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The Running Of The Japan Bears

Authored by Nick Schmitz via Verdad Capital We’ve done a National Geographic–style deep dive into the world of the Japan bears, reading the scare stories about demographic decline, old people dying alone, underrepresentation of minorities on corporate boards, and other anecdotal “evidence” of stagnant economic prospects. We tried to find the best examples of Japan bearishness: […]


“The Nightmare Scenario” Revisited: Albert Edwards Lays Out The Next “Black Monday”

Is it the onset of a recession or the fear of a recession that causes a crash? That is what SocGen’s bear (or, as he calls himself this time, wolf) Albert Edwards contemplated on the 30th anniversary of Black Monday, before reaching the conclusion that it’s the latter. Having taken several weeks off from publishing […]


“No One Knows How To Interpret The Fed” Trader Reflects On Crushed Curve-Steepening Trade

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, Last week I got long the US 5-30 year yield spread (Air Says Get Long Steepeners). I thought the seasonality, combined with a bear move in bonds, would cause some steepening in that part of the curve. Well, I got the bear move in bonds, but […]


Exactly How Many Warnings Do You Need?

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, When I was growing up my father, probably much like yours, had pearls of wisdom that he would drop along the way. It wasn’t until much later in life that I learned that such knowledge did not come from books, but through experience. One of my favorite pieces of […]


Oh Canada – Reflections On An Economic Experiment

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, It seems like the only time Canada makes the news is when America elects some right wing President the Hollywood elite don’t like, and they all threaten to move to Canada. We are usually too polite to say something, as it is often clear the Americans […]