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Squeezing The Consumer From Both Sides

Authored by 720Global's Michael Lebowitz via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, The Federal Reserve raised the Federal Funds rate on December 13, 2017, marking the fifth increase over the last two years.  Even with interest rates remaining at historically low levels, the Fed’s actions are resulting in greater interest expense for short-term and floating rate borrowers. The effect of […]

Stockman Slams “Bubble Finance And The Era of No-See-Um Recessions”

Authored by David Stockman via Contra Corner blog, Today's single most dangerous Wall Street meme is that there is no risk of a stock market crash because there is no recession in sight. But that proposition is dead wrong because it's a relic of your grandfather's economy. That is, a reasonably functioning capitalist order in which the […]

What You’re Not Being Told About The Real Economy

Authored by Jeffrey Snider via Alhambra Investment Partners, The year 2000 was a transition year in a lot of ways. Though Y2K amounted to mild mass hysteria, people did have to get used to writing the date with 20 in front of the year rather than 19. It was a new millennium (depending on your […]

David Stockman Lashes Out At Mainstream Media’s “Peak Fantasy Time”

Authored by David Stockman via Contra Corner blog, If you want to know why both Wall Street and Washington are so delusional about America's baleful economic predicament, just consider this morsel from yesterday's Wall Street Journal on the purportedly awesome November jobs report. Wages rose just 2.5% from a year earlier in November – near the same lackluster […]

November Payrolls Jump 228K, Beat Expectations But Wage Growth Disappoints

In a continuation of the recent theme shown by the labor market, the BLS reported that November payrolls rose by a seasonally adjusted 228K, beating expectations of 200K, if lower than October’s downward revised 244K (from 261K) while September was revised up from +18,000  to +38,000. With these revisions, employment gains in September and October […]

Preview Of Tomorrow’s Jobs Report: Here’s What Wall Street Expects

What a difference a year makes: last December, just as the ECB was about to shock the market with the announcement of its first €20 billion QE tapering, macroeconomic data mattered, especially since the Fed’s tightening intertia appeared to truly be data-dependent, if only for a very short period of time. Fast forward one year, […]

“A Critical-Thinking Person Might Ask…”

Authored by Jim Quinn via The Burning Platform blog, I know some people don’t like charts, but I think they tell stories. The two charts below tell a story the mainstream media, Trump, Wall Street, and the Deep State don’t want revealed. The first chart shows the year over year percentage change in personal income […]

How Uncle Sam Inflates Away Your Life

Authored by MN Gordon via EconomicPrism.com, “Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon,” once remarked economist and Nobel Prize recipient Milton Friedman.  He likely meant that inflation is the more rapid increase in the supply of money relative to the output of goods and services which money is traded for. As more and more […]

JOLTS: Hiring Slides To Lowest In 6 Months As Job Openings Remain Near All Time High

After a burst of record high job openings which started in June and eased modestly in August, today’s September JOLTS report  – Janet Yellen’s favorite labor market indicator – showed another modest increase in job openings across most categories in the hurricane-affected month, with the total number rising fractionally 6.090MM to 6.093MM, above the 6.091MM […]

Things Couldn’t Be Better… Right?

Authored by Jim Quinn via The Burning Platform blog, Donald Trump tells me our best days are ahead. Once his tax cut plan is passed, the future will be so bright I’ll have to wear shades. Sometimes a single chart reveals the truth being obscured by the Deep State propaganda machine, working overtime selling their […]

Where The October Jobs Were: Record Waiters And Bartenders

Following last month’s sharply upward revised jobs report, whose initial negative print of -33,000 was since revised to a positive 18K, there was a sharp jump in October jobs, which while failing to meet consensus estimate of a +310K print, was still a solid +261K. But which jobs contributed the most? The answer, not surprising, […]

Home Prices In All US Cities Grow Faster Than Wages… And Then There’s Seattle

According to the latest BLS data, average hourly wages for all US workers rose at a respectable 2.9% relative to the previous year, if still below the Fed's "target" of 3.5-4.5%, as countless economists are unable to explain how 4.3% unemployment, and "no slack" in the economy fails to boost wage growth. Another problem with […]

Buffett’s Wrong – Why Market Valuations Are Not Justified By Low Interest Rates

As is his way, Billionaire investor Warren Buffett calmed an anxious nation earlier this month with his comments that: "Valuations make sense with interest rates where they are." And it seemed to work as stocks hit new record highs and Americans have never, ever been more sure that stocks will continue rising for the next […]

Goldman Lowers December Rate Hike Odds After CPI Miss

Having been ahead of the market anywhere between 4 and 8 weeks as consensus caught up to Goldman’s view on December rate hike odds, which for months were materially higher than what the market implied, Jan Hatzius quietly emerged as one of the very rare Fed whisperers (this year) who has actually gotten what the […]

US Job Openings Pull Back From All Time High

After two consecutive months of record high job openings, today’s August JOLTS report  – Janet Yellen’s favorite labor market indicator – showed a modest pullback across most categories, with the total number of job openings falling in august from 6.140MM to 6.082MM, below the 6.125MM consensus estimate, resulting in an unchanged Oct. job opening rate […]