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Buying Yen… A Truly Contrarian Call

Authord by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist, I am aware of all the doomsday Yen hyper-inflationary predictions due to their soaring debt-to-GDP ratio. And these Japanese bears very well might prove correct… In the long run. But as Mr. Keynes taught us, the long-run is an awfully long time. In the meantime, I think […]


Is This The Best Way To Bet On The Fed Losing Control Of The Bond Market?

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, Lately, one of my biggest duds of a call has been for the yield curve to steepen. Sure, I have all sorts of fancy reasons why it should steepen, but reality glares back at me in black and white on my P&L run. Sometimes fighting with […]


Kevin Warsh Fed Chair Odds Soar After WSJ Report Of Trump Meeting

Kevin Warsh’s PredictIt odds to be the next Fed chair soared moments ago after the WSJ reported that President Trump and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin met with the former Fed governor on Thursday to discuss his potential nomination as the next Federal Reserve chairman, “a White House official said, signaling that the West Wing is […]


Oh Canada – Reflections On An Economic Experiment

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, It seems like the only time Canada makes the news is when America elects some right wing President the Hollywood elite don’t like, and they all threaten to move to Canada. We are usually too polite to say something, as it is often clear the Americans […]


Mauldin: 2 Charts Confirm A US Recession Within 18 Months

Authored by John Mauldin via MauldinEconomics.com, Stock valuations are the discounted values of future earnings. Future earnings depend on future revenue, which may diminish whenever the future includes a recession. So, broad economic conditions are a big factor to watch in stock valuation. Broad economic conditions depend ultimately on the consumer’s ability and willingness to […]


Sell US, Buy Japan?

Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog, With the gong show occurring in Washington, it’s amazing anyone has the courage to write a blue ticket for any American assets. But we have to remember that the big long term money is slow moving. Implementing an asset shift is not something decided on a […]