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Squeezing The Consumer From Both Sides

Authored by 720Global's Michael Lebowitz via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, The Federal Reserve raised the Federal Funds rate on December 13, 2017, marking the fifth increase over the last two years.  Even with interest rates remaining at historically low levels, the Fed’s actions are resulting in greater interest expense for short-term and floating rate borrowers. The effect of […]


Europe’s Runaway Train Towards Full Digitization Of Money & Labor

Authored by Peter Koenig via The Saker blog, The other day I was in a shopping mall looking for an ATM to get some cash. There was no ATM. A week ago, there was still a branch office of a local bank – no more, gone. A Starbucks will replace the space left empty by […]


“Sell The News”: Investors Greet Tax Reform With Near-Record Redemptions

Earlier this week, as Trump’s tax reform was finally being voted through Congress, we showed that in a surprising market reaction, total asset returns – those combination of S&P and 30Y Treasurys – saw their biggest two-day drop since last December, a shock which led to one of the biggest declines for risk-parity investors in […]


Its 2007 Redux – What Is Your Excuse This Time?

Here we go again, again.   The unemployment rate is at a historic low.  GDP is above 3% and with the recently enacted historic tax cuts, poised to go much higher.  Inflation is at the Federal Reserve’s target.  Housing starts and sales are booming and housing supply is at an all-time low.  Equities are hitting […]


“In The End, There Was Absurdity” – The Great Crash Of 2018?

Authored by Tuomas Malinen, op-ed via Huffington Post, Crises always take longer to arrive than you think, and then happen much quicker than they ought to. – Rudiger Dornbusch An eerie calm has taken over the world markets. Volatility is crashing, and economic and political shocks come and go without any noticeable effect on the […]


Longfin CEO Triggered in Heated CNBC Interview: “We Don’t Deserve This Market Cap”

Content originally published at iBankCoin.com They will play this interview in Harvard’s Business School program for centuries to come on what exactly not to do and saying during a nationally televised interview. Longfin CEO makes a good case for short sellers: ‘We do not deserve this market cap.” $LFIN pic.twitter.com/OEmIU3yHTC — The_Real_Fly (@The_Real_Fly) December 19, […]


Nomi Prins: ‘Dark Money’ Runs The World

Authored by Nomi Prins via The Daily Reckoning, Few people know financial markets’ biggest secret… For the last 40 years, most people believed the stock market always goes up. Simply buy and hold long enough, the theory went, and you could sit back and watch the money accumulate in your account. No thought or hard […]


And So Begins The Rug-Yank Phase Of Fed Policy

Authored by MN Gordon via EconomicPrism.com, The political differences of today’s leading two parties are not over ultimate questions of principles.  Rather, they’re over opposing answers to the question of how a goal can be achieved with the least sacrifice.  For lawmakers, the goal is to promise the populace something for nothing while pretending to […]


Global Deflation Alert: Chinese Credit Creation Tumbles To 27 Month Low

At the end of November, we showed a troubling observation for China – and global – macro watchers from Axiom’s Gordon Johnson: for the first time ever, record Chinese credit creation had failed to stimulate the economy, and in fact the exact opposite appeared to be unfolding – economic growth is slowing across a number […]


How Will The Market Absorb Trillions Of US Treasury Bonds to Replace The Feds Balance Sheet Wind Down?

First, the facts: At Powell’s Nov 28th 2017 testimony to Congress, Powell said that as the Fed allows its 4 trillion dollar balance sheet to wind down, the US Treasury would issue new bonds to the market to replace them (so, technically, US notional debt will neither increase nor decrease as a result of QE). […]


How Fed Rate Hikes Impact US Debt Slaves

Authored by Wolf Richter via WolfStreet.com, But savers are still getting shafted. Outstanding “revolving credit” owed by consumers – such as bank-issued and private-label credit cards – jumped 6.1% year-over-year to $977 billion in the third quarter, according to the Fed’s Board of Governors. When the holiday shopping season is over, it will exceed $1 […]


Chinese Banks Push Back On Shadow Banking Regulations – Expose “Catch-22” For Financial System

In November, we discussed how the post-Party Congress measures to deleverage and crackdown on the worst abuses in China’s credit bubble took an important step forward with the announcement of a new era of regulation for China’s $15 trillion shadow banking and asset management industry. See "A New Era In Chinese Regulation Means Turmoil For […]


Watered Down And Delayed – European Bank Shares Love The Final Basel III Capital Rules

To the relief of the banks and investors, the Basel III rule book was “watered down” sufficiently that the announcement that the deadlock had been broken led to a spike in European bank stocks on Friday morning. The sticking point holding back the clarification of Basel III for nearly a year had been how to […]


IMF Stress Tests Find $280 Billion Black Hole In Chinese Banks’ Capital

The IMF released a new analysis on the instability stability of the Chinese financial system. Speaking to the media in an online briefing, some of the insights from Ratna Sahay, deputy director of the IMF’s Monetary and Capital Markets Department, hardly advanced our knowledge much. Sahay noted that “Risks are large. Having said that, the […]


Albert Edwards: “Here’s Why The Current Situation Is Even Worse Than The 2008 Crisis”

Back in May, we first reported that Goldman became the first bank to dare to ask if the Fed has lost control of the market, if in slightly more polite terms of course. This is how Jan Hatzius phrased it: “Despite two rate hikes and indications of impending balance sheet runoff, financial conditions have continued to […]