) China exports growth hits 8-month high, imports defy pollution curbs (Reuters) The Bitcoin Whales: 1,000 People Who Own 40 Percent of the Market (BBG) Senator’s Shaky Obamacare Deal Poses Tax Challenge (BBG) Oil edges up on Chinese demand, […]


“I Love You; Focus On The Future”: Paul Tudor Jones Humiliated After Weinstein Support Email Revealed

Late last night the New York Times published a comprehensive article delving into the powerful support network of Harvey Weinstein, a network on which he apparently relied to help cover up decades of sexual assaults.  Among the allies discussed in the article was none other than legendary hedge fund investor, and former Weinstein & Co. […]


Government Watchdog Warns Market Crash Risk Rising: “One-Sixth Of All Hedge Funds Are 15x Leveraged”

One wonders if the Fed ever reads the reports issued by the Office of Financial Stability, which does a surprisingly good job of laying out the risks facing the market at any one time, which incidentally are far greater than various Fed presidents would care to admit. If it did, it would learn from the […]


One-Time Hedge Fund Whiz-Kid And Julian Robertson Protege Busted By The SEC

2014 and early 2015 was a great time for then 30-something Nehal Chopra, recently named an Institutional Investor Rising Star, the former Tiger Seed’s hedge fund Tiger Ratan Capital Management had received a $25 million investment in 2011 from investing legend Julian Robertson himself (subsequently the amount grew to $100 million) and after a series […]


Small Caps Are Now More Expensive Than At The Peak Of The Tech Bubble

Everyone knows that tech stocks are – or at least until investors realized that tax reform is a fiasco for the tech sector, were – the darlings of the market, resulting in the biggest concentration of hedge fund holders with a record number of HFs holding the 5 FAANG stocks; at the same time far fewer […]


Hedge Funds Start To Panic As Tech Wreck Continues

The overnight exuberance in US equity futures is extending for The Dow, but most notably – Nasdaq now back underwater from before ABC's fake news Flynn story on Friday…   Across asset classes – the unwind of Friday's panic moves is complete, but the rotation out of tech is clear…   Semis are getting slammed… […]


Jim Grant Interviews Alan Fournier: “Pension Funds Are So Desperate For Yield, They’re Systemically Selling Vol…”

In the latest installment of RealVision's interview series featuring Jim Grant, longtime publisher of Grant's Interest-Rate Observer, the newsletter publisher sits down with Alan Fournier, the billionaire founder of Pennant Capital, to discuss one of the most widely discussed topics across modern asset markets: Volatility – or rather, the systemic risks posed by not only […]