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The #BitcoinBreakdown: Demigod in the Details

First Appearing on HedgeAccordingly.com Sixth in a series. Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, Part 4, Part 5 By @sellputs Seems like everybody wants to buy in on bitcoin, and if you do, brace for a gut-tossing rollercoaster ride and another drawback, as well:  Trading costs in crypto are astonishingly high.  Comparison: on TD Ameritrade, you can do a $10 million […]

Short Sellers Are Aggravating China’s Bond Rout – Regulators AWOL (For Now)

After the Party Congress finished in October and China’s centrally planned markets were released (somewhat) from the vice-like grip which had prevailed during the proceedings, we noted the comment from Huachuang Securities that China’s bond holders may be about to get hit by “daggers falling from the sky”, referring to deleveraging. They were right, to […]

Financial Times: Sell Bitcoin Because The Market Is About To Become “Civilized”

On 31 October 2017, we discussed the announcement that the CME Group was responding to client interest and launching a Bitcoin Futures contract before the end of this year. CME stated that the contract would be cash settled based on the CME CF Bitcoin Reference rate, a once-a-day reference rate of the US dollar Bitcoin […]

Venezuela, PDVSA CDS Triggered: ISDA Says Credit Event Has Occured

In a long overdue, and not exactly surprising decision, moments ago the ISDA Determination Committee decided, after punting for three days in a row, that a Failure to Pay Credit Event has occured with respect to both the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela as well as Petroleos de Venezuela, S.A. Specifically, in today’s determination, in response […]

Venezuela Signs $3.2 Billion Debt Restructuring Deal With Russia

As Venezuela teeters right on the brink of complete financial collapse, Bloomberg reports that Russia has agreed to restructure roughly $3.2 billion in outstanding obligations.  While details of the restructuring agreement are scarce, both sides reported that the deal spreads payments out over 10 years with minimal cash service required over the next six years. […]

“It’s A Vicious Cycle”: Goldman Abandons Equity Options Market-Making As Vol Collapses

October is historically the most volatile month of the year, but in 2017 – the average volatility of US equity markets dropped to an all-time record low…   … And you know something's wrong when, just like in early 2007 when the crash in vol killed the swaptions industry – just before all hell broke […]

All Of The World’s Money And Markets In One Visualization

Millions, billions, and trillions… When we talk about the giant size of Apple, the fortune of Warren Buffett, or the massive amount of global debt accumulated – all of these things sound large, but they are actually extremely different in magnitude. That’s why, as Visual Capitalists' Jeff Desjardins explains, visualizing things spatially can give us […]

“They’re Ba-ack!” – Citi Says Synthetic CDOs May Reach $100 Billion In 2017, 5x Increase In 2 Years

35-year-old Jia Chen of Citibank probably has no idea where that title quote above came from.  That’s because she was roughly 4 years old when Poltergeist II hit theaters back in 1986… …that said, Citibank, as we noted a few weeks back, has every confidence that Jia is the perfect person to put in charge […]

World Stocks Soar To New Record Highs As Oil, Metals Surge Ahead Of The Fed

US equity futures have hit a new records, helped by surging Asian and European stocks which have all started November on a euphoric note. Surging commodity prices, optimism about tax reform and hope for a new dovish Fed chair all combined to drive global stock markets to record highs on Wednesday, with the MSCI’s world […]

LedgerX Trades Over $1 Million In Bitcoin Options And Swaps In First Week

Bitcoin derivatives clearinghouse LedgerX has announced that the first bitcoin derivatives trades have taken place on its platform – an important milestone for the nascent digital currency market that could open the door to more institutional involvement and, some say, the creation of the first bitcoin-focused ETF. LedgerX confirmed rumors that it had already started […]

Carney Reveals Europe’s Potential Achilles Heel in Brexit Talks

This morning, BoE Governor Mark Carney discussed the risks of a hard Brexit during his testimony to the UK Parliamentary Treasury Committee. There was renewed weakness in Sterling during his testimony. Ironically, given the fall in Sterling, Carney explained why Europe’s financial sector is more at risk than the UK from a “hard” or “no-deal” […]

Surging Windstream Spreads Remind Wall Street Why Synthetic CDO’s Are A Bad Idea

Just a couple of weeks ago, we wrote a post about Citibank and the 35 year old they recently put in charge of once again making the bank into a powerhouse in the Synthetic CDO market.  Less than a decade after being forced to take a taxpayer funded bailout to avoid an embarrassing bankruptcy filing, […]

Robert Gore’s “Hard Core Doom Porn”

Authored by Robert Gore via Straight Line Logic blog, It will be a crash like we’ve never seen before. SLL has been accused of trafficking in “doom porn.” Guilty as charged. If you don’t like doom porn, don’t read this article, it’s hard core. If you prefer feel good and heartwarming, there are plenty of […]

Goldman Is Allowing Its Clients To Bet On The Next Financial Crisis

Just over a decade ago, as the S&P was hitting all time highs and there was a line around the block of 30-some year old hedge fund managers, desperate to put other people’s money in various ultra risky investments just so they could pick a few excess bps of yield over Treasurys – a situation […]