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“It Is A Battle Between Data And Theory” – Fed PhDs Second-Guess Inflation Model After 5 Years Of Failure

Federal Reserve officials are finally waking up to the fact that there’s something wrong with their inflation models. It only took them five years. As Bloomberg points out, the minutes from the Fed’s July policy meeting, released yesterday, included a debate about whether the models that help the central bank set its inflation target are […]


Krieger Warns “Nazi Fears & ‘Hate Speech’ Hysteria Are Being Amplified To Attack Civil Liberties”

Authored by Mike Krieger via Liberty Blitzkrieg blog, It doesn’t take courage to denounce Nazism. Moreover, it appears many of the people incessantly proclaiming how anti-Nazi they are, happen to be the same folks who have the most to answer for when it comes to all sorts of transgressions against the world over the past […]


Millennials Are Using Financing To Pay For $450 Blenders

Low wages, mounting student debt and rising rents in the trendy urban centers where millennials prefer to live leave young people with little to spend on luxuries like an iPhone, or tickets to Fyre Festival pt. II. So, since millennials can’t seem to buy anything outright, payment companies are partnering with businesses to offer financing […]


Rickards Exposes The Elite’s Plan To Freeze The Financial System

Authored by James Rickards via The Daily Reckoning, Today’s complacent markets are faced with a number of potentially destabilizing shocks. Any one of them could potentially lead to another financial crisis. And the next crisis could see draconian measures by governments that most people are not prepared for today. You’ll see what I mean in […]


Baltimore’s Homeless Erect Modern Day ‘Hooverville’ Tent City On Front Lawn Of City Hall

Via StockBoardAsset.com, Baltimore’s homeless have erected a modern day ‘Hooverville’, or better yet a ‘Trumpville’ on the front lawn of Baltimore’s City Hall.  The tent city demands are the following: Economics: 21st Century Jobs Guarantee Program Criminal & Social Justice: Support for Power Consulting to become DOJ consent decree monitor Housing: City Wide Housing First […]


Carmageddon: Deep Subprime Auto Delinquencies Spike To 10-Year Highs

If you’re still on the fence about whether the auto market in this country is anything but a massive bubble being propped up by extremely loose credit underwriting standards, then we think Equifax has just provided some definitive evidence that just might push you over the edge.  In discussing delinquency trends in deep subprime auto […]


Stocks Slammed Amid ‘Cohn Of Uncertainty’ As Hindenburg Omen Cluster Nears Record

"Pause that refreshes?", "Fleshwound?", or "beginning of the end?"   Between Bannon's China trade war threats and fears over Cohn leaving, risk was off today, not helped by dismal Industrial Production data and the utter horror in Barcelona… Trannies were worst but this was an ugly say all aropund and losses accelerate iunto the close […]


What The Heck’s Going On With Vintage Automobiles?

Authored by Wolf Richter via WolfStreet.com, The fate of asset bubbles under the new regime. Everyone is hoping that next Friday and Saturday, at Sotheby’s auction in Monterey, California, the global asset class of collector cars will finally pull out of their ugly funk that nearly matches that during the Financial Crisis. “Hope” is the […]


The S&P 500 Is Now Overvalued On 18 Of 20 Valuation Metrics

After last week’s brief war with North Korean-inspired volatility explosion (and just as rapid subsequent retracement), some have asked if the resulting market decline, which is down a further 1% on today’s latest terrorist attack in Spain, has made stocks more attractive. Here is the quick answer according to Bank of America: based on the […]


Fed’s Kaplan Admits Stock Valuations Are Elevated, But He’s Not Worried For One Reason

There were two explicit warnings about stock market valuations in the latest Fed Minutes: first, the Fed warned that “vulnerabilities associated with asset valuation pressures had edged up from notable to elevated, as asset prices remained high or climbed further, risk spreads narrowed, and expected and actual volatility remained muted in a range of financial […]


“Friends Don’t Let Friends Buy VIX”

Authored by Peter Tchir via Brean Capital, I would NOT be selling volatility here.  My title was dripping with sarcasm… Selling Volatility Is Very Crowded and Dangerous Now You know a trade is getting crowded when my parents start asking about it.  You know just how one sided something is when people think that even […]


Tech Rally Internals Tank: Nasdaq Ratio Crashes To Record Low

Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr, On an equal-weight basis, the Nasdaq 100 just dropped to a relative all-time low. There are countless ways to measure the level of participation in a stock market rally. By “participation”, we are referring to the number of stocks that are taking part in the rally. One way is to look […]


Analyst Lays Out China’s “Doomsday” Scenario

The first time we laid out the dire calculations about what is perhaps the biggest mystery inside China’s financial system, namely the total amount of its non-performing loans, by former Fitch analyst Charlene Chu we called it a “neutron bomb” scenario, because unlike virtually every other rosy forecast the most dire of which topped out […]


The Stock Market Bubble is So Big Even the Fed’s Talking About It

The Fed confirmed yesterday that stocks are in a bubble. Lost amidst the usual Fed-speak about inflation and other items were the following nuggets. 1)   “Equities” (read: stocks) were the primary reason the Fed discussed financial stability risks. 2)   The Fed raised its assessment of financial stability from “notable” to “elevated.” 3)   The Fed discussed […]


“A Volatile Autumn”: Buckled Up For Structured Criticality

Submitted by Gary Evans of Global Macro Monitor We’re baaaccck!. We warned in our last post before leaving on holiday, “Look for some large sigma event, which is always the case when we are off the desk.”    How about a vol spike caused by worries over a nuclear exchange?   Nuclear war! The potential implosion […]