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Mauldin: “Investors Ignore What May Be The Biggest Policy Error In History”

Submitted by John Mauldin My good friend Peter Boockvar recently shared a chart with me. The University of Michigan’s Surveys of Consumers have been tracking consumers and their expectations about the direction of the stock market over the next year. We are now at an all-time high in the expectation that the stock market will […]


Bearish Fund Traders Head For Early Hibernation

'Speculators' have never been so confidently complacent that 'all is well'. Speculative positioning in VIX futures and options remains at its most short in history as traders refuse to back away from 'what works' as realized volatility collapses to its lowest in over 60 years… And as Dana Lyons notes, assets in mutual funds designed […]


Institutions Are Selling To Retail Investors At An Unprecedented Pace

According to the latest EPFR fund flow data compiled by BofA’s Michael Hartnett, the great “institutional to equity” stockholding rotation is accelerating, with another $8.8bn allocated to equities, more than all of it from retail investors, and another $5.8bn going into bonds, offset by a $0.4bn outflows from gold. Ironically, the one place where active […]


No Vol And No Volume – Even The WSJ Questions Equity Melt-Up

It’s encouraging to see that one mainstream media outlet questioning the recent market melt-up which wasn’t just notable for the lack of volatility, but also a severe lack of volume. The new normal seems to be “No vol and no volume”, although we saw a bit of a regime shift today, before the normal reversal. […]


Robert Shiller: 1987 Could Happen Again

By Robert Shiller, first published in the NYT Oct. 19, 1987, was one of the worst days in stock market history. Thirty years later, it would be comforting to believe it couldn’t happen again. Yet that’s true only in the narrowest sense: Regulatory and technological change has made an exact repeat of that terrible day […]


Something Wicked This Way Comes: McDonalds – A Bear In A Bull Costume

Authored by 720Global's Michael Lebowitz via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, As Halloween nears, kids are choosing costumes to transform themselves into witches, baseball players and anything else they can imagine. In the spirit of Halloween, we thought it might be an appropriate time to describe the most popular costume on Wall Street, one which many companies have been […]


Just Two Charts

Keep It Simple Stupid… As retail investors bid the the stock market up to its most expensive ever…   Professionals are piling into crash risk protection…   “If you have been in the game for a while, and you still don’t know who the patsy is, you’re the patsy.“ http://WarMachines.com


How The Elite Dominate The World – Part 2: 99.9% Of The World Live In A Country With A Central Bank

Authored by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog, Even though the nations of the world are very deeply divided on almost everything else, somehow virtually all of them have been convinced that central banking is the way to go.  Today, less than 0.1% of the population of the world lives in a country that […]


The ‘Winners Of The New World’ Redux

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, The New “Winners of the New World” Do you remember Jim Cramer’s February 29th, 2000 speech, “Winners of the New World? You want winners? You want me to put my Cramer Berkowitz hedge fund hat on and just discuss what my fund is buying today to […]


Morgan Stanley: “Client Cash Is At Its Lowest Level” As Institutions Dump Stocks To Retail

The “cash on the sidelines” myth is officially dead. Recall that at the end of July, we reported that in its Q2 earnings results, Schwab announced that after years of avoiding equities, clients of the retail brokerage opened the highest number of brokerage accounts in the first half of 2017 since 2000. This is what […]


The ECB Has Bought €1.9 Trillion In Bonds: Here Is Who Sold And What They Did With The Money

Since the ECB launched its sovereign debt QE, initially known as PSPP, in March 2015 and later expanded to include corporate debt, or CSPP, in June 2016, the world’s biggest hedge fund central bank has created enough money out of thin air to purchase bonds with no consideration for price to grow its balance sheet, […]


Personal Recollections From The Crash Of 1987: “There Was No ‘Smart Money’ That Day!”

Via LyonsSharePro.com, The following guest post is a first-hand account of the events surrounding the Crash of 1987 by JLFMI President, John S. Lyons. Personal Recollections of the Crash of 1987 on its 30th Anniversary “There was no ‘smart money’ that day.” What do the assassination of President John F Kennedy, the beginning of Desert Storm […]


The Rally’s Relentless Bid Is “Unprecedented”

Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr, The persistence of the recent stock rally is nearly unprecedented in the past 50 years. Perhaps the most impressive aspect to the stock market rally over the past several months has been its relentlessness. Much to the bears’ chagrin, it has felt as if the market is on a one-way ticket higher. […]


One Bored Trader Finds More Ways To Get Into Trouble

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, Another day, and another steady grind higher in US stock markets. In all my years trading, I can’t recall a non-summer or non-holiday period that has been as boring as the past couple of weeks. I mean, B-O-R-I-N-G. The ironic part of this snoozefest? There has […]


What Wall Of Worry? Goldman Finds Investors Are “Unusually Bullish”

One month after Goldman’s proprietary crash indicator rose to 67%, the highest level since the financial crisis and dot com bubble, and suggesting a crash may be imminent, stocks continue to hit new all time highs, stumping anyone who still believes there is such a thing as an efficient market. So has Goldman thrown in […]