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Is the Bond Market About to Call the Fed’s Inflationary Bluff?

Perhaps the single biggest development this year, as far as the markets were concerned, was the Fed admitting on the record that it has no idea what is going on with inflation. This represents a kind of endgame for the Fed. Since the early ‘80s, the Fed has been actively understating inflation via a variety […]


Eight Axioms To Understand The Fake Economy

Authored by Bill Bonner via Bonner & Partners, What have we learned so far? Let’s spell it out as a series of axioms. Real money must be connected to the real economy of energy, time, and resources. Traditionally, gold makes the connection. (In the case of bitcoin, electricity is the connector.) Time, energy, and resources […]


2018: Irrational Complacency – “What Is Your Exit Strategy?”

Authored by Alberto Gallo via Algebris Investments, “Your loving give me such a thrillBut your love don’t pay my billsNow give me moneyThat’s what I want”Money – Barrett Strong, 1959 Ten long years after the crisis, volatility and fear seem to have disappeared from financial markets. A synchronous global expansion coupled with persistently loose monetary […]


Long Island Woman Indicted For Funding ISIS With Bitcoin

With intriguingly coincidental timing, as cryptocurrencies reach mainstream and grab the world's attention, the US Justice Department has unsealed a grand-jury indictment that shows a Long Island woman has been indicted on charges that she tried to funnel money to ISIS using Bitcoin. The Eastern District of New York press release details the crimes… Long […]


Gundlach Reveals His Favorite Trade For 2018

One day after Stanley Druckenmiller confessional to CNBC that as a result of central planning and markets that make no sense, the legendary hedge fund manager had a “terrible” year, and his “first down year in currencies ever” (he also said many not very nice things about bitcoin), it was Jeffrey Gundlach’s turn to confess […]


Full Preview Of Janet Yellen’s Last Ever Rate Hike

In previewing today's FOMC decision, which will also be Janet Yellen's last rate hike decision and press conference before she is replaced by Jay Powell, there is a TL/DR version, which is summarized by the chart below and which shows that according to the market, the probability of a rate hike today is 100%… which […]


The Fed is Arranging Deck Chairs on the Titanic (the Iceberg Comes in 2018).

The Fed concludes its final FOMC meeting of the year today. The entire financial world expects the Fed to raise rates a final time. This will mark the fifth rate hike since December 2015, and the fourth of the last 12 months. Throughout this time period, the Fed has routinely stated that it is confused […]


Yellen’s Big Goodbye (And What She’s Leaving Behind)

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, The past three Fed Chairs before Yellen all had their own crisis to deal with. Volcker had the disaster of the early 1980’s as he struggled to tame inflation with double digit interest rates. That helped contribute to the Latin American debt crisis, and the subsequent […]


The Fed’s Lies Are Going to Cost Investors A Fortune in 2018

The Fed claims we’re not in a bubble. This, like the Fed’s claims inflation is too low, is hogwash. As I outline in my bestselling book The Everything Bubble: The Endgame For Central Bank Policy, the reality is that the Fed’s entire monetary focus is on papering over declining living standards in the US. Since […]


The Fed’s “Magic Trick” Exposed

Authored by Jeff Thomas via InternationalMan.com, In 1791, the first Secretary of the Treasury of the US, Alexander Hamilton, convinced then-new president George Washington to create a central bank for the country. Secretary of State Thomas Jefferson opposed the idea, as he felt that it would lead to speculation, financial manipulation, and corruption. He was […]


Abracadabra – Uncovering The Fed’s ‘Magnificent Fraud’

Authored by James Howard Kunstler via Kunstler.com, And so, as they say in the horror movies, it begins…! The unwinding of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet. Such an esoteric concept! Is there one in ten thousand of the millions of people who sit at desks all day long from sea to shining sea who have […]


Albert Edwards: “Here’s Why The Current Situation Is Even Worse Than The 2008 Crisis”

Back in May, we first reported that Goldman became the first bank to dare to ask if the Fed has lost control of the market, if in slightly more polite terms of course. This is how Jan Hatzius phrased it: “Despite two rate hikes and indications of impending balance sheet runoff, financial conditions have continued to […]


US Credit Card Debt Surges Above $1 Trillion, Just Shy Of All Time Highs As Student, Car Loans Breach Records

Earlier in 2017, using the latest – and soon to be revised – Fed data, newspapers and financial media reported that US consumer credit card debt had risen above $1 trillion for the first time since the financial crisis. Ironically, just a few months later the Fed revised its data series sharply lower, sending the […]


Bill Gross: “The Financial System As We Know It Can Be At Risk”

In his latest monthly investment outlook, Janus Henderson's Bill Gross takes a trip to the dark side of monetary machinations and examines the signals (from credit, yield curves, and bitcoin) to comprehend how long this 'dance' can continue, "until the system itself breaks down." 1. Prior market tops (1987, 2000, 2007, etc.) allowed asset managers to […]


Citi Shows What Today’s Artificial Market Looks Like In One Chart

Two weeks ago, in his must-read 2018 credit outlook report (which we urge everyone to read) Citi’s credit strategist Hans Lorenzen made three striking observations. The first had to do with explicit central banker fears that they have now lost control of a market which, no matter what the Fed does or says, no longer […]