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Japan’s Exports Boom But Inflation Refuses To Follow The Script

Japanese exports boomed in November 2017, rising +16.2% versus a year earlier and beating consensus expectations of +14.7%. It was the fifth straight month of double-digit growth and the strongest since August. Last month, growth of +14.0% had undershot expectations of +15.7%. Imports in November grew slightly less than expected at +17.2% versus the consensus […]


2018: The Year Central Banks Begin Buying Cryptocurrency

Authored by Eugene Etsebeth via CoinDesk.com, Behind closed doors, G7 central banks are sluggish traders that buy and sell the same foreign currencies, marketable securities, special drawing rights (SDR) and gold day in and day out. Central bank traders follow the investment policy enforced by the executive committees with specific asset allocation targets. In order […]


Frontrunning: December 13

Democrat wins Senate seat in Alabama in blow to Trump (Reuters) Capital Journal: With Alabama Loss, Trump and GOP Face Political Reckoning (WSJ) Democratic Victory Stirs GOP Anxiety Over Midterm Elections (WSJ) Fed Expected to Raise Rates (WSJ) With rate hike in the bag, Fed may hint at Trump effect on economy (Reuters) Fed 2018 […]


Hartnett: Every Time Chinese Yields Hit 4%, A Crash Happens

In his latest flow show report, BofA’s Michael Hartnett finds that while inflows into markets in the past week continued, with $3.1bn going into stocks – of which $13.7bn went into ETFs, and $10.6bn was redeemed from active managers, $1.2bn into bond and $0.3bn into gold (unfortunately EPFR doesn’t track inflows into bitcoin yet), although […]


Buying Yen… A Truly Contrarian Call

Authord by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist, I am aware of all the doomsday Yen hyper-inflationary predictions due to their soaring debt-to-GDP ratio. And these Japanese bears very well might prove correct… In the long run. But as Mr. Keynes taught us, the long-run is an awfully long time. In the meantime, I think […]


Brexit Budget – Grim Outlook As UK Economy Downgraded

Brexit budget – Grim outlook as UK economic forecasts downgrade – UK Chancellor uses housing market policy as smoke-screen for deteriorating economy– UK budget matters more than ever due to BREXIT risks– Policy on stamp duty will fail to aid worsening housing market– Real GDP expected to grow by just 1.5%, 40% less than projections 2 […]


Britain’s Gravest Economic Challenge Isn’t Brexit

Authored by Paul Wallace, op-ed via Reuters.com, Few British budgets have mattered as much as the one that Philip Hammond will deliver to the House of Commons on Nov. 22. The chancellor of the exchequer must shore up Theresa May’s perilously shaky government ahead of a vital Brexit summit of European leaders in mid-December. At […]


What Will Push Them Over The Edge?

Authored by Jeff Thomas via InternationalMan.com, Recently, the people of two of Italy’s most prosperous regions voted in a referendum, on whether they wished to have greater autonomy from Rome. The referendum is non-binding, but that’s not what’s most significant in the results. What is significant is that over 95% of those who voted in […]


The Scariest Charts In The World

Authored by Anthony Doyle via BondVigilantes.com, Investment markets have been remarkably resilient over the course of 2017. Sure, the geopolitical environment has thrown up a few frightening days which saw markets sell-off but on the whole volatility has been muted and most asset classes have generated solid total returns. That said, any horror movie fan […]


Be Afraid America – DHS Warns ISIS, Al Qaeda Are Planning ‘9/11-Style’ Attack

Nothing distracts like fear. And today, former DHS chief Elaine Duke invoked one of the most traumatic episodes in US history to remind complacent Americans that Al Qaeda and ISIS are still out there, plotting deadly terror attacks meant to kill as many American civilians as possible. With the Islamic State in retreat following the […]


Stephen Roach Warns: Central Bankers’ Broken Models Are “Today’s Biggest Risks”

Authored by Stephen Roach via Project Syndicate, A decade after the onset of the global financial crisis, it seems more than appropriate for central bankers to move the levers of policy off their emergency settings. A world in recovery – no matter how anemic it may be – does not require a crisis-like approach to […]


“This Is Where The Next Financial Crisis Will Come From”

In an extensive, must-read report published on Monday by Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid, the credit strategist unveiled an extensive analysis of the “Next Financial Crisis”, and specifically what may cause it, when it may happen, and how the world could respond assuming it still has means to counteract the next economic and financial crash. In […]


Deutsche Bank: “Global Asset Prices Are The Most Elevated In History”

In an extensive report published this morning by Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid, the credit strategist looks at the “Next Financial Crisis”, and specifically what may cause it, when it may happen, and how the world could respond assuming it still has means to counteract the next economic and financial crash. While we will have much […]


Oh Canada – Reflections On An Economic Experiment

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, It seems like the only time Canada makes the news is when America elects some right wing President the Hollywood elite don’t like, and they all threaten to move to Canada. We are usually too polite to say something, as it is often clear the Americans […]


All Eyes On Draghi: Futures Flat, Euro Surges, Dollar Slides; Yuan Breaches 6.50

S&P futures are flat, still spooked by the WSJ’s report that Gary Cohn will not be the next Fed chair, while both European stocks and Asian shares gain in a overnight session on edge in which everyone is looking forward to today’s main risk event: the ECB meeting and Draghi press conference due in under […]