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Civil Servants Are Deliberately Destroying Documents From The UK’s National Archive

In yet another galling example of historical revisionism put into practice, the Guardian reported Tuesday that thousands of documents from the National Archives have gone missing in recent years – and some may have been deliberately destroyed by civil servants hoping to purge unflattering details about the UK's abuses of power from the historical record. […]

Citi’s “What If?” Scenarios: Part 2

Yesterday we published the first set of 7 “What If” scenarios that didn’t make it into the Citi Credit team’s (already rather gloomy) year-ahead forecast. Because while Citi’s “base case” was clearly bearish (our summary can be found here), what was left unsaid was even more unsettling, if not troubling. As the bank’s credit team […]

Tory Power Base Takes Another Hit After Theresa May’s Right Hand Man Fired Over Pornography

Tory (lack of) power-base takes another hit. The UK prime minister’s right hand man Damian Green has been fired from his post based on the allegations over pornography usage. In an ongoing saga Damian Green was “asked to quit” after he made “inaccurate and misleading” statements over what he knew about claims pornography was found […]

NATO Crisis: Germany’s Entire Submarine Fleet Is Paralyzed

Throughout 2017, America’s control of NATO policymaking has become more evident than ever, with the sole objective of war-making against Russia. NATO and Russia continue to build up arms, equipment, and troops along the eastern region of Europe, but there is a new development that has NATO worried. Germany’s operational readiness of its entire submarine fleet is […]

Theresa May Humiliated As Tory Rebellion Leads To Key Brexit Vote Loss

Prime Minister Theresa May suffered a humiliating defeat for her key Brexit law on Wednesday after pro-European members of her own party openly defied her orders in a vote in Parliament. The vote in the UK Parliament was described as being “knife-edge” with the BBC’s chief political correspondent, Norman Smith, called it a “Big Bananas […]

Trader: UK Does Brexit Best When It Does Nothing At All

From the latest Macro View by current Bloomberg macro commentator and former Lehman trader, Mark Cudmore U.K. Does Brexit Best When It Does Nothing At All: Macro View With apologies to my compatriot Ronan Keating, there’s a non-negligible and rising probability that Brexit doesn’t happen. Ultimately that would be a positive for U.K. assets. An […]

Pound Tumbles Amid Brexit Chaos, “Headline Havoc”

Cable traders are suffering through a news overload this morning, with the optimism and euphoria which sent the pound to two month highs as recently as 2 days ago fading fast on speculation whether UK PM Theresa May will be able to engineer a Brexit breakthrough in time. And following overnight speculation that her cabinet […]

Cable Soars After UK, Ireland Agree On Brexit Border Deal

As several sellside desks have summarized, today will be a binary one for GBP: either deal or no deal. And following an early swoon in cable after speculation rose that a deal would be elusive, the pound soared above 1.35 following a report that EU chief brexit negotiator Barnier told MEPs that a breakthrough is […]

Sterling Soars After Britain, EU Agree On Brexit Divorce Bill: Telegraph

The Telegraph is reporting that British and EU negotiators have reached a deal over the so-called ‘Brexit bill’, opening the door to a potential breakthrough in the talks this December.  According to the report, that the final figure, which is deliberately being left open to interpretation, “will be between €45bn and €55bn, depending on how […]

Cable Crumbles After Government Denies Telegraph Report On Brexit Divorce Bill Agreement

Update: That did not last long. Shortly after The Telegraph report hit the wires, AP reports that Brexit talks between the UK and European Union are continuing as officials played down suggestions that a deal has been reached on the so-called divorce bill.  Reports suggested an agreement in principle has been reached which would see […]

Europe’s New ‘Values’ – Austerity, Bloodletting, And Incompetence

Authored by Raul Ilargi Meijer via The Automatic Earth blog, Punxsutawney Phil Hammond, the UK chancellor, presented his Budget yesterday and declared five more years of austerity for Britain. As was to be expected. One doesn’t even have to go into the details of the Budget to understand that it is a dead end street […]

The Two Churchills And The World’s “Collective Munchausen Syndrome”

Authored by Rusty Guinn via Epsilon Theory blog, This is my favorite street art in the world. It adorns a rail bridge that soars above I-45 in Houston. More than 300,000 cars pass by it every day. It has been modified a couple times by other street artists, but every time it goes back. It’s […]

Pound Slides, Then Rebounds, After Hammond Reveals Sharp Cuts To UK GDP Forecast

Update: after the GBP initially dropped on the lower GDP forecasts, it has since rallied after Hammond finished speaking , in what Citi said was a “relief rally” as there were no “banana skins and government safe. Relief trade here.” This was a risk event – while Budget Announcements are normally quite quiet affairs in […]

Budget Preview: Chancellor Philip Hammond’s Impossible Task To “Square The UK’s Circle”

At lunchtime today, Philip Hammond will give the weakened Conservative government’s first budget in the new parliament. Against a likely backdrop of downgrades for the economy from the OBR, the Chancellor will be under immense pressure to provide a sound plan going forward on many issues. As Statista's Martin Armstrong notes, the NHS has already had its […]

UK Cabinet Poised To Increase Brexit Divorce Payment By Another 20 Billion Euros

Theresa’s May’s government is poised to concede an improved Brexit settlement offer to gain EU approval to move the negotiations on to the next stage. May reportedly has the backing of senior ministers ahead of a critical cabinet meeting on Monday afternoon. The list of senior ministers is thought to include chancellor, Philip Hammond, Brexit […]