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Global Stocks Rise To Record Highs As Tax Reform Is “Priced In” All Over Again

Yesterday we joked that with the US House of Representatives set to vote for the GOP tax bill on Tuesday, markets would “price in” the same tax legislation they have been pricing in every day for the past year, all over again… Get ready for US markets to price in tax reform all over again […]


Futures Flat As FOMC Meeting Begins; Brent Jumps Over $65 For First Time Since 2015

E-mini futures are modestly in the green this morning, though net of fair value the S&P index is poised for another record high open as the FOMC begins its last meeting for 2017 in which it is expected to raise rates by 25bps. European stocks gain while Asian equities slide led by weakness in Chinese […]


European Stocks, US Futures Rise, Dollar Steady Ahead Of Powell Hearing, Tax Debate

US equity futures in the green ahead of critical Senate debate on US tax reform and a much anticipated testimony from Yellen replacement Jerome Powell for Fed’s current policy approach.  European stocks advance, led by oil and gas stocks after Shell fully restored its cash dividend and unveiled a bullish outlook. Asian shares slide despite […]


“OPEC’s Quagmire”: Goldman Is Very Worried The Cartel Is About To Blow This Meeting

One year after OPEC pulled off what many considered impossible, and on November 30, 2016 in Vienna the cartel managed to reduce oil production by most OPEC and several key non-OPEC nations by 1.2 million barrels daily in an effort to reduce the global oil glut, this time things are looking far more shaky, at […]


Hedgies Have Never Been ‘Longer’ The Energy Complex As Analysts Raise Oil Price Forecasts (Again)

With WTI prices holding at 6-month highs around $54 (and Brent at $60), Reuters' John Kemp notes that hedge funds have never, ever been more bullishly positioned in the entire energy complex. Hedge Funds have accumulated a record 1.189 billion bbl of long positions in the five major petroleum contracts (Brent, WTI (x2), RBOB, HO)… […]


OPEC Boosts Oil Demand Estimates, Admits Oil Prices Can’t Rise Above $55

In its latest OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (October) the oil cartel has increased its oil demand estimates for 2017, 2018 on strengthening world economy, and weaker outlook for supplies from its rivals. Specifically, OPEC forecasts that based on the current global oil supply/demand balance, demand for OPEC crude in 2017 is estimated at 32.8 […]


You Can Only Choose One: Cheap Oil Or A Weak Dollar

Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog, When the price of oil rises to the point of pain, just remember the handy-dandy discount mechanism: a much stronger US dollar. Glance at this chart of the trade-weighted U.S. dollar, and note the swing highs and lows in the price of oil per barrel around each […]


Brent Crude Spikes To Highest Since July 2015

North Korean war-talk has extended early gains for Brent Crude (driven by anxiety over the post-Kurd-referendum fallout), pushing prices to their highest since July 2015.   To the highest since July 2015… As Bloomberg reports, Kurdish oil supplies may be in jeopardy as Turkey, Iran and the Iraqi central government in Baghdad sought to isolate […]


WTI/RBOB Drop After Harvey Prompts US Crude Production Collapse, Biggest Inventory Build In 6 Months

Last night's first glimpse of Harvey's impact on energy confirmed a sizable crude build but only modest gasoline draw. WTI/RBOB prices slid into the DOE print and extended losses (after a quick kneejerk higher) following a bigger than expected crude build (+4.58mm vs +4mm exp). Gasoline and Distilates saw bigger draws than API reported but […]