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China Systemic Risk: Liquidity Problem Surfaces At HNA Group Less Than Two Weeks After Company’s Denial

Here we go again… On December 8, we lamented how every few days we return to the subject of systemic risk in China related to its big four highly-indebted conglomerates, HNA, Anbang, Evergrande and Dalian Wanda. We also noted how our chief source of concern had become HNA, after it issued a bond with less […]


This Cycle: It’s Not The Economy, It’s China, Stupid!

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, I know everything is fan-freaking-tastic – with the tax reform bill and global synchronized expansion and all. I figure the last thing you need is some nattering naysayer throwing cold water on this unbelievable party, so I won’t. At least not for the short run. This […]


South Detects “Engine Test” At North Korean Nuclear Facility

More than two months have passed since North Korea held one of its missile tests – the longest period of tranquility this year, although it may be ending soon: South Korea’s National Intelligence Service warned on Monday that it has detected suspicious activity at the North’s missile research facility – the latest sign that another […]


Is America Really ‘Up’ For A Second Cold War?

Authored by Patrick Buchanan via Buchanan.org, After the 19th national congress of the Chinese Communist Party in October, one may discern Premier Xi Jinping’s vision of the emerging New World Order. By 2049, the centennial of the triumph of Communist Revolution, China shall have become the first power on earth. Her occupation and humiliation by […]


Corruption In China Risks A Soviet-Style Collapse – Party’s Graft Buster

Yang Xiadou is the Party’s number two man in Xi Jinping’s crackdown on corruption in the Chinese Communist Party – although some have seen this, in part, as a convenient way for Xi to bolster his power base. During the 19th Party Congress last month, Yang was asked about the anti-corruption drive and how to […]


All Hail: Xi Jinping Confirmed As “Most Powerful Chinese Leader Since Mao”

The phrase “Socialism with Chinese characteristics in a new era” is hardly catchy, but wields immense power. Xi Jinping became the first incumbent leader since Mao to have his name and thought added to the Party’ guiding principles, symbolising a major elevation in his power. Bloomberg reports “China’s ruling Communist Party approved a revised charter […]


The 4 Possible Channels For A Chinese Financial Crisis

That China is a widely accepted global outlier in the context of credit, debt and leverage, look no further than the latest Financial Stability Report from the IMF, which in no uncertain terms lays out where China can be “found” relative to its G-20 peers in the following chart: Yet according to the IMF, China’s […]


Xi’s Roadmap To The Chinese Dream

Authored by Pepe Escobar via The Asia Times, China's Belt and Road Initiative – the New Silk Road – will spark the country's development and turn the dream into reality… It all starts with Hong Kong as a major BRI financing hub. Now that President Xi Jinping has been duly elevated to the Chinese Communist […]


“China’s Big Reshuffle”: A Preview Of The Year’s Biggest Political Event, China’s 19th Party Congress

Nearly two years after the historic, and still mysterious “Shanghai Accord” which in early 2016 halted what at the time appeared to a global collapse in capital markets courtesy of what appears to have been unprecedented political, fiscal and monetary coordination between the developed world and China, on October 18 the world turns its attention […]


Satellite Footage Shows North Korea Preparing Ballistic Missile Launch Ahead Of US Naval Drills

Echoing a report from earlier this week, when on Wednesday the Seoul-based Asia Business Daily reported that North Korea is preparing to fire multiple short-range rockets around the opening of the Chinese Communist Party’s twice-a-decade congress on Oct. 18 – arguably the year’s most important geopolitical event – on Saturday the South Korean press claimed […]


One Bored Trader Finds More Ways To Get Into Trouble

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, Another day, and another steady grind higher in US stock markets. In all my years trading, I can’t recall a non-summer or non-holiday period that has been as boring as the past couple of weeks. I mean, B-O-R-I-N-G. The ironic part of this snoozefest? There has […]


Trump Sends Second Aircraft Carrier To Korean Peninsula With 7,500 Marines Aboard

Just one week after uttering his now-infamous “this is the calm before the storm” statement to the press ahead of a dinner with military leaders, we now learn that President Trump has dispatched a second nuclear aircraft carrier, the USS Theodore Roosevelt, filled with 7,500 marines, to the Korean Peninsula.  Of course, this comes after […]


Trump Doubles Down On Threat To Revoke Network News Licenses

Update (8:20 pm ET): Fresh off a rally in Pennsylvania where the president talked up the administration's tax reform plans, Trump has returned to twitter to round out a day of roasting NBC News by doubling down on his earlier assertion that the FCC should consider revoking the network's license(s). Of course, as one FCC […]


Trump Clarifies He Wants ‘Modernization’ Of Nuclear Arsenal, Rips “Disgusting” NBC

Update (2:40 pm ET): Defense Secretary James Mattis has come forward to vouche for his boss, telling the press that NBC's report is "absolutely false." In an unusual move, he published his denial in a terse statement. NEW: Unusual statement from SecDef Mattis, calling reports that Trump called for increase in nuclear arsenal "absolutely false" […]


Trump Threatens Withdrawal Of NBC Broadcast License After “Fake” Tenfold-Nuke Story

Update (10:10 am ET): Continuing the theme of attacking NBC for spreading "fake news" and hearsay, President Donald Trump in a tweet accused the network of making up yet another unflattering story about Trump and his relationships with his most senior advisers. He blasted NBC's report as a work of "pure fiction" invented "to demean." […]