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Bank Of America: “This Is The First Sign That A Bubble Has Arrived”

Lately, fund flow data has all the credibility of a NYT presidential poll two days before the Trump defeats Hillary.  On one hand, you have Lipper reporting that investors pulled $16.2bn from U.S.-based equity funds in the past week, the largest withdrawals since December 2016. The same Lipper also reported that taxable-bond mutual funds and […]


Wonder Who Was Buying Yesterday’s Market Breakout? Here’s The Answer

Wonder who was buying the euphoria blow-off top stock market breakout yesterday? One clear answer, according to Nicholas Colas of DataTrek Research, is answer is “Mom and Pop”. Nick looked at the publicly available trade data on Fidelity’s retail website and found net buy orders across both single stocks (mostly tech) and ETFs. And, no […]


Fake Market Narratives Are Masking The Roots Of The Next Crisis

During the second half of an interview with MacroVoices host Erik Townsend, Fasanara Capital fund manager Francesco Filia explained how the trillions of dollars in post-crisis asset purchases by central banks have bred a dangerous trend-following mentality that ultimately undermines the stability of markets and leaves stocks and bonds vulnerable to a vicious reversal. Passive, […]


Small Cap Stocks: Time To Get Your Rally Caps On?

Small cap stocks tend to offer a bit more risk and reward. That equates to higher beta, which in turn tends to mean stronger returns when the broader market is healthy and weaker returns when the broader market is in the doldrums. So where are we now?  Likely at an important juncture. Small cap stocks […]


Ray Dalio Goes On Gold Buying Spree, Adds 575% To GLD Holdings, Becomes 8th Largest Holder

Until last quarter, the world’s biggest hedge fund had, curiously, never held a position (according to our records) in any of the most liquid gold ETFs, whether the SPDR Gold Trust, the GLD, or the iShares Gold Trust, the IAU. That changed in the second quarter of 2017, when Bridgewater made its first tentative purchases […]


Just Short The Robots

Just two weeks ago, we detailed the launch of a new A.I.-driven equity ETF whose human 'manager' claimed: "EquBot AI Technology with Watson has the ability to mimic an army of equity research analysts working around the clock, 365 days a year, while removing human error and bias from the process.” According to Chida Khatua, […]


Less Than Meets The Eye To Nasdaq Rally?

Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr, On an equal-weight basis, the Nasdaq 100 just dropped to a relative all-time low. There are many ways to measure the level of participation, i.e., the number of stocks that are taking part, in a stock market rally. One way is to look at the market’s “internals”, e.g., advances vs. declines, […]


This Will Be The Biggest Buyer Of Stocks In 2018

In July, many were surprised to learn (even though we have shown this many times prior), that according to Credit Suisse analysts there has been just one buyer of stocks since the financial crisis: the corporate sector, also known as “stock buybacks.” Well, don’t change the channel, because according to Goldman’s just released forecast of […]


Goldman: This Will Be The Biggest Buyer Of Stocks In 2018

In July, many were surprised to learn (even though we have shown this many times prior), that according to Credit Suisse analysts there has been just one buyer of stocks since the financial crisis: the corporate sector, also known as “stock buybacks.” Well, don’t change the channel, because according to Goldman’s just released forecast of […]


Liquidity Provider Signals Collapse In Global ETF Trading

Trading in low cost, passive investment products might be more vulnerable than some thought. Global ETF trading collapsed by 14% in Q3 2017 versus Q2 2017 – and was described as “unusually slow”. Global ETF trading in September 2017 was 24% lower than the same month a year ago. For those unfamiliar, Flow Traders NV […]


Institutions Are Selling To Retail Investors At An Unprecedented Pace

According to the latest EPFR fund flow data compiled by BofA’s Michael Hartnett, the great “institutional to equity” stockholding rotation is accelerating, with another $8.8bn allocated to equities, more than all of it from retail investors, and another $5.8bn going into bonds, offset by a $0.4bn outflows from gold. Ironically, the one place where active […]


What To Look For If This Is Indeed A Major Bubble

The core thesis presented earlier by Fasanara Capital, is that what is taking place in the market right now is the blowing of arguably the biggest asset bubble in history, or rather twin bubbles – impacting both equities and bonds… … created by trillions in central bank liquidity injections, and characterized by unprecedented equity valuations… […]


Is a Breakout Brewing for the VanEck Steel ETF (SLX)?

In the past few week’s we’ve highlighted some assets and indicators that point to a stable/improving economy: Copper prices, firmer interest rates, etc. Time to add one more to the list: rising steel prices. Today we’ll look at a chart of the VanEck Vectors Steel ETF (NYSEARCA:SLX). Looking at the chart below, investors can see that the […]


Morgan Stanley: “Client Cash Is At Its Lowest Level” As Institutions Dump Stocks To Retail

The “cash on the sidelines” myth is officially dead. Recall that at the end of July, we reported that in its Q2 earnings results, Schwab announced that after years of avoiding equities, clients of the retail brokerage opened the highest number of brokerage accounts in the first half of 2017 since 2000. This is what […]