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Here Is The One Commodity That Is More Volatile Than Bitcoin

Normal 0 false false false false EN-US X-NONE X-NONE Normal 0 false false false false EN-US X-NONE X-NONE There has been a lot talk lately – and especially after today's latest crash – regarding how volatile Bitcoin is, and for good reason, Bitcoin’s 30 day realized volatility is a shade under 96% at 95.5%, which […]

“Sell The News”: Investors Greet Tax Reform With Near-Record Redemptions

Earlier this week, as Trump’s tax reform was finally being voted through Congress, we showed that in a surprising market reaction, total asset returns – those combination of S&P and 30Y Treasurys – saw their biggest two-day drop since last December, a shock which led to one of the biggest declines for risk-parity investors in […]

Goldman Is Preparing To Launch A Cryptocurrency Trading Desk

In light of the recent “blockchain” naming craze, this morning we said that the inevitable next round of corporate name changes would involve “JP Blockchain” and “Blockchain Sachs”. Round 2: JP Blockchain vs Blockchain Sachs — zerohedge (@zerohedge) December 21, 2017 While this was supposed to be a joke, as so often happens, it ended […]

11 Of 19 Bear Market Indicators Have Now Been Triggered: BofA

Two weeks ago, Bank of America tripped recession-watcher alarms, when it announced out that one of its surest bear-market indicators, one which has never had a false negative, had just been triggered. As we said at the time, according to BofA’s Savita Subramanian in November the S&P 500’s three-month earnings estimate revision ratio (ERR) fell […]

Doug Kass’ 15 Surprises For 2018: FANG Crackdown, Gold All-Time-Highs, Stocks Slump

Authored Doug Kass of Seabreeze Partners Management, "The missing step in the standard Keynesian theory [is] the explicit consideration of capitalist finance within a cyclical and speculative context . . . finance sets the pace for the economy. As recovery approaches full employment . . . soothsayers will proclaim that the business cycle has been […]

Jefferies Fixed Income Revenue Plunges 37% To 2 Year Low

Once upon a time Jefferies was the country’s biggest junk bond trading shop, with a small investment banking group on the side. Now, it’s the other way around. in its latest quarter and fiscal year ended November 30, Jefferies – which is the last public company to announce results in the old bank convention with […]

Bank Of America: “This Is A Sign Of Irrational Exuberance”

Two weeks ago, when discussing a recent Albert Edwards piece, we said that the word that has come to define the new normal better than all others, is “paradox“, as in nothing makes sense, or rather everything makes sense if one only flips logic and reason 180 degrees. A “paradox” was on full display in […]

China Systemic Risk: Liquidity Problem Surfaces At HNA Group Less Than Two Weeks After Company’s Denial

Here we go again… On December 8, we lamented how every few days we return to the subject of systemic risk in China related to its big four highly-indebted conglomerates, HNA, Anbang, Evergrande and Dalian Wanda. We also noted how our chief source of concern had become HNA, after it issued a bond with less […]

Wall Street Bonuses Set To Shrink Again This Year

Bankers were thrilled last year when Wall Street bonuses climbed for the first time in years after falling more than 15% in 2015. But unfortunately, even with equity markets around the world at record highs in 2017, volatility across asset class plunged this year – with the Dow seeing its least volatile year on record […]

NFL Attendance Continues To Plummet As Empty Seat Epidemic Enters Week 15

Content originally published at iBankCoin.com As the NFL copes with a ratings slump and ESPN slashes $80 million in salaries after losing 15,000 subscribers a day in October, another major issue facing the league continued to play out in week 15 – terrible attendance.  Ravens vs. Browns, Start 2nd Qtr While many blame the kneeing epidemic of […]

$19,000: Bitcoin Hits New All Time High After Burst Of Asian Buying; Bigger Than Wells, Wal-Mart

Having traded in a relatively narrow – for bitcoin – range of $16,500-$17,500 over the past week, the world’s most popular cryptocurrency jumped to new all time highs following the latest unexplained burst of buying out of Asia, with another Saturday surge in volumes emerging out of Japan and Korea. Bitcoin is now up over […]

Bank Of America: “This Is The First Sign That A Bubble Has Arrived”

Lately, fund flow data has all the credibility of a NYT presidential poll two days before the Trump defeats Hillary.  On one hand, you have Lipper reporting that investors pulled $16.2bn from U.S.-based equity funds in the past week, the largest withdrawals since December 2016. The same Lipper also reported that taxable-bond mutual funds and […]

“Loonie Longs Are Set For A Painful Dose Of Reality”: Trader

Is all hell about to breaks loose for Loonie longs? Yesterday, Bank of America released a note titled simply enough “CAD longs at risk”, in which it said that “according to our liquid cross border flow (LCBF) data, hedge funds and real money now appear to be in the process of selling out of extended […]

These Were The Biggest Market Shocks In 2017… And What 2018 Has In Store

With 2017 almost entirely in the rearview mirror, the most memorable – and we clearly use the term loosely – and certainly historic feature of the past year was the complete collapse in volatility. In fact, as Bank of America noted last week, by one measure the Dow traded in its tightest trading range in […]

Key Events In The Coming Week: Yellen’s Swan Song And Final Rate Hike; Draghi’s Silence, US Inflation

After last week’s payrolls report, the year is starting to wind down for economic events and capital markets, but not before one last hurrah for central banks: indeed, it is a very busy week dominated by central bank meetings for the FOMC, ECB, BOE, SNB and Norges Bank. We will also observe the controversial Alabama […]