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What’s Keeping The German Grand Coalition Talks Alive?

Authored by Mike Shedlock via www.themaven.net/mishtalk, After rejecting a Grand Coalition, SPD's Sigmar Gabriel seeks to keep the hopes alive despite little party support. Why? Background Heading into the last election, SPD failed to distinguish itself. Voters reacted appropriately, abandoning SPD, leading to its worst performance ever. When SPD initially declined the opportunity to form […]


Merkel’s Last Stand – Article 7 For Poland

Authored by Tom Luongo, As she fights for her political life Soon-to-be-ex-Chancellor of Germany Angela Merkel will go down swinging against her stiffest political opponents in the European Union, the Poles. Merkel and French President Emmanual Macron publicly agreed to back Article 7 proceedings against Poland for refusing to comply with EU immigration quotas and […]


Who Ya Gonna Fight? Landmark Treaty Signed To Create EU Army

EU leaders formerly endorsed the harmless sounding Permanent Structured Cooperation, or PESCO, pact on Thursday evening in Brussels. After the shock of Brexit, the goal of defence integration was revived by former military foes, Germany and France, supported by Italy and Spain, in a show of EU unity. A similar proposal was blocked by the […]


Brexit Moves To Phase 2 – Sterling Slides As EU Warns Talks Will Be Far More Testing

Following the humiliation of losing the House of Commons vote on Friday, in which MP’s took the final say on the Brexit deal from the executive, UK Prime Minister was in Brussels as EU leaders gave approval for Brexit talks to move to phase 2. At a dinner last night, she was applauded by leaders […]


Futures Flat As FOMC Meeting Begins; Brent Jumps Over $65 For First Time Since 2015

E-mini futures are modestly in the green this morning, though net of fair value the S&P index is poised for another record high open as the FOMC begins its last meeting for 2017 in which it is expected to raise rates by 25bps. European stocks gain while Asian equities slide led by weakness in Chinese […]


Polexit Threat: EU Increasingly Upset About Poland Ignoring Rules

Authored by Mike Shedlock via www.themaven.net/mishtalk, The Polish government increasingly defies EU rules. Since Poland is the largest aid recipient, the EU is hopping mad.  Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic are all in open defiance of EU migration rules. In addition, Poland's Law & Justice party move to take control of the courts was […]


Tax Deal Sends US Futures Soaring To New All Time High; Dollar, Yields, Global Stocks Follow

The dollar jumped the most in two weeks, pushing Treasury yields as much as 6bps higher (before easing back) with US equity indexes primed for a another record-setting day after Senate Republicans approved a reduction in the corporate tax rate as part of a sweeping overhaul, giving a boost to President Donald Trump’s stimulus plans. […]


Europe’s Migrant Crisis: Millions More Still To Come

Authored by Soren Kern via The Gatestone Institute, More than six million migrants are waiting in countries around the Mediterranean to cross into Europe, according to a classified German government report leaked to Bild. "Young people all have cellphones and they can see what's happening in other parts of the world, and that acts as […]


Europe’s New ‘Values’ – Austerity, Bloodletting, And Incompetence

Authored by Raul Ilargi Meijer via The Automatic Earth blog, Punxsutawney Phil Hammond, the UK chancellor, presented his Budget yesterday and declared five more years of austerity for Britain. As was to be expected. One doesn’t even have to go into the details of the Budget to understand that it is a dead end street […]


Merkel Tanks In German Polls As Critical Discussions Take Place With SPD

Angela’s Merkel’s ability to restore her power in Germany should be decided in the next few days, as talks take place with Martin Schultz’s SPD. In the meantime, Merkel’s ratings have unexpectedly “tanked” in the latest German polls. More than half of Germans believe she should not run for office in a poll conducted for […]


Key Events In The Coming Holiday-Shortened Week

It’s a relatively quiet, holiday-shortened (in the US) week, in which volumes are expected to grind lower as we head into the Thanksgiving holiday. In the US, existing home sales will be reported on Tues, expected to edge up to 5.4mn saar in Oct from 5.39mn in Sep. One day later, we get the durable […]


“Merkel Will Have To Go”: Bill Blain On What’s Next For The Germans

“When you turn an election into a three-ring circus, there is the possibility the dancing bear will win..” After Sunday night’s shocking failure by Merkel to from a government (triggered by the Free Democrats walking out due to irreconcilable differences on refugee policy, energy policy and tax policy) the FT was quick to conclude that […]


In Dramatic Rebound, Euro, DAX Recover All Losses; “Is Strong Government Overrated?” SocGen Asks

Having tumbled 80 pips to a one week low in kneejerk response to the late Sunday news that Angela Merkel had failed to form a government following the collapse of the “Jamaica Coalition” talks – when the Free Democratic Party walked out, saying the differences with the Green party were too great to bridge – […]


Putin Blamed For Poland’s Bust-Up With Brussels

Russia-gate blame-scaping is accelerating across Europe… and now it is being embraced by none other than European Council President Donald Tusk. In what is an unprecedented attack by an EU leader on a member state’s sitting government, Bloomberg reports that Tusk explicitly suggests the ruling Law & Justice party is merely a 'puppet of Putin' […]


Keep Calm & Carry On

Authored by 720Global's Michael Liebowitz via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, “Before long, we will all begin to find out the extent to which Brexit is a gentle stroll along a smooth path to a land of cake and consumption.” – Mark Carney, Bank of England Governor In 1939, the British Government, through the Ministry of Information, produced a […]