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The Top 8 Unknowns In 2018’s Energy Markets

Authored by Peter Tertzakian via OilPrice.com, It’s that time of year when we flip our calendars to a new start. For pundits like me, it’s customary to make a listicle about the year to come – the usual predictions about things like OPEC, energy consumption, commodity prices and electric vehicle sales in China. But I […]

WTI/RBOB Algos Confused As Crude Draws, Gasoline Builds, & Production Jumps Again

WTI/RBOB held gains overnight following API's reported crude draw (despite the gasoline glut) but after DOE confirmed a 5th weekly crude draw and 6th weekly gasoline build, algos were confused with prices chaotic. Production hit a new record high. North Sea and Canadian crude supply disruptions are suppressing U.S. imports and encouraging exports. API Crude […]

The Depression Of The 1930s Was An Energy Crisis

Authored by Gail Tverberg via Our Finite World blog, Economists, including Ben Bernanke, give all kinds of reasons for the Great Depression of the 1930s. But what if the real reason for the Great Depression was an energy crisis? When I put together a chart of per capita energy consumption since 1820 for a post […]

The Great Oil Swindle

Authored by Chris Martenson via PeakProsperity.com, … is leading us to destruction. When it comes to the story we're being told about America's rosy oil prospects, we're being swindled.  At its core, the swindle is this: The shale industry's oil production forecasts are vastly overstated. Swindle:  Noun  – A fraudulent scheme or action. And the swindle […]

California Moves One Step Closer To “Mileage Tax”; Could Require Tracking Your Cell Phone Movements

Just a few months after implementing a massive 60% hike in gasoline taxes, raising them from $0.297 per gallon to $0.417, the state of California is now one step closer to implementing a brand new tax that would charge drivers for each mile driven.  As a quick example of how shockingly misguided such a piece […]

WTI/RBOB Higher After Surprisingly Large Crude Draw

WTI/RBOB tumbled today after fears about cracks in one of the world's most important oil pipelines faded. Prices were below last week's pre-API levels as hope was high that last week's big surprise product build was a fluke but once again we saw notable product builds, but prices popped higher as a 7.382mm crude draw […]

WTI/RBOB Extend Losses On Biggest Gasoline Build In 11 Months, Record Crude Production

Following last night's API-reported huge product inventory builds, bulls were hoping DOE would rescue WTI/RBOB prices but it did not as the dat confirmed a huge crude draw and even bigger product build (gasoline's biggest weekly build since January). Adding to the pain, US crude production rose to another new record. A gasoline build is […]

WTI/RBOB Spike On OPEC Headlines After Bearish Inventory/Production Data

Update: WTI/RBOB was fading after DOE data but then Kuwait dropped the following meaningless headline: OPEC JMMC RECOMMENDS EXTENSION, DIDN'T FINALIZE DURATION. And the algos took over… *  *  * Last night's API-reported surprise crude build sparked selling that not even Russia/Saudi jawboning could rescue, but DOE data showed the exact opposite with a big […]

Is $40 WTI Now More Realistic Than $60?

Authored by Tsvetana Paraskova via OilPrice.com, The current rise in oil prices is more of a fear trade right now, driven by fear of what is going on in the Middle East, rather than a result of growing OPEC chatter or inventory reports, Todd Horwitz, chief strategist at Bubbatrading.com, told Bloomberg on Wednesday. “The oil […]

WTI Tops $57 After Biggest Crude Draw In 3 Months

WTI/RBOB bounced today in anticipation of a reversal of the last two week's builds in crude inventories, and bulls were not disappointed by the API print.  Jan '18 WTI pushed above $57 but RBOB fell after a big crude draw (though gasoline build). “It looks like we are going to get a draw in crude […]

WTI/RBOB Slide On Surprise Build As US Crude Production Hits New Record High

WTI/RBOB extended yesterday's IEA-driven losses after a big crude build reported overnight by API, and DOE did nothing to assuage that with a 1.85mm crude build (admittedly smaller than API's projected 6.5mm, but notably different from the 2.4mm draw expected), Gasoline also surprised with a build and WTI/RBOB extended losses. Additionally US Crude production rose […]

Ruble, Real Tumble As Oil Slumps On Weaker IEA Outlook

WTI Crude is tumbling this morning, breaking down below $56 following a monthly report Tuesday from the International Energy Agency that said 2017 price gains along with milder-than-normal winter weather are slowing demand growth. This drop is weighing on oil-producers with the Ruble and Real dropping most… The IEA reduced its demand estimate for next year by […]

Producer Prices Surge At Fastest Rate In Almost 6 Years

Following September's hotter-than-expected Core PPI (and 5Y high in PPI), October was expected to see a modest slowdown but headline PPI printed a massive 2.8% YoY (smashing the 2.4% exp). This is the hottest PPI since Jan 2012,  driven by surges in fuel prices and drugs.   Core PPI also beat expectations, rising 2.4% YoY […]

WTI/RBOB Drop After Surprise Gasoline Build

WTI held above $57 heading into the API print on the heels of Saudi chaos but both WTI/RBOB kneejerked lower after API reported a lower than expected crude draw and a surprise gasoline build.   API Crude -1.562mm (-2.45mm exp) Cushing +812k Gasoline +520k (-1.85mm exp) Distilates-3.133mm Following the previous week's big gasoline draw and […]

WTI/RBOB Sink As Inventory Draws Disappoint

WTI/RBOB held on to gains overnight following major draws reported by API and more OPEC jawboning (this time from UAE), but the DOE data disappointed compared to API's huge draws with Crude and Gasoline drawing down but considerably less than API reported (and Distillates barely drawing down at all). Bloomberg Intelligence energy analyst Fernando Valle: […]