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House Passes Temporary Funding To Operate Through January 19

Update: Right before ending the session and heading off for a well-deserved holiday, the House passed an $81 billion disaster-relief package in a 251-169 vote. The bill was surprisingly controversial – in part due to the enormous sum being authorized. According to Politico, the fate of the aid package is far from assured in the […]


Harvey Destruction Prompts Goldman To Cut Government Shutdown Odds

Having in recent weeks boosted his estimate for government shutdown odds to even, or 50%, in a note overnight from Goldman’s Jan Hatzius, the bank’s chief economists writes that due to the human tragedy from Hurricane Harvey, the odds of a shutdown have been again reduced, back to Goldman’s original estimate of 33%. According to […]


A Look At US Government Shutdowns Since 1976

Investors and politicians are getting increasingly worried about a potential US government shutdown. Earlier we showed that following a report by Axios which quoted a republican who put the chance of a shutdown “as high as 75%”, the T-Bill market got spooked, and pushed the Oct.12 Bill – the one considered closest to the Treasury’s […]


Goldman Sees 50% Chance Of A Government Shutdown

As we pointed out earlier, the chances of government agreeing any kind of debt ceiling deal (and avoiding a government shutdown) is dropping fast as USA default risk spikes and the Treasury Bill curve inverts. Goldman Sachs is now concerned also… Uncertainty in The White House is starting to make investors realize the chance of […]