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Global Stocks, US Futures Slide As Tax Bill Chaos Erupts In The Senate

Markets were thrown for a loop in the past 24 hours, with the Dow first soaring nearly 400 points on Thursday on expectations that tax reform was a done deal, when drama emerged just after the close when the Senate tax bill came this close to falling apart when the proposed “Trigger” was ruled as […]


Chicago PMI Drops From 6 Year Highs As New Orders Slow

After reaching its highest since March 2011 in October, Chicago Business Barometer dropped in November (but beat expectations) amid slowing New orders. Chicago PMI dropped from 66.2 to 63.9, better than the 63.0 expectations… Under the covers: Prices paid rose at a faster pace, signaling expansion New orders rose at a slower pace, signaling expansion […]


Dow Hits Record 24,000, Europe Jumps As Euphoria Returns After Tech Rout

Despite a Wednesday dive in high-flying U.S. tech stocks on worries their boom may have peaked following a MS downgrade, which presured Asian stocks leading to a slide in Hong Kong and South Korean share, on Thursday morning the dip buyers have emerged and both European stocks and US equity futures are once again solidly […]


Key Events In The Coming Week: Senate Tax Vote; Euro Inflation; GDP; OPEC, Fed Speakers

It’s a busy week as traders return from the long Thanksgiving holiday, with inflation releases in the Eurozone and Japan. We’ll also get the second estimate of US GDP, housing data and ISM manufacturing, UK monetary aggregates and PMIs in China. Finally, the Russia-OPEC meeting takes place in Vienna on November 30, while the Senate […]


World Stocks Soar To New Record Highs As Oil, Metals Surge Ahead Of The Fed

US equity futures have hit a new records, helped by surging Asian and European stocks which have all started November on a euphoric note. Surging commodity prices, optimism about tax reform and hope for a new dovish Fed chair all combined to drive global stock markets to record highs on Wednesday, with the MSCI’s world […]


Chicago PMI Surges To Highest Since March 2011 (As Employment Falls)

Another day, another 'soft' survey shows improvement. Following Dallas Fed's surge yesterday, Chicago PMI printed a dramatically better than expected 66.2 (60.0 exp) – the highest since March 2011. This print is above the highest estimate (forecast range 58 – 64.7 from 31 economists surveyed) and is a 4 standard deviation beat… To the highest […]


US Futures Rebound After Disappointing Chinese, European Data

Yesterday’s sharp Chinese selloff is now a distant memory after the BTFDers emerged, and this morning U.S. equity futures are once again levitating as the FOMC begins its two-day policy meeting, following an uneventful BOJ announcement on Tuesday morning which left all QE parameters unchanged. Asian stocks traded mixed steady while European shares climb. The […]


Key Events In The Coming Very Busy Week

With a full slate of central bank meetings, data (including payrolls Friday) and earnings next week there’s a little bit for everyone. On Thursday, according to Politico, we will also know who the next Fed Chair is as well as get a first look at a version of the House tax bill in the US, […]


Key Events In The Coming Week: A Negative Payrolls Number And Non-stop Fed Speakers

While central banks step away from the spotlight, as does Asian data and markets with China and South Korea both taking a weeklong break, there will be a bevy of central bank speakers to “explain” what is going on while it will be a busy week data wise, with the US employment trade balance report […]


US Economic Data Has Never Done This Before

While 'hope'-strewn survey data (see today's Chicago PMI) are staging a self-reinforcing resurgence in the last week or two, 'hard' economic data (that doesn't rely on the emotional responses of humans) has collapsed to its weakest since Feb 2009. This is the 6th monthly drop in 'hard' economic data in a row, something that has […]


Chicago PMI Explodes Higher, Beats By 5 Standard Deviations

Everything is awesome again in Chicago apparently… Against expectations of a modest drop from 58.9 to 58.7, MNI's Chicago Business Barometer exploded higher to 65.2 in September…   This is well above the highest analyst expectation and 5 standard deviations above expectations… Under the hood, it's also awesome… Prices paid rose at a faster pace, […]


Dollar Ends Best Week Of The Year With A Whimper As Global Stocks Push All Time Highs

The dollar rally paused on Friday and looked poised to finish its best weekly gain of the year with a whimper, when in a repeat of the Thursday session the, Bloomberg dollar index first rose more than 0.1% during Asia hours before slumping around the European open as month and quarter-end flows came into play […]


The Week’s Key Events: European Inflation, US CapEx And Non-Stop Fed Speakers

Beyond the plethora of central bank speakers, market focus will concentrate on Eurozone inflation and US data releases, including durable goods, home sales, and the personal income and spending report on Friday. We also get China PMIs, Japanese CPI and industrial production, the RBNZ meeting and Brexit negotiations (4th). Additionally, there will be monetary policy […]


Global Stocks Mixed After “Nightmare Victory” For Merkel; Chinese Property Developers Crash

European stocks rose as the euro tumbled following Germany’s election result which was dubbed a “Nightmare Victory” for Merkel and could lead to potentially complicated coalition talks and perhaps even another early election. U.S. equity-index futures point to a lower open, while Asian equities slide after a plunge in Chinese property developer names over worries […]


September 25, 2017, Uncategorized
All Eyes On August Payrolls, As Global Stocks Rise In Bullish September Start; Yuan Surge Continues

With payrolls looming (our full preview is here), carbon-based traders around the globe are leery of putting on any major trades and so the overnight session has been rather dull, dominated by the now traditional overnight algo-mediated levitation, which means the VIX is lower and S&P futures are once again modest higher as European and […]