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The Dollar’s Reign As The Global Reserve Currency Is Running Out – Fast

The dollar’s hegemony over the global financial system can’t last forever. Like all things, it will eventually come to an end. The only question left, as MacroVoices' Erik Townsend puts it, is whether we’re in the second inning and there’s going to be another hundred years of the dollar serving as the world’s global reserve […]


It’s Central Bank Bonanza Day: European Stocks Slide Ahead Of ECB; S&P Futs Hit Record High

One day after the Fed hiked rates by 25 bps as part of Janet Yellen’s final news conference, it is central bank bonanza day, with rate decisions coming from the rest of the world’s most important central banks, including the ECB, BOE, SNB, Norges Bank, HKMA, Turkey and others. And while US equity futures are […]


“Statists Don’t Share” – A Race To The Potential For Bitcoin

Authored by Jeffrey Snider via Alhambra Investment Partners, The timing just never seems to fall in our favor. If we had had this conversation ten years ago as would have been appropriate, then this evolution might have fell perfectly in our collective laps. Just as the global financial system, really the international, interbank monetary system […]


What You’re Not Being Told About The Real Economy

Authored by Jeffrey Snider via Alhambra Investment Partners, The year 2000 was a transition year in a lot of ways. Though Y2K amounted to mild mass hysteria, people did have to get used to writing the date with 20 in front of the year rather than 19. It was a new millennium (depending on your […]


How “Ghost Collateral” And “Yin-Yang” Property Deals Will Collapse China’s Credit Bubble

One lesson from the 2007-08 crisis was that the vast majority of financial market participants, never mind the general public, were unfamiliar with subprime mortgages until the crisis was underway. Even now, we doubt many have much understanding of repo, the divergence between LIBOR and Fed Funds from 9 August 2007 and Eurodollar liquidity. In […]


Goldman Reveals Its Top Trade Recommendations For 2018

It’s that time of the year again when with just a few weeks left in the year, Goldman unveils its top trade recommendations for the year ahead. And while Goldman’s Top trades for 2016 was an abysmal disaster, with the bank getting stopped out with a loss on virtually all trade recos within weeks after […]


BoC’s Poloz Just Pulled A Full Trichet

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, Remember when Bank of Canada Governor Poloz surprised the market with a second rate in early September? It caught the market off-guard as the market had priced in much less than a 50% chance of a hike. Here is the chart of the BAX futures and […]


Global Stocks Just Shy Of Record Highs As Dollar, Yields Rise On Taylor Tension

Global markets traded near all-time highs on Tuesday, with S&P futures, Asian shares and European stocks all flat this morning, while oil continued to gain on Kurdish geopolitical concerns while most industrial metals fell.  The euro extended its recent slide and stocks drifted as Spain’s escalating hard-line response to the Catalonian secession threat fueled concern […]


Looking For A Last Minute ‘Cheap’ Trade On A CPI Miss?

Demand has exploded for a cheap options bet which stands to benefit should the market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December tumble. As Bloomberg reports, the eurodollar call option involved expires Friday, so the biggest chance the wager has to profit lies with a weaker-than-forecast print on the September consumer price index, set for release […]


World Stocks Hit 4th Consecutive Record High, Bonds Rise On ECB QE Report

World stocks rose to a 4th consecutive record highs, while the dollar headed for its worst week; U.S. stock-index futures are steady, with European and Asian stocks higher ahead of much anticipated US inflation data, which is expected to give cues on the outlook for the Federal Reserve’s interest rates. MSCI’s all world equity index […]


Extremes Are Everywhere

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, This past weekend, I discussed what appears to be the markets ongoing melt-up toward its inevitable conclusion. Of course, that move is supported by the last of the “holdouts” that finally capitulate and take the plunge back into a market that “can seemingly never go down.” But therein lies the […]


Spanish Stocks, Bonds, Euro Sink After Catalan Referendum Fiasco; S&P Futures Rise

While S&P futures were modestly higher, rising 0.1% in a quiet session in which China, South Korea, India and Hong Kong were closed for holidays, the Euro, Spanish stocks and bonds were broadly lower as Spain faces its worst constitutional crisis in years following a dramatic, violent crackdown on Sunday’s Catalan independence referendum in which […]


The Fed Has Lost The Market – Traders Abandon ‘Hype’ Of More Rate Hikes

Eurodollar options traders are abandoning positions targeting another Fed rate increase this year, as the market-implied probability of a quarter-point hike in December plunges below 25 percent. The latest Chicago Mercantile Exchange data, for trading on Thursday, show a sharp drop in open interest for options that are a pillar of a December 2017 eurodollar put-fly position, […]


The Trump ‘Eclipse Bottom’

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, Last night the US stock market sold off on headlines that Trump had taken Gary Cohn’s name out of the running for the next Fed Chairman. From CNBC: A senior administration official told CNBC that Trump is considering several candidates for Fed chair. CNN reporter Jake […]


Global Stocks Shake Off North Korea Jitters; Chinese Yuan Slides

Yesterday morning, with the US closed for holiday but with S&P futures trading modestly lower on the latest set of North Korean geopolitical fears, we asked “is this time different“, referencing last week’s similar setup, when futures gapped lower on Monday after the Kim regime shot a missile over Japan, only to surge into the […]