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Who’s Next? Venezuela’s Collapse Puts These Nations At Risk

"It's a wake-up call for a lot of people who will say ‘Look, the stuff I own is actually very risky'…" warns Ray Jian, who oversees about $6 billion at Pioneer Investment Management Ltd. in London. "People have been ignoring risks in places like Lebanon for a long time," and the official default of Venezuela […]


Kyle Bass Is Having A Bad Day – Greek Bank Stocks Crash To 16-Month Lows

Just over a month ago, Kyle Bass discussed why he was long effectively "long Greece." Bass penned a Bloomberg editorial in which the hedge fund founder and CIO called on the IMF to stop bullying Greece –  publicizing the fact that he is now effectively long Greece. Greek government bonds have performed reasonably well so […]


Sweden: The World’s Biggest Housing Bubble Cracks

Sweden’s property bubble is probably the world’s biggest, despite which it gets relatively little coverage in the mainstream financial media – although that might be about to change. Warnings about this bubble are not new. In March 2016, Moody’s issued a very explicit warning that Sweden’s negative interest rates were propagating an unsustainable housing bubble. […]


German Q3 GDP Growth Smashes Expectations

German GDP growth for Q3 2017 printed at 0.8% Q/Q, easily beating the consensus estimate of 0.6%, which was in line with growth in the previous quarter, driven by fixed capital formation amid stable household and government consumption. While year-on-year GDP growth was reported as 2.3%, the underlying growth was 2.8% after adjusting for calendar […]


Greece Plans 30 Billion Euro Debt Swap As It Prepares For The End Of Bailouts

Greece is planning a 30 billion euros debt swap which will convert 20 existing bonds into 5 (or less) new issues in the next few weeks (although the exact timing remains uncertain). The bonds are expected to have similar maturities to the existing notes from 2023-2042. According to Bloomberg, the Greek government is planning an […]


Schäuble: Another Financial Crisis Is Coming Due To Spiraling Global Debt, “New Bubbles”

Following the disappointing for Angela Merkel and her CDU German election results, which propelled the populist AfD into Germany’s political establishment with 92 members of parliament, the first casualty was Germany’s finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, who in a few days will relinquish his long-held post and move on to the ceremonial role of Bundestag president. […]


Spanish Stocks Slammed To 7-Month Lows As Credit Risk Spikes

While the world desperately tries to shrug off the implications of Catalonia's independence vote (and Rajoy's warnings of potential reactions), investors are rapidly exiting positions in Spanish stocks and bonds… IBEX (the main Spanish stock index) just plunged to its lowest level since March (as European stocks – Stoxx 600 – hits a 4-mointh high)… […]


Why Madrid Will Never Let Go – Catalonia Is Closer To The Eurozone Than Spain

As we have detailed previously, the Spanish region of Catalonia in the North-Eastern corner of Spain will attempt to hold an independence referendum tomorrow, against the will of the central government in Madrid. Apart from the Baleares and the Madrid region itself, Catalonia together with its capital Barcelona is one of the most economically-powerful parts […]


New York Fed, Atlanta Fed, & Goldman Slash Q3 GDP Forecasts

As 'hard' economic data in America crashes to its weakest since Feb 2009, so The New York Fed has slashed its economic growth forecasts for Q3 and Q4 dramatically. The drivers of the collapse are hurricane-impacted data from Industrial production and Retail Sales this morning… For those hoping for a "broken window fallacy" rebound in […]


August Consumer Prices Surge As Shelter Costs Spike Most Since 2005

After disappointing (for The Fed's inflationistas) producer prices growth yesterday, consumer prices jumped 0.4% MoM in August – the biggest spike since January. Gains were driven by soaring energy costs (offset by a big decline in vehicle prices).   Year over Year, CPI remains below The Fed's mandat at +1.9% but that is hotter than […]


Former BIS Chief Economist Warns “More Dangers Now Than In 2007”

Having warned in the past that "the system is dangerously unacnhored," former chief economist of the Bank for International Settlements, William White, told Bloomberg TV overnight that the current situation "looks very similar to 2008," adding that OECD sees "more dangers" today than in 2007. The chairman of Economic and Development Review Committee at OECD, […]


Emerging Market Debt: Dumb, Dumber, And Dumbest

Authored by Jonathan Rochford via Narrow Road Capital, One of the classic signs that the credit cycle is nearing the end is that borrowers that shouldn’t be getting financed not only get funded, but get it at terms that seem crazy. I’ve recently written about the silly things happening in global high yield debt, Chinese […]