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Frontrunning: December 27

Post-Holiday Rush: Homeowners Line Up to Prepay Tax Bills (WSJ) World stocks rise as metals surge mitigates iPhone X woes (Reuters) White House Considers Former Bush-Era Economists for Fed No. 2 Job (WSJ) More lawsuits over slowing down of older iPhones (Reuters) Barclays Takes $1.3 Billion Hit From U.S. Tax Bill (BBG) Shell, Barclays Detail […]


Steinhoff Disintegrates As Biggest Shareholder Caught In Margin Call “Death Spiral”

The stock of scandal-plagued retailer Steinhoff plunged for the third consecutive day, bringing its total drop in the past 3 days to over 50%, as its biggest shareholder and former Chairman, Christo Wiese, was caught in a vicious margin call, and increased the amount he has raised from selling shares in various related entities such […]


Bank of Japan Decision Preview: Here’s What Wall Street Expects

Submitted by RanSquawk The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will conclude its final policy meeting of 2017 at some point on Thursday. The BoJ is expected to leave its monetary policy settings unchanged as it has done for the entirety of 2017, which would see the Bank maintain its QQE with Yield Curve Control (YCC) and […]


Is The GOP Tax Cut Finally Priced In? Here’s What Wall Street Thinks

Having passed the Senate, and – moments ago, for the second time – the House, the Republican Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, aka the Trump Tax Cuts is officially a done deal, just waiting for the President’s signature, at which point the longest “rumor” of 2017 will become the news. But does that mean that […]


Wall Street Bonuses Set To Shrink Again This Year

Bankers were thrilled last year when Wall Street bonuses climbed for the first time in years after falling more than 15% in 2015. But unfortunately, even with equity markets around the world at record highs in 2017, volatility across asset class plunged this year – with the Dow seeing its least volatile year on record […]


Frontrunning: December 18

Bitcoin Takes Bigger Wall Street Stage With Smooth CME Debut (BBG) Trump targets China and Russia on national security (Reuters) Panthers owner to sell team amid misconduct allegations (Reuters) Prosecutors Treat Opioid Overdoses as Homicides, Snagging Friends, Relatives (WSJ) U.S. taxpayers rush to claim deductions under threat from tax bill (Reuters) This One Weird Tax […]


What To Expect From The ECB

Submitted by RanSquawk ECB Monetary Policy Decision Due At 12:45 GMT, 13:45 CET, 07:45 EDT, On Thursday 14th December 2017, Press Conference Due At 13:30 GMT, 14:30 CET, 08:30 EDT Unanimous expectations look for the ECB to leave its three key rates unchanged.  As a reminder October’s announcement revealed that the Bank will be trimming […]


Full Preview Of Janet Yellen’s Last Ever Rate Hike

In previewing today's FOMC decision, which will also be Janet Yellen's last rate hike decision and press conference before she is replaced by Jay Powell, there is a TL/DR version, which is summarized by the chart below and which shows that according to the market, the probability of a rate hike today is 100%… which […]


UBS Is Using Ethereum Technology To Soften The Impact Of MiFid II

After devising blockchain-based systems to help facilitate equity and bond trading (remember Goldman’s cryptocoin?) as well as derivatives clearing, some of the leading banks in the blockchain space are banding together to build a system that they hope will help banks streamline another essential function: Compliance. According to CoinDesk, UBS is leading an Ethereum-based project […]


Frontrunning: December 11

Hotly anticipated bitcoin futures ease off after 22 percent surge (Reuters) Bitcoin Futures Debut With 26% Rally, Trigger Cboe Trading Halts (BBG) Powell faces early test of policy view as tax cuts near approval (Reuters) Small Investors Face Higher Taxes Under Senate Proposal (WSJ) US, Japan and South Korea host joint missile tracking drills (DW) […]


These Are The 30 Biggest Risks Facing Markets In 2018

Once upon a time, Wall Street analysts had just two things to worry about: interest rate risk and corporate profits – virtually everything else was derived from these.  Unfortuantely, we now live in the new normal, where central banks step in every time there is even a whiff of an imminent market correction (as BofA […]


The Seven Questions Goldman’s Clients Have About “Rational Exuberance”

In mid-November, just days after Barclays released its 2018 equity outlook with the title “Rational Exuberance”… … Goldman’s David Kostin decided that imitation was the sincerest form of unveiling a non-contrarian year-end forecast, and in presenting his revised S&P price target for 2018 of 2,850 – which accounts for GOP tax reform – “borrowed” the […]


Preview Of Tomorrow’s Jobs Report: Here’s What Wall Street Expects

What a difference a year makes: last December, just as the ECB was about to shock the market with the announcement of its first €20 billion QE tapering, macroeconomic data mattered, especially since the Fed’s tightening intertia appeared to truly be data-dependent, if only for a very short period of time. Fast forward one year, […]


Bitcoin Tops $13,000 – Bigger Than Citigroup

For the first time in history, the price of Bitcoin has surpassed $13,000 (rising from $12,000 in less than a day).   For those keeping track, this is how long it has taken the cryptocurrency to cross the key psychological levels: $0000 – $1000: 1789 days $1000- $2000: 1271 days $2000- $3000: 23 days $3000- […]


Amazon Strikes Again: CVS To Buy Aetna For $69BN In Year’s Largest Deal, “Reshaping Health Care”

A deal that was months in the making is finally official, with Aetna’s board of directors approving on Sunday the health insurer’s sale to drugstore chain operator CVS Health Corp for approximately $207 per share in cash and stock, in a deal worth $67 billion, multiple news sources reported on Sunday afternoon. The purchase price […]