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China Beige Book Warns Economic Slowdown Has Begun

When it comes to the global economy, few things matter as much as China, the trajectory of its economy and especially the pace and impulse of its credit creation, which is ironic because virtually all data coming out of China is fabricated and manipulated, and thoroughly untrustworthy, either on purpose or “by accident.” The latest […]


Now That Xmas Is Over – Mapping The US States With The Most People In Debt

With Americans left with only one option – indentured servitude – to maintain any semblance of normal quality of life – especially at Christmas – we thought it worthwhile considering which US States have the most people in debt. Using data from anonymous consumer-level records from a major credit bureau, the Urban Institute was able […]


Credit Card Debt Suddenly Surges 18% As U.S. Consumers “Pre-Spend” Tax Relief Savings

With Republicans in Washington D.C. on the verge of passing their first major piece of legislation in the form of comprehensive tax cuts that will allow Americans across the income spectrum to keep a little more of their hard earned cash in 2018, it appears as though eager U.S. consumers may have already “pre-spent” their […]


Proposed Legislation: Fannie And Freddie Are Here To Stay – There Is No Alternative

Since the US government nationalized the two GSEs in 2008 in a $187 billion bailout of the mortgage giants, there have been consistent calls for them to be wound down and for the private sector to fill the void. As we discussed, this view is, or was, shared by new Fed Chairman, Jay Powell. Mr. […]


American Purchases Of “Stuff They Don’t Need” Hits 17 Year High

Anyone who has been paying attention to the New York Fed’s Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit is probably aware that Americans are drowning in debt… …Aggregate household debt climbed $116 billion during the third quarter to $12.96 trillion, edging past its previous peak from Q3 2008. But even as millennials struggle to pay […]


In Dramatic Reversal, China Gives Up On Deleveraging Pledge

Last week, when looking at the latest Chinese credit data, we made two troubling observations: first, China’s economic growth was slowing across a number of key data points despite massive new credit injected into the economy over the past year. Second, that the formerly massive credit impulse – which was responsible for pushing the global […]


Global Deflation Alert: Chinese Credit Creation Tumbles To 27 Month Low

At the end of November, we showed a troubling observation for China – and global – macro watchers from Axiom’s Gordon Johnson: for the first time ever, record Chinese credit creation had failed to stimulate the economy, and in fact the exact opposite appeared to be unfolding – economic growth is slowing across a number […]


How Fed Rate Hikes Impact US Debt Slaves

Authored by Wolf Richter via WolfStreet.com, But savers are still getting shafted. Outstanding “revolving credit” owed by consumers – such as bank-issued and private-label credit cards – jumped 6.1% year-over-year to $977 billion in the third quarter, according to the Fed’s Board of Governors. When the holiday shopping season is over, it will exceed $1 […]


Doug Noland: There Will Be No Way Out When This Market Bubble Bursts

Authored by Adam Taggart via PeakProsperity.com, This week Doug Noland joins the podcast to discuss what he refers to as the "granddaddy of all bubbles". Noland, a 30-year market analyst and specialist in credit cycles, currently works at McAlvany Wealth Management and is well known for his prior 16-year stint helping manage the Prudent Bear Fund. […]


Abracadabra – Uncovering The Fed’s ‘Magnificent Fraud’

Authored by James Howard Kunstler via Kunstler.com, And so, as they say in the horror movies, it begins…! The unwinding of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet. Such an esoteric concept! Is there one in ten thousand of the millions of people who sit at desks all day long from sea to shining sea who have […]


US Credit Card Debt Surges Above $1 Trillion, Just Shy Of All Time Highs As Student, Car Loans Breach Records

Earlier in 2017, using the latest – and soon to be revised – Fed data, newspapers and financial media reported that US consumer credit card debt had risen above $1 trillion for the first time since the financial crisis. Ironically, just a few months later the Fed revised its data series sharply lower, sending the […]


Government Watchdog Warns Market Crash Risk Rising: “One-Sixth Of All Hedge Funds Are 15x Leveraged”

One wonders if the Fed ever reads the reports issued by the Office of Financial Stability, which does a surprisingly good job of laying out the risks facing the market at any one time, which incidentally are far greater than various Fed presidents would care to admit. If it did, it would learn from the […]


“For The First Time In Modern History” US Government Debt Will Surpass Household Debt

Last week, rating agency DBRS raised a red flag when it calculated that in the past decade average US wages have risen by only 5.7%, while consumer debt over the same period rose 60% more, or 9.3%. However, while the US household’s reliance on debt to fill in the income gaps is hardly news, on […]


Bubble Watch: The Everything Bubble is Riskier and Less Liquid Than Housing

As we keep emphasizing, the world is in an Everything Bubble. In truth, it is a bubble in sovereign bonds, created by Central Banks attempting to corner these markets via ZIRP and QE. However, because sovereign bonds are the bedrock for the current fiat financial system, if they go into a bubble, EVERYTHING goes into […]


Weekend Reading: Keeping You Awake At Night

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, In her last testimony before Congress as head of the Federal Reserve, Janet Yellen made a curious statement: “I would simply say that I am very worried about the sustainability of the U.S. debt trajectory. Our current debt-to-GDP ratio of about 75 percent is not frightening but it’s also […]