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As Stocks Soar To Record High, Americans’ Consumer Confidence Tumbles In November

Despite soaring stock market values and an endless array of postive survey data from various estabishment-based entities, University of Michigan confidence tumbled in November. Consumer sentiment in the U.S. cooled for a second month. While current conditions managed to improve, expectations for the future slumped… “Perhaps the most important changes in early December were higher income […]


Consumer Confidence Unexpectedly Drops On Inflation, Rate-Hike Fears

UMich consumer sentiment declined from 100.7 to 97.8 in the preliminary November print, disappointing expectations of a small rise as anticipation of a pickup in inflation and higher interest rates weighed on the gauge. Even with the decline, sentiment was the second-highest since January, reinforcing other reports that Americans remain optimistic about employment and the […]


Key Events In The Coming Very Busy Week

With a full slate of central bank meetings, data (including payrolls Friday) and earnings next week there’s a little bit for everyone. On Thursday, according to Politico, we will also know who the next Fed Chair is as well as get a first look at a version of the House tax bill in the US, […]


Key Events In The Coming Week: ECB Taper, Q3 GDP And Durables

The main even this week will be the ECB’s taper announcement on Thursday where consensus expects the ECB to announce a QE extension of €30bn per month for 9 month until Sep-18, with potential extension after. Net purchases between now and Dec-17 will continue at €60bn per month as planned. To cope with rate hike […]


UMich Survey Shows Americans Have Never, Ever Been More Bullish About Stocks

Despite storms, wildfires, quakes, higher gas prices, and failed Washington policies, Americans are – according to The University of Michigan – their most confident since January 2004.   But we think it's clear what is driving the optimism… total delusion! Americans have never been more confident that that stock market will rally further in the […]


Consumer Confidence Drops As Americans Lose Faith In The Stock Market

The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence measure for September disappointex expectations with both current and future indices dropping (the former more than the latter). Differences across regions are very notable as storms impacted confidence…   However, what is most concerning (for the powers-that-be), is the plunge in faith that the stock market will go higher…   […]


UMich Consumer Confidence Slides On Loss Of ‘Hope’

University of Michigan's headline consumer confidence index slipped lower in Septemeber (prelim) from 96.8 to 95.3 driven by a tumble in 'expectations' that offset a burst in 'current conditions' to its highest since Nov 2000! As Bloomberg reports, the figures are the first to broadly capture the effects of Harvey and Irma, which caused more […]


Key Events In The Coming Week: Payrolls, Core PCE, GDP, ISM And More

After last week’s relatively quiet economic calendar and focus on Central Banks, when we finally heard from both Chair Yellen and Mario Draghi on Friday, attention this week turns back to data. In a relatively busy data week ahead – particularly for the US – focus will likely be on Friday’s NFP, Q2 GDP revision […]