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Is it “Late 2007” For the Everything Bubble?

Timing the end of a major bubble is extraordinarily difficult as it entails figuring out when a critical mass of investors shift from greed to fear. Having said that, we’ve recently seen a number of developments that would suggest we’re near the end of the current Bond Bubble. Back in June the world saw the […]


AAA-Rated Oxford University To Issue £250 Million Ultra Long 100-Year Bond

Individual Oxford colleges – there are thirty-eight altogether – have issued bonds in the past, but this will be a first for the ancient University as a whole. Timed to perfection for its upcoming bond issue, Moody’s today assigned a “AAA” credit rating, with a stable outlook, to the 900-year old institution. According to Moody’s, […]


Oxford University To Issue £250 Million Ultra Long 100-Year Bond

Individual Oxford colleges – there are thirty-eight altogether – have issued bonds in the past, but this will be a first for the ancient University as a whole. Timed to perfection for its upcoming bond issue, Moody’s today assigned a “AAA” credit rating, with a stable outlook, to the 900-year old institution. According to Moody’s, […]


Is This The Real Reason Why The Treasury Curve Has Been Collapsing For A Month?

A 'funny' thing happened a month ago. The Treasury yield curve suddenly started to collapse… despite gains in stocks and positive economi data surprises… the question is, why? Here's one possible reason why.. Originally submitted by GovTrader, TL/DR: Tax reform creates pension fund incentive to buy 30yr bonds NOW. Currently, the top corp tax rate […]


Now We Know Why The US 30yr Treasury Curve Has Been Flattening Like A Pancake – Pension Fund Buying And Tax Reform

TL/DR: Tax reform creates pension fund incentive to buy 30yr bonds NOW. Currently, the top corp tax rate in the US is 35%. It looks most likely that rate will drop to 20% when tax reform passes. If you are a corp with an underfunded pension fund, you get a tax incentive to fund the […]


Tesla Bonds Are Now Riskier Than Ukraine’s

Considering both entities are 'backed' one way or another by the US Government, it is perhaps not a total surprise that the risk of Ukraine government bonds and the risk of Tesla bonds are 'similar'… But the last few days have seen the world's 4th largest automaker (by market cap) trade at a more risky […]