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Nomi Prins: ‘Dark Money’ Runs The World

Authored by Nomi Prins via The Daily Reckoning, Few people know financial markets’ biggest secret… For the last 40 years, most people believed the stock market always goes up. Simply buy and hold long enough, the theory went, and you could sit back and watch the money accumulate in your account. No thought or hard […]


Crypto Envy? Beware Greed and FOMO – Jeff Tomasulo

Crypto Envy To us, Jeff is describing what he knows from his years of experience and some call the “psychology of regret”. It is also closely related to the concept of a Giffen good in economics. That is an item in which its demand goes  up as its price does, like perfume. Cryptos are right now exhibiting Giffen Good  […]


Swedish Housing Bubble Pops As Stockholm Apartment Prices Crash Most Since June 2009

Even though Sweden’s property bubble is not the longest running (that accolade goes to Australia at 55 years), it is probably the world’s biggest with prices up roughly 6-fold since starting its meteoric rise in 1995. Of course, as we noted last month when the SEB’s housing price indicator, which measures the difference between those […]


Systemic Risk? Pffft! THIS, My Friends, Is Systemic Risk

By Chris at www.CapitalistExploits.at Have you ever asked yourself what happens when you place a trade? I hadn’t given it much thought until about 10 years ago when something happened which opened my eyes to a single company that holds what is probably the most concentrated risk position in the US market. Here’s what happened… So, […]


“It’s All One Single, Giant $22 Trillion Position”: How Market Risk Became Systemic Risk

As excerpted from Fasanara Capital’s “Positive Feedback Loops and Financial Instability: the blind spot of policymakers.” The next time a Fed chair or macroprudential regulator argues that “there is no leverage in the market”, send them this. QE and NIRP have two predominant effects on markets: (i) relentless up-trend in stocks and bonds (the ‘Trend […]


Positive Feedback Loops, Financial Instability, & The Blind Spot Of Policymakers

Authored by Francesco Filia of Fasanara Capital, “Learn how to see. Realize that everything connects to everything else.” – Leonardo da Vinci A Dangerous Market Structure is More Worrying than Expensive Asset Valuations and Record Debt Levels Macro-prudential regulations follow financial crises, rarely do they precede one. Even when evidence is abundant of systemic risks […]


Keep Calm & Carry On

Authored by 720Global's Michael Liebowitz via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, “Before long, we will all begin to find out the extent to which Brexit is a gentle stroll along a smooth path to a land of cake and consumption.” – Mark Carney, Bank of England Governor In 1939, the British Government, through the Ministry of Information, produced a […]


One Trader Urges “Extreme Caution”

Something has changed. While stocks are exhibiting their usual BTFD patterns still, other asset classes are not playing along – most notably the junk bond market and the sovereign yield curve. Furthermore, while a few megacaps continue to rise ubiquitously, small caps have suffered and breadth is terrible. As former fund manager Richard Breslow warns, […]


NY Fed President Bill Dudley Retiring

The Federal Reserve’s “smooth transition” from Janet Yellen to Jay Powell is set for a major speedbump. Just two short days after Donald Trump confirmed what weekly trial balloons had reported for weeks, namely that Janet Yellen is being replaced with most “dovish” alternative possible in the face of former Carlyle partner and 5 year […]


Ex-Soros Trader Sued For Viciously Abusing Women In “Manhattan Sex Dungeon”

Out of all the stories of harassment, abuse and victimization of women that have emerged since the Harvey Weinstein scandal broke last month, this one is possibly the most repugnant. To wit, the New York Post reported Friday that a former portfolio manager at Soros Fund Management, the firm founded by Billionaire investor George Soros, […]


In The Shadows Of Black Monday – “Volatility Isn’t Broken… The Market Is”

Authored by Christopher Cole via Artemis Capital Management, Volatility and the Alchemy of Risk The Ouroboros, a Greek word meaning ‘tail devourer’, is the ancient symbol of a snake consuming its own body in perfect symmetry. The imagery of the Ouroboros evokes the infinite nature of creation from destruction. The sign appears across cultures and […]


WSJ Endorses Warsh, Taylor; Says Powell “Status Quo” Is Not What Trump Campaigned On

Despite bookies' odds surging and Politico 'sources' suggesting Jerome Powell will be the next Fed head, it appears The Wall Street Journal Editorial Board is not buying it, and endorses Warsh or Taylor, saying that Trump needs a leader at the central bank who supports faster growth. President Trump is finishing his interviews to choose […]


Happy Black Friday

Amsterdam | As the financial world happily fixates on who will be the next Fed Chairman, I am in Europe celebrating the 30th anniversary of Black Friday, October 19, 1987. Three decades ago, I was on a trading desk at Bear, Stearns & Co in London along with David, Joey, Gregory, Peter and Paul, among […]


Thoughtful Disagreement with Ted Butler

Dear Mr Butler: In your article of 2 October, entitled Thoughtful Disagreement, you say, “someone will come up with the thoughtful disagreement that makes the body of my premise invalid or the price of silver will validate the premise by exploding.” I will take you up on your request. You state your case in this […]


“The End Of The QE Trade”: Why Bank of America Expects An Imminent Market Correction

Last Friday, when looking at the historic, record lows in September volatility and the daily highs in US and global equity markets, BofA’s chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett said that the “best reason to be bearish in Q4 is there is no reason to be bearish.“ That prompted quite a few responses from traders, some […]