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US Retail Sales Surge At Fastest Pace Since 2012 As Online Sales Soar

Despite a fourth monthly decline in real earnings, the good ol’ American consumer is doing what she does best – consume. Retail sales surged 0.8% MoM (much better than expected) and 5.8% YoY – the best since March 2012. Data beat across the board… except motor vehicles and parts dealers – everything else is surging. […]


WTI/RBOB Steady Despite Huge Gasoline Build, New Crude Production Record

Despite last night's surprisingly large API-reported crude draw, WTI/RBOB prices were sliding in early trading but as the DOE data printed prices stabilized despite a smaller crude draw than API and a much bigger gasoline builds than expected. Production surged on the week to a new record high. Bloomberg's Mitch Martin noted that the Brent […]


WTI/RBOB Extend Losses On Biggest Gasoline Build In 11 Months, Record Crude Production

Following last night's API-reported huge product inventory builds, bulls were hoping DOE would rescue WTI/RBOB prices but it did not as the dat confirmed a huge crude draw and even bigger product build (gasoline's biggest weekly build since January). Adding to the pain, US crude production rose to another new record. A gasoline build is […]


‘Take That OPEC’ – WTI Slides As US Crude Production Jumps To Record High

WTI/RBOB extended losses post-API data overnight, but DOE data sparked some algo chaos as a surprise crude build (+2.24mm vs -2.45mm exp) was offset by a bigger than expected gasoline draw (exactly opposite what API reported). In addition, US crude production jumped to a new all-time high – take that OPEC!   API Crude -1.562mm […]


Storm-Impacted Retail Sales Disappoint Despite Biggest Spike Since March 2015

Following August's slump (worst since Jan '16), September's retail sales data was expected to surge 1.7% MoM (thanks in large part to the spike in auto sales) but it disappointed with a 1.6% spike (still the most since March 2015). U.S. retail sales jumped last month by the most in more than two years as […]


RBOB Sinks After Surprise Build, WTI Bounces On Biggest Production Drop In 2 Years

WTI/RBOB have extended their post-API (crude build) losses overnight (not helped by IEA forecasts indicating the oil-inventory decline will halt in 2018). However, DOE data perfectly contradicted the API data with a big crude draw and big gasoline build. WTI bounced a little (helped by the biggest production cut since September 2015) and RBOB slumped. […]


WTI Pops Back Above $52 On Unexpected Crude Draw

WTI is hovering around $52 as all eyes are watching API’s data to gain inisght into how fast refiners are coming back on line. The previous week saw the trend of crude builds and product draws continue but last week crude actually drew down (against expectations of a build), gasoline built (against expectations of a […]


India Stack and Bitcoin (An Insider’s View)

By Chris at www.CapitalistExploits.at Before the good stuff… the fun stuff. Here’s a fan mail I received in response to this. I guess he/she never made it as far as this part: “Don’t get me wrong. I’m not against EVs, and I’m all for technological innovation.” Though, in all fairness, it may be the collagen talking. […]


WTI/RBOB Sink After Big Crude Build, Production Jump Offsets Greatest Gasoline Inventory Draw In History

WTI and RBOB prices are higher this morning following API's reported the biggest gasoline draw in history (compared to EIA data). Of course, disruptions (Florida demand and Texas supply) remain dominant but DOE reports a massive 8.4mm draw in Gasoline inventories – the biggest draw ever. The reaction in prices is anti-climactic as production rebounded […]


First Glimpse Of Harvey Impact Shows Biggest Crude Build In 5 Months, Smaller Gasoline Draw Than Expected

Amid all the chaos of Harvey's outages and Irma's expectations, tonight's API inventory seems relatively irrelevant but we are sure the machines will be all over it – no matter that it will be guesstimated more than normal. WTI was at one-month highs above $49 as API printed and kneejerked lower despite a smaller than […]


Gasoline Prices Tumble As Refiners Resume Operations

RBOB Gasoline futures tumbled to their lowest level in almost a week overnnight as several US Gulf Coast refineries reported their plans to restart operations after the devastation of Hurricane Harvey forced them to shutdown. While about one-fifth of U.S. refining capacity is halted, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, some plants including those operated by Citgo […]


Hurricane Harvey Looters Targeting Fuel Tanks As Google Searches For “How To Siphon Gas” Soar

Texas resident Joe Roan woke up to a rather unpleasant surprise yesterday morning as he discovered the remnants of a would-be thief attempting to steal gasoline from his Jeep Wrangler tank.  Unfortunately, as a local CBS affiliate pointed out last night, with refinery outages resulting in growing gasoline shortages, this is becoming a rather common […]


Harvey Hangover Hits Pump Prices, Jet Fuel Premium Highest Since 2008

"It's only just beginning," warned one seasoned veteran energy trader as the hangover from Hurricane Harvey flows downstream to retail gas prices and jet fuel premiums. As Bloomberg notes, Harvey impact currently includes: Colonial says it’ll commingle Rbob and conventional gasoline Explorer Pipeline planning to start lines Saturday, Sunday Logjam grows to 29 oil tankers as 11 ports […]


Gasoline Prices Surge After Colonial Pipeline Shutdown, East Coast Fuel Shortages Loom

Gasoline prices have exploded higher once again this morning – topping the Maginot Line of $2.00 for the first time since July 2015 – following reports that the main conduit for fuel from the Gulf to the East Coast has been shut due to Hurricane Harvey. Motor fuel prices climbed as much as 6.6 percent […]


WTI/RBOB Algos Undecided After Gasoline Build, Production Dip

RBOB gasoline is at a 25-month high (and WTI has a $45 handle) as all attention is focused on the duration and impact of the storm (i.e. how long refineries will be closed?). Inventory and Production data this week will be of limited help to traders as it occurred before Harvey struck but API confirmed […]