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Is The GOP Tax Cut Finally Priced In? Here’s What Wall Street Thinks

Having passed the Senate, and – moments ago, for the second time – the House, the Republican Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, aka the Trump Tax Cuts is officially a done deal, just waiting for the President’s signature, at which point the longest “rumor” of 2017 will become the news. But does that mean that […]


WTI/RBOB Algos Confused As Crude Draws, Gasoline Builds, & Production Jumps Again

WTI/RBOB held gains overnight following API's reported crude draw (despite the gasoline glut) but after DOE confirmed a 5th weekly crude draw and 6th weekly gasoline build, algos were confused with prices chaotic. Production hit a new record high. North Sea and Canadian crude supply disruptions are suppressing U.S. imports and encouraging exports. API Crude […]


Here Are The Negatives In The Republican Tax Plan, According To Wall Street

Judging by the market’s euphoric reaction this morning, the Senate’s passage of the tax bill on Saturday is nothing but good news for stocks (well, maybe not the Nasdaq). And indeed, banks – whose effective tax rate is around 30% – and other tax-sensitive companies are surging, with banks are outperforming and  sending the KBW […]


Amazon Strikes Again: CVS To Buy Aetna For $69BN In Year’s Largest Deal, “Reshaping Health Care”

A deal that was months in the making is finally official, with Aetna’s board of directors approving on Sunday the health insurer’s sale to drugstore chain operator CVS Health Corp for approximately $207 per share in cash and stock, in a deal worth $67 billion, multiple news sources reported on Sunday afternoon. The purchase price […]


Is Tax Reform A Done Deal? This Is What Wall Street Thinks

Following the backing of Sen. John McCain on the GOP tax reform bill, markets have surged to new all time highs as tax-sensitive banks lead the way, with Bloomberg reporting that odds for the tax bill's passage may increase to "near-certainty" if the Senate can finish its version in the days ahead, citing Evercore ISI.  […]


“Hong Kong House Prices Could Soar Another 10% Next Year” – Have They Just Rung The Bell?

Hong Kong property was in Algebris Investments’ top tier of six most inflated bubbles from its longer list of the world’s fourteen biggest bubbles. The territory is ranked as the most expensive housing market in the world for the seventh successive year in 2017, with the medium home price selling for 18.1 times the median […]


WTI/RBOB Slide On Surprise Build As US Crude Production Hits New Record High

WTI/RBOB extended yesterday's IEA-driven losses after a big crude build reported overnight by API, and DOE did nothing to assuage that with a 1.85mm crude build (admittedly smaller than API's projected 6.5mm, but notably different from the 2.4mm draw expected), Gasoline also surprised with a build and WTI/RBOB extended losses. Additionally US Crude production rose […]


Growth In China Is Slowing: What Does It Mean For Commodity Prices

By Gordon Johnson of Axiom Capital CHINA MACRO ANALYSIS: Growth in China is Slowing… Will it Continue, and What, if Any, will be the Impact to Commodity Prices? While steel prices have firmed to start this week on rumors that steel mill production cuts, particularly in China’s biggest steel-producing city Tangshan, have failed to meet […]


WTI/RBOB Sink As Inventory Draws Disappoint

WTI/RBOB held on to gains overnight following major draws reported by API and more OPEC jawboning (this time from UAE), but the DOE data disappointed compared to API's huge draws with Crude and Gasoline drawing down but considerably less than API reported (and Distillates barely drawing down at all). Bloomberg Intelligence energy analyst Fernando Valle: […]


Kyle Bass Warns: Xi Has “Built The Chinese Economy On A Foundation Of Sand”

Earlier this week, Chinese leader Xi Jinping became the third ruler in the communist country’s history to have his named enshrined in its constitution – and the first to receive this honor while still alive. But as China celebrates its most popular, and most powerful, leader since at least Deng Xiaoping, Kyle Bass, hedge fund […]


Investors Are Ignoring The Evidence At Their Peril

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, I was recently watching a movie about the FBI trying to bring down a terrorist cell in the U.S. During their investigation, their evidence board became more and more cluttered with people, evidence, and locations as they attempted to track down the “cell.” At first, the clues were disparate, and […]


Pay-TV Companies Tank As Subscriber Losses Surge To Record Highs In 2017

As the broader markets casually melt-up to new record highs with each passing day, one small corner of the equity market is in full on meltdown mode: cable and satellite pay-tv providers.  Down anywhere from 3-10% on the week, investors in this space seem to be finally admitting that record subscriber losses, quarter after quarter, […]


Bill Blain Asks “What If Trump’s Tax Cuts And Reforms Don’t Happen?”

Submitted by Bill Blain of Mint Partners “Gentlemen, you can’t fight in here. This is the War Room…” Europe lurches from crisis to crisis – Unscathed”, so what is there to worry about? Tax Reform? A very clever chum told me yesterday to stop stressing so much about Europe, reminding me of the default position: […]


WTI/RBOB Sink After Surprise Gasoline Build, Crude Production Rise

Amid record crude exports, DOE reported a surprise draw for crude inventories and surprise build for gasoline inventories which along with another rise in crude production sent both WTI and RBOB lower in the initial market reaction.   DOE Crude -1.85mm (+3.1mm exp) Cushing +1.18mm (+750k exp) Gasoline +1.1mm (-1.1mm exp) Distillates -814k (-2.05mm exp) […]


WTI/RBOB Sink After Big Crude Build, Production Jump Offsets Greatest Gasoline Inventory Draw In History

WTI and RBOB prices are higher this morning following API's reported the biggest gasoline draw in history (compared to EIA data). Of course, disruptions (Florida demand and Texas supply) remain dominant but DOE reports a massive 8.4mm draw in Gasoline inventories – the biggest draw ever. The reaction in prices is anti-climactic as production rebounded […]