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BofA’s Apocalyptic Forecast: Stocks Flash Crash, Bond Bubble Bursts In H1 2018, War May Follow

Having predicted back in July that the “most dangerous moment for markets will come in 3 or 4 months“, i.e., now, BofA’s Michael Hartnett was – in retrospect – wrong (unless of course the S&P plunges in the next few days). However, having stuck to his underlying logic – which was as sound then as […]


Deutsche: The Swings In The Market Are About To Get Bigger And Bigger

One week ago, on November 9 something snapped in the Nikkei, which in the span of just over an one hour (from 13:20 to 14:30) crashed more than 800 points (before closing almost unchanged) at the same time as it was revealed that foreigners had just bought a record amount of Japanese stocks the previous […]


S&P Futures Slide After Chinese Stock And Bond Rout; Spain Rebounds, Dollar Drops

U.S. futures slid 0.2% as investors await a barrage of announcements including Wednesday’s Fed decision, Friday’s jobs report and, most importantly Trump’s imminent announcement of who the next Fed chairman will be, although after the latest trial balloons, Jay Powell is now largely priced in. Asian equities edged modestly higher despite a tumble in Chinese […]


Bank of America: “This Is The Most Consensus Trade In The World”

One week ago, BofA chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett laid out his reasoning for why a market correction is imminent: Global stock market cap up a massive $18.5tn (= US GDP) since Feb’16 lows 3P’s (Positioning, Profits, Policy) thus closer to peak than trough: BofAML Bull & Bear Indicator was 0 in Feb’16, now 6.9; […]


“The End Of The QE Trade”: Why Bank of America Expects An Imminent Market Correction

Last Friday, when looking at the historic, record lows in September volatility and the daily highs in US and global equity markets, BofA’s chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett said that the “best reason to be bearish in Q4 is there is no reason to be bearish.“ That prompted quite a few responses from traders, some […]


S&P Futures, Euro, Stocks Fall After Fed’s Low Inflation Warning

S&P futures, European stocks and bond yields all fell in early trade alongside oil and the euro after the latest Fed minutes expressed concern over weak U.S. inflation, while Asian equities rose overnight ahead of WalMart earnings and the latest ECB minutes. Gold rose as high as $1,290 before fading most gains as the USDJPY […]