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Fed’s Most-Watched Inflation Indicator Ticks Up In October – Still Well Below Mandate

The Fed's most-watched inflation indicator – Core PCE – has been on a downward trend since short-term peaking in January (and yet the need to keep hiking rates has remained). However, October's 1.4% rise (as expected) offers some hope to Janet, Jay, and their friends that an inflection point has been reached in the transitory […]


This Is What The Death Of A Nation Looks Like: Venezuela Prepares For 2,300% Hyperinflation

Back in January 2016, we showed what the collapse of Venezuela looks like, when in addition to charting Venezuela’s imploding currency (which back then was trading at a positive expensive 941 bolivars to the dollar), we presented what at the time was the IMF’s latest Venezuela inflation forecast, which stunned us as it surged from […]


Are We Already In Recession?

Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog, If we stop counting zombies, we're already in recession. How shocked would you be if it was announced that the U.S. had just entered a recession, that is, a period in which gross domestic product (GDP) declines (when adjusted for inflation) for two or more quarters? Would […]