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How The Asset Bubble Could End – Part 2

Authored by Pater Tenebrarum via Acting-Man.com, Read Part 1 here… Contradictory Signals Special antennae that help traders catch upcoming opportunities. Available from the same outfit that sells the soup-cooling spoon (Acme Inc).   There is just one more positioning indicator we want to mention: after surging by around $126 billion since March of 2016, NYSE […]


Record Calm Stock Market Gets A Shock

Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr, After a record run of muted movement, will recent volatility send negative shock waves through stock market? The recent uptick in stock volatility has some investors on edge (OK, it is mostly just financial news editors on edge). The truth is, while volatility over the past week has seen an increase, […]


What Happened To Cash Flow Growth: The Red Flag In Q3 Earnings

Listening to Wall Street analysts, or their financial press cheerleaders, one would be left with the impression that earnings season has been gangbusters, and the recent 2-3 quarters of growth are sure to lay the basis for a new golden age in which EPS rises at double-digit rates for years to come. There are just […]


The Difference Between GAAP And Non-GAAP Q3 EPS For The Dow Jones Was 16%

The last time we looked at the near-record difference between GAAP and non-GAAP Dow Jones earnings, we found that it had crept to a (virtually) unprecedented 25%. To be sure, that was exactly one year ago, when the economy was perceived as being in worse shape than it is now, thanks to the narrative of […]


Unbridled Exuberance…

Authored by James Stack via InvesTech.com, From public confidence to bullish sentiment to the normally mundane employment data, the U.S. economy and stock market are reaching historic levels not seen in decades.  Last month, consumer confidence hit its highest level since December 2000.  The percentage of bullish investment advisors recently touched lofty levels that were […]


Bond Yields Break Out Around The World As Japan’s Record Stock Rally Ends

S&P futures are fractionally in the red while traders await President Trump’s pick for Fed chair and more clues on the fate of tax reform; Asian stocks slide, European shares are little changed ahead of tomorrow’s ECB tapering announcement as US 10Y yields finally break out of their multi-month range below 2.40%…   … pushing […]


Global Markets Shaken By Sudden Equity Sell-Off: Hang Seng Crashes, VIX Surges

Has the market’s “melt-up” levitation finally ended? Of course, it could be much worse: as Bloomberg’s Paul Jarvis recalls, thirty years ago on this day traders around the globe were staring at their screens in disbelief as stock markets turned to a sea of red: the Dow, S&P 500, FTSE, DAX and CAC fell -23%, […]


Global Markets Shaken By Sudden Equity Sell-Off: Hong Kong Crashes, VIX Surges

Has the market’s “melt-up” levitation finally ended? Of course, it could be much worse: as Bloomberg’s Paul Jarvis recalls, thirty years ago on this day traders around the globe were staring at their screens in disbelief as stock markets turned to a sea of red: the Dow, S&P 500, FTSE, DAX and CAC fell -23%, […]


Dow Futures Over 23,000: Dollar, Global Stocks Jump As China Congress Begins

World stocks stayed near peaks and currencies moved in tight ranges on Wednesday as China’s 19th Communist Party Congress opened while focus in Europe turned to speeches from top euro zone central bankers before next week’s key policy meeting, as well as Catalonia’s ultimatum due on Thursday. S&P futures are solidly in the green as […]


Personal Recollections From The Crash Of 1987: “There Was No ‘Smart Money’ That Day!”

Via LyonsSharePro.com, The following guest post is a first-hand account of the events surrounding the Crash of 1987 by JLFMI President, John S. Lyons. Personal Recollections of the Crash of 1987 on its 30th Anniversary “There was no ‘smart money’ that day.” What do the assassination of President John F Kennedy, the beginning of Desert Storm […]


The Biggest Stock Market Crashes Tend To Happen In October

Authored by SeasonalCharts.com's Dmitri Speck via Acting-Man.com, October is the Most Dangerous Month The prospect of steep market declines worries investors – and the month of October has a particularly bad reputation in this respect.   Bad juju month: Statistically, October is actually not the worst month on average – but it is home to […]


Dollar Surges, Bonds Dump Ahead Of Trump Tax Plan

S&P futures are set for a higher open (+ 0.1%) despite the expected hit to the Dow from Nike which is down over 3% on unexpectedly poor revenue growth, as European stocks gain while Asian shares dropped. Like yesterday when the big story was the jump in the USD ahead of Yellen's (rather hawkish) speech, […]


Global Markets Spooked By North Korea H-Bomb Threat; Focus Turns To Brexit Speech

S&P futures retreated along with European and Asian shares with tech, and Apple supplier shares leading the drop while safe havens such as gold and the yen rose, as the war of words between U.S. President Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un escalated and North Korea threatened to launch a hydrogen bomb, leading to a […]


Is Historically Low Volatility About To Surge?

Authored by Dmitri Speck via Acting-Man.com, Suspicion Asleep You have probably noticed it already: stock market volatility has recently all but disappeared. This raises an important question for every investor: Has the market established a permanent plateau of low volatility, or is the current period of low volatility just the calm before the storm?   […]