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Pair Of Bush-Era Economists Emerge As Front-Runners For Fed Vice Chair Position

After selecting Fed governor Jerome Powell to replace Janet Yellen as Fed Chair when her term expires in February, the Trump White House has now moved on to interviewing a series of candidates for the Vice Chair position.  As the Wall Street Journal notes this morning, two of the more likely candidates for that role […]


Bubble Watch: The Fed KNOWS We’re in a 1999-Type Mania…

The Fed raised rates another 0.25% the week before last. This marks the 5th rate hike since the Fed embarked on its policy tightening in December 2015 and the fourth rate hike in the last 12 months. The Fed’s latest statement also indicates it plans on raising rates three more times in 2018. It is […]


Un-Merry Christmas: The Perverse Incentives To Over-Consume And Over-Spend

Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog, Isn't it obvious that if we set out to design the most perverse, toxic and doomed system possible, we'd end up with the Keynesian Cargo Cult's insane permanent growth/Landfill Economy? Few topics are off-limits nowadays: the personal and private are now splashed everywhere for all to see. […]


Nobel Laureate ‘Discovers’ Cause Of Opioid Crisis: Complete Economic Destruction Of The “White Working Class”

For several decades now the American Midwest has suffered from unprecedented economic decay courtesy of a persistent outsourcing of manufacturing jobs in the automotive and steel industries, among others. As we’ve noted frequently, that economic decay has resulted in a devastating surge in opioid overdoses that claim the lives of 100s of people each year. […]


Watch Live: Senate Banking Committee ‘Grills’ Trump’s Fed Chair Nominee Jerome Powell

Just two weeks after President Donald Trump announced that Fed Governor Jerome “Jay” Powell would be his pick to succeed Janet Yellen as chairman of the Federal Reserve, he is appearing today before the Senate Banking committee in a confirmation hearing that’s viewed as a virtual certainty. The hearing begins at 10 am ET. Watch […]


Watch Live: Janet Yellen And Mervyn King At NYU

The NYU Stern school of business is hosting the latest installment of the “In Conversation with Mervyn King” series featuring outgoing Fed chair, ?Janet Yellen, who in just over two months, will depart the Fed, making way for her replacement, former Carlyle partner Jay Powell. While her speech is not expected to provide any market-moving […]


The Economist Went There – Shockingly Un-PC Study Shows Whites Work Hardest, Longest

A trio of labor economists suggest that effort at work is correlated with race… As The Economist writes, given the long history of making racial slurs about the efforts of some workers, any study casting black and Hispanic men as lazier than whites and Asians is sure to court controversy. But, a provocative working paper […]


Yellen Confirms She Will Step Down When New Fed Chair Sworn In

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen says she will step down once her successor is sworn into the office, resolving a key question as to whether she would stay on in a diminished role. Yellen could technically stay on as a governor even after stepping down as the institution’s leader, because her term as governor does not […]


Dear Jay… You Have A Problem

It is said that the markets will test a new Fed Chair early on and judging by the fact that financial conditions just tumbled to their 'easiest' in 24 years – despite four rate hikes – Jerome Powell will have his work cut out persuading the market that he is serious (before this bubble bursts). […]


Meet New Fed Chair Jerome Powell, In His Own Words

It’s official: according to most news sources, tomorrow Trump will announce that Fed governor Jerome “Jay” Powell is Janet Yellen’s replacement as the next bank-friendly Fed chair. Since Powell has served as Federal Reserve governor for the past five years, starting May 2012, he has had ample opportunities to express his views about the policies […]


Knowing The Policy Stance Of An Incoming Fed Chairman, How It Paid To Do The Opposite

With the appointment of the next Fed Chairman imminent, the WSJ investigated whether knowing his/her identity and policy stance would have led to successful investment decisions. Spoiler alert – it’s often paid to do the opposite. As The Wall Street Journal reports, President Donald Trump’s The Apprentice-style hiring process for the Federal Reserve chair is […]


The $2.5 Trillion Paradox: “While The Short End Is Optimistic, The Long End Has Never Been More Pessimistic”

Last weekend, as Deutsche Bank’s derivatives strategist Aleksandar Kocic was looking at the spread between the short and long end of the curve, and while contemplating the lack of market volatility, he concluded that “given where long rates are, Fed appears as overly hawkish – it has only two more hikes to go and, for […]


WSJ Endorses Warsh, Taylor; Says Powell “Status Quo” Is Not What Trump Campaigned On

Despite bookies' odds surging and Politico 'sources' suggesting Jerome Powell will be the next Fed head, it appears The Wall Street Journal Editorial Board is not buying it, and endorses Warsh or Taylor, saying that Trump needs a leader at the central bank who supports faster growth. President Trump is finishing his interviews to choose […]


Trump Met With Janet Yellen; Meeting Lasted 30 Minutes

The anticipated meeting between president Trump and Janet Yellen has concluded, and according to Fox News, it lasted no more than 30 minutes, running from 2:00PM to 2:30PM, or barely enough for Trump to stop patting himself on the back about the yuuge Dow Jones rally under his presidency. #BreakingNews WH official tells me Janet […]


Trump Expected To Announce His Pick For Fed Chair In Next Two Weeks

In the latest update on Trump’s search for the next Fed Chair, Reuters reported that the search has narrowed down to 5 finalists – Yellen, Warsh, Taylor, Powell and Cohn (condolences to Jeff Gundlach: his dark horse candidate, Neel Kashkari did not make the cut) – and that after meeting Yellen on Thursday, Trump will […]