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How To Survive Today’s Bubbly Market

Authored by James Rickards via Bonner & Partners, To paraphrase one of the great gems of Wall Street wisdom, “Nothing infuriates a man more than the sight of other people making money.” That’s a pretty good description of what happens during the late stage of a stock market bubble. The bubble participants are making money […]

Millennials & Marxism

Authored by Robert Gore via Straight Line Logic blog, Children Learn What They’re Taught Many millennials embrace Marxism. So do their parents and grandparents… From the millennials’ abilities will supposedly flow the wherewithal to fund “needs”: their elders‘ entitlements, debt, and ever-expanding blob of a government. Horror of horrors, polls and studies indicate that many […]

The Reversal: “Smart Money” Using December Day Sessions To Dump Stocks

Everything changed in December… For months, the so-called "Smart Money" has been on-board with the incessant rally in US equity markets, buying every dip – no matter how shallow. However, since the end of November, a very different regime appeared to take hold. As a reminder, Bloomberg's SMART index is calculated by taking the action […]

Stockman Slams “Bubble Finance And The Era of No-See-Um Recessions”

Authored by David Stockman via Contra Corner blog, Today's single most dangerous Wall Street meme is that there is no risk of a stock market crash because there is no recession in sight. But that proposition is dead wrong because it's a relic of your grandfather's economy. That is, a reasonably functioning capitalist order in which the […]

The Rude Awakening Of Slumbering Bulls

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Near the end of each year, Barron’s magazine highlights the outlooks for the next year from 10, or so, Wall Street strategists. As noted recently by Sentiment Trader: “Strategists are a little more optimistic than the Big Money was, forecasting a gain of around 7% for the S&P 500 […]

The Stock Market & The FOMC – An Astonishing Statistic

Authored by Pater Tenebrarum via Acting-Man.com, An Astonishing Statistic As the final FOMC announcement of the year approaches, we want to briefly return to the topic of how the meeting tends to affect the stock market from a statistical perspective. As long time readers may recall, the typical performance of the stock market in the […]

The “Exit” Problem

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Last week, I discussed the issue of “bubbles” in the market. To wit: “Market bubbles have NOTHING to do with valuations or fundamentals.”   Hold on…don’t start screaming “heretic” and building gallows just yet. Let me explain.   Stock market bubbles are driven by speculation, greed, and emotional biases – therefore […]

No Risk Of Recession?

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Review I have been traveling a lot the last couple of weeks, so a big “Thank You” goes to Michael Lebowitz for “pinch hitting” for me. This week, I just want to review a couple of things as we begin to wrap up 2017. Earlier this week, I wrote a […]

Everyone In The (Stock Market) Pool?

Via Dana Lyons' Tumblr, The percentage of households’  financial assets currently invested in stocks has jumped to levels exceeded only by the 2000 bubble. Updating one of our favorite data series from the Federal Reserve’s latest Z.1 Release, we see that in the 3rd quarter, household and nonprofit’s stock holdings jumped to 36.3% of their […]

One Of Bank of America’s “Guaranteed Bear Market” Indicators Was Just Triggered

It is undisputed that the last 2 quarters have demonstrated an impressive jump in corporate earnings growth, if mostly due to a beneficial base effect from plunging 2016 earnings which pushed them below levels reached in 2014. And naturally, this rebound has been more than priced into a market which has seen substantial multiple expansion […]

Stocks Rebound As Gartman Turns Bearish

For a second, it seemed that the broad risk-off wave that started in Asia, swept Europe and pressured US futures was here to stay. And then, the signal all algos had been waiting for emerged: Gartman just flip-flopped back to bearish. From Gartman’s latest letter: STOCK PRICES ARE DOWN AND THEY ARE DOWN SHARPLY…. EVERYWHERE […]

Asian Market Rout Goes Global On Tech, Tax And Government Shutdown Tremors

A selloff which started in Asia, driven by renewed liquidation of Chinese and Hong Kong tech stocks and accelerated by weaker metal prices which pushed the Shanghai Composite below a key support and to 4 month lows… … which sent the Nikkei to its worst day since March and the second worst day of the […]

Get Government Out Of The Welfare Business

Authored by Lee Friday via The Mises Institute, Fighting poverty is a favorite pastime of government because politicians get to portray themselves as champions of the poor. However, the unfortunate few tend to be far fewer in number when aid is extended privately instead of through tax funded programs. Government Bureaucracies Benefit from Welfare Programs […]

Technically Speaking: This Is Nuts

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Since the election, markets have accelerated the pace of the advance as shown in the chart below. The advance has had two main story lines to support the bullish narrative. It’s an earnings recovery story, and; It’s all about tax cuts. There is much to debate about the earnings […]

This Time Is Different, It Just Ends The Same

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, This past weekend, I was in Florida with Chris Martenson and Nomi Prins discussing the current backdrop of the markets, economic cycles, and future outcomes. A bulk of the conversations centered around the current “everything bubble” that currently exists globally. Elevated valuations in stock prices, extremely low yields between […]