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The Dollar’s Reign As The Global Reserve Currency Is Running Out – Fast

The dollar’s hegemony over the global financial system can’t last forever. Like all things, it will eventually come to an end. The only question left, as MacroVoices' Erik Townsend puts it, is whether we’re in the second inning and there’s going to be another hundred years of the dollar serving as the world’s global reserve […]


China’s Raging Against Dying Of The Light (Or Why Peak Employment Is Imminent)

Authored by Chris Hamilton via Econimica blog, China's working age population is clearly defined as those aged 16 to 50 years old for females (55 for "white collar" females) and 16 to 60 years old for males.  China mandates retirement at these outer age limits.  Perhaps of some interest should be that this working age population peaked in 2011 and has […]


The Trump Doctrine In A Regional Context

Authored by Andrew Korybko via Oriental Review, The last section of the new US National Security Strategy (NSS) describes the envisaged application of the Trump Doctrine in a regional context all across the world, and it’s worthwhile to examine what storylines will most likely be advanced by the policy document’s intrinsic infowar component. This analysis […]


Escobar: Vladimir Putin Takes Spotlight As Eurasia Connector

Authored by Pepe Escobar via The Asia Times, At his trademark annual year-end press conference in Moscow, Russian President Vladimir Putin once again let drop selected foreign-policy nuggets essential to understanding what lies ahead on the turbulent Eurasian geopolitical chessboard. By now it’s well known that Putin will run again in the presidential elections scheduled […]


The 10 “Grey Swans” Events For 2018

One of the traditional push backs against attempts to predict “black swan” events is that they are by default unpredictable, rendering the entire exercise moot. However, for the second year in a row, Nomura’s Bilal Hafeez has found a loophole, or rather loop-animal: the grey swan. As Hafeez writes, while he would like to be […]


“Miss Germany” Mistress Sues Married Hedge-Funder: “Promised An Ostrich Farm, Gave Me An STD”

A 31-year-old former beauty queen is suing her married ex-beau, claiming the hedge fund manager gave her an STD and renegged on promises to leave his wife and buy his much-younger mistress a Ugandan ostrich farm. It’s hardly a surprise that a messy high-profile divorce with this many lewd details has garnered extensive coverage from […]


Billionaire Tycoon Will Be Next President Of Chile

A billionaire who has been described as one of the world’s wealthiest politicians just won his second non-consecutive term as president of Chile when he defeated his center-left opponent in what observers are calling a landslide victory in Sunday's election. As the Washington Post reported, Sebastián Piñera, of the right-leaning National Renovation party and conservative […]


Global Stocks Roar To Record Highs As Tax Reform Is “Priced In” All Over Again

Global stocks and US equity futures roared upward to new record highs to start the second-to-last week of the year, boosted by optimism over a Republican agreement on the shape of U.S. tax cuts aimed at lifting growth; incidentally this is the 6th consecutive day that the “tax bill” has been priced in by the […]


Gold Will Soar… As China Kneecaps The Dollar

Authored by Nick Giambruno via InternationalMan.com,  I recently spoke with my friend and colleague Chris Lowe about China’s new alternative financial system – and how it could mortally wound the US dollar. It was such an important discussion that I had to pass it along. Chris is the editor of Bonner & Partners’ Inner Circle. His publication […]


Frontrunning: December 13

Democrat wins Senate seat in Alabama in blow to Trump (Reuters) Capital Journal: With Alabama Loss, Trump and GOP Face Political Reckoning (WSJ) Democratic Victory Stirs GOP Anxiety Over Midterm Elections (WSJ) Fed Expected to Raise Rates (WSJ) With rate hike in the bag, Fed may hint at Trump effect on economy (Reuters) Fed 2018 […]


This Time Is Different – Part II: What Bitcoin Really Is

Authored by Mark Jeftovic via Medium.com, To me and many others, bitcoin is not a technical revolution as much as it is a triumph of political and economic incentives. -Two Bit Idiot   “Systems like Ethereum (and Bitcoin and NXT, and Bitshares, etc) are a fundamentally new class of cryptoeconomic organisms?—?decentralized, jurisdictionless entities that exist […]


In Defense Of Bitcoin Hoarding

Authored by Jeffrey Tucker via The Foundation of Economic Education, In Internet slang, they are called the HODLers, the people who are clinging to their Bitcoin and refusing to spend it. Instead, they just refresh their wallet apps, feeling richer by day while deferring consumption. Many of these burgeoning millionaires live like paupers. I’ve met […]


The One Indicator OPEC Must Watch

Authored by Nick Cunningham via OilPrice.com, “We will not let go of our current approach until we reach a balanced market,” Saudi oil minister Khalid al-Falih said Monday at a news conference in Riyadh. OPEC ended months of speculation last week when it decided to extend its production cuts through the end of 2018, easing […]


US Trade Deficit Surges Near Five Year High Despite Sliding Dollar

The US trade balance surprisingly blew out in October, increasing from $44.9 billion to $48.7 billion, as unexpectedly exports decreased and imports increased despite the ongoing dollar weakness, missing estimates of $47.5 billion. October’s number was tied for the widest deficit going back to early 2012… … and marks a stark divergence with the recent […]


UBS Unveils Its Top 5 Themes And 19 Trades For 2018

Coming in a little late to the game, UBS today released its top 5 themes and 19 trades for 2018. Not surprising from the bank whose base case S&P forecast is 2,900 one year from now (with potential upside to 3,200), and who just told CNBC that “valuations are still somewhat cheap”, the bank is […]