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Lacy Hunt On The Unintended Consequences Of Federal Reserve Policies

Authored by Mike Shedlock via www.themaven.net/mishtalk, The Financial Repression Authority interviewed Lacy Hunt, Chief Economist at Hoisington Management on Fed policies. The interview below first appeared on the FRA website along with a video. The emphasis in italics is mine. FRA: Hi, welcome to FRA’s Roundtable Insight. Today, we have Dr. Lacy Hunt. He’s an […]


The Running Of The Japan Bears

Authored by Nick Schmitz via Verdad Capital We’ve done a National Geographic–style deep dive into the world of the Japan bears, reading the scare stories about demographic decline, old people dying alone, underrepresentation of minorities on corporate boards, and other anecdotal “evidence” of stagnant economic prospects. We tried to find the best examples of Japan bearishness: […]


New CME Bitcoin Futures And The Goldman Sachs Connection

Embedded into Bincoin’s genesis block by Satoshi Nakamoto on January 3, 2009, the day Bitcoin went live, was a message which is now well-known throughout the Bitcoin community. This message, taken from The Times newspaper of that day, read “Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks”. While there is ongoing debate as to its […]


Bitcoin Collapse, Equity ‘Flash Crash’, & The Fed Loses Control: Saxo’s ‘Outrageous Predictions’ For 2018

Via Saxo Bank: We’ve delved deep again this year in penning our annual list of 10 Outrageous Predictions. As usual, we roam the world and ride roughshod over consensus in sniffing out these supposedly highly unlikely events with underappreciated potential – events that could have tremendous implications if they come to pass. Enjoy! 2017 was […]


Cometh The Hour, Cometh An Insane Cash-Hating Fed Governor – Nobody’s “Goodfriend”

Marvin Goodfriend is not a Fed governor yet, but it’s likely asking far too much to expect US lawmakers to block President Trump’s nomination. Unfortunately for the American citizenry, Goodfriend (not) has all the establishment credentials which will likely see the nomination rubber-stamped: economic advisor to the White House (1984-5), director of research at the […]


Asian Market Rout Goes Global On Tech, Tax And Government Shutdown Tremors

A selloff which started in Asia, driven by renewed liquidation of Chinese and Hong Kong tech stocks and accelerated by weaker metal prices which pushed the Shanghai Composite below a key support and to 4 month lows… … which sent the Nikkei to its worst day since March and the second worst day of the […]


Check this box if you want us to front-run your Bitcoin trades

Know government regulation, know moral hazard. No government regulation, no moral hazard. We have been reading quite a bit about rumors of governments trying to regulate crypto currency.  If and when they do, we will be told that it is for our own safety, of this I am certain.   We will also be told that […]


Key Events In The Coming Week: Jobs, Brexit, PMI, IP And More

The first full week of December is shaping up as rather busy, with such Tier 1 data in the US as the payrolls report, durable goods orders and trade balance. We also get UK PMI data and GDP, retail sales across the Euro Area, as well as central bank meetings including Australia RBA and BoC […]


Frontrunning: December 4

Stock futures jump after Senate approves tax bill (Reuters) Tax Bill Marked by Blinding Speed (WSJ) Corporate Winners and Losers in the GOP Tax Bill (BBG) Flynn’s Guilty Plea Sparks Clashing Interpretations (WSJ) Irish border deal reported settled as May meets Juncker (Reuters) Houthi radio says ex-president Saleh killed in Yemen fighting, no confirmation (Reuters) […]


Blow.Off.Top.

Authored by Sven Henrich via NorthmanTrader.com, No period is worse for bears than when it’s the best time to sell stocks. It’s the polar opposite of when conditions are worst for bulls, right when it’s the best time to buy as it was in January-March 2009. The exhaustion factor is enormous. It’s called capitulation as […]


US Household Debt Is Rising 60% Faster Than Wages, And One Rating Agency Is Worried

In a report released today by DBRS titled “Consumer debt and debt burden”, the rating agency which is best known for keep Italian debt eligible for ECB monetization at the peak of the European banking crisis, looks at the latest Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit issued by the NY Fed (discussed here previously) […]


Q3 GDP Revised Up To 3.3%, Highest In 3 Years

After the BEA estimated that US GDP rose an already impressive 3.0% in Q3, moments ago the Department of Commerce revised its estimate for third quarter growth to 3.3% annualized, higher than the 3.2% print expected, the highest since the third quarter of 2014. On a Y/Y basis, GDP rose by 2.3%, the highest since […]


Fed Chair Nominee Powell’s Prepared Remarks: “Will Respond With Force To Threats To Nation’s Stability”

Jerome Powell, President Trump’s nominee to head the Fed, has released the text of remarks he’ll deliver Tuesday in a confirmation hearing before the Senate Banking Committee. Powell said he expected the central bank to continue raising its benchmark interest rate and trimming its balance sheet under his leadership, but had some pointed comments over […]


Key Events In The Coming Week: Senate Tax Vote; Euro Inflation; GDP; OPEC, Fed Speakers

It’s a busy week as traders return from the long Thanksgiving holiday, with inflation releases in the Eurozone and Japan. We’ll also get the second estimate of US GDP, housing data and ISM manufacturing, UK monetary aggregates and PMIs in China. Finally, the Russia-OPEC meeting takes place in Vienna on November 30, while the Senate […]


A Look At Which Students Are Most Likely To Default On Their Student Debt

Since the early 2000’s the amount of student debt outstanding has grown exponentially, along with annual tuitions, and now stands at nearly $1.5 trillion.  Moreover, and not terribly surprisingly, defaults on that growing mountain of student debt have also surged as graduating students quickly discover that they just dropped $200,000 on a near-zero ROIC investment. […]