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Sharing Risks To Counter Germany’s Plans Seeing Target2 Collaterilazation With Gold Reserves

Marcello Minenna, a division head at the Italian securities regulator, emailed his plan to "Cure the Eurozone". Despite being quite soft (there will not be permanent transfers between Member States), the recent proposals of the European Commission to deepen integration in the economic and monetary union could meet the opposition of Germany as soon as […]

“They Are Sleepwalking Into A Major Correction”: One Trader Expects A Violent Move In Bunds

With many expecting long-yield to continue declining no matter what, and how many hikes, the Fed and central banks do on the short end, Tommi Utoslahti, a former derivatives trader and analyst and currently one of Bloomberg’s Global Macro squawkers, disagrees and as he writes in his latest Markets Live note below, expects a violent […]

Why We Should Worry About China

Authored by Daniel Lacalle via The Mises Institute, Many of our readers might remember the late 80s. There were hundreds of movies, songs and books about the inevitable Japanese economic invasion. The ones of you that did not live that period can see that it did not happen. Why? Because the Japanese growth miracle was […]

Global Negative Yielding Debt Surges To $9.7 Trillion Despite ECB’s QE Taper

As we noted a few months ago, ever since the ECB launched its sovereign debt QE, initially known as PSPP, in March 2015 and later expanded to include corporate debt, or CSPP, in June 2016, the world’s biggest hedge fund central bank has created enough money out of thin air to purchase bonds with no […]

Michael Pettis: China’s Growth Miracle Has Run Out Of Steam

Authored by Michael Pettis, op-ed via The Financial Times, Beijing must reveal the true level of GDP and wasted investment… China’s 19th Communist party congress ended last month with an indication that Xi Jinping’s new administration plans to rein in debt by abandoning the country’s long-term economic targets and allowing gross domestic product growth to […]

Who’s Next? Venezuela’s Collapse Puts These Nations At Risk

"It's a wake-up call for a lot of people who will say ‘Look, the stuff I own is actually very risky'…" warns Ray Jian, who oversees about $6 billion at Pioneer Investment Management Ltd. in London. "People have been ignoring risks in places like Lebanon for a long time," and the official default of Venezuela […]

Is There Any Way Out Of The ECB’s Trap?

Authored by Daniel Lacalle via The Mises Institute, The ECB faces the Devil’s Alternative that Frederick Forsyth mentioned in one of his books. All options are potentially risky. Mario Draghi knows that maintaining the so-called stimuli involves more risks than benefits, but also knows that eliminating them could make the eurozone deck of cards collapse. Despite the […]

Greece Plans 30 Billion Euro Debt Swap As It Prepares For The End Of Bailouts

Greece is planning a 30 billion euros debt swap which will convert 20 existing bonds into 5 (or less) new issues in the next few weeks (although the exact timing remains uncertain). The bonds are expected to have similar maturities to the existing notes from 2023-2042. According to Bloomberg, the Greek government is planning an […]

The Scariest Charts In The World

Authored by Anthony Doyle via BondVigilantes.com, Investment markets have been remarkably resilient over the course of 2017. Sure, the geopolitical environment has thrown up a few frightening days which saw markets sell-off but on the whole volatility has been muted and most asset classes have generated solid total returns. That said, any horror movie fan […]

Schäuble: Another Financial Crisis Is Coming Due To Spiraling Global Debt, “New Bubbles”

Following the disappointing for Angela Merkel and her CDU German election results, which propelled the populist AfD into Germany’s political establishment with 92 members of parliament, the first casualty was Germany’s finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, who in a few days will relinquish his long-held post and move on to the ceremonial role of Bundestag president. […]

Spanish Stocks Slammed To 7-Month Lows As Credit Risk Spikes

While the world desperately tries to shrug off the implications of Catalonia's independence vote (and Rajoy's warnings of potential reactions), investors are rapidly exiting positions in Spanish stocks and bonds… IBEX (the main Spanish stock index) just plunged to its lowest level since March (as European stocks – Stoxx 600 – hits a 4-mointh high)… […]

Why Madrid Will Never Let Go – Catalonia Is Closer To The Eurozone Than Spain

As we have detailed previously, the Spanish region of Catalonia in the North-Eastern corner of Spain will attempt to hold an independence referendum tomorrow, against the will of the central government in Madrid. Apart from the Baleares and the Madrid region itself, Catalonia together with its capital Barcelona is one of the most economically-powerful parts […]

Former BIS Chief Economist Warns “More Dangers Now Than In 2007”

Having warned in the past that "the system is dangerously unacnhored," former chief economist of the Bank for International Settlements, William White, told Bloomberg TV overnight that the current situation "looks very similar to 2008," adding that OECD sees "more dangers" today than in 2007. The chairman of Economic and Development Review Committee at OECD, […]

Emerging Market Debt: Dumb, Dumber, And Dumbest

Authored by Jonathan Rochford via Narrow Road Capital, One of the classic signs that the credit cycle is nearing the end is that borrowers that shouldn’t be getting financed not only get funded, but get it at terms that seem crazy. I’ve recently written about the silly things happening in global high yield debt, Chinese […]

Austerity Isn’t Dead, It Will Come Back With A Vengeance

Authored by Jonathan Rochford via NarrowRoadCapital.com, There’s been a steady stream of recent articles claiming that austerity is dead. The “magic” of false measurements, animal spirits and money printing are used to convince the gullible that there is an easy way out. This one from James McCormack at Fitch argues that populist politicians are responsible for […]