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Dow 25,000 In Sight As Tax Cuts Are “Priced In” One Last Time

Dow futures are up some 80 points this morning after early on Wednesday morning the Senate passed the Tax Reform bill in a party-line vote, and is now set to become law after a follow-up vote in the House and Trump’s signature some time on Wednesday afternoon. The good news is that the biggest political […]


“Millennials Don’t Care About Logos”: How Collapsing Brand Loyalty Will Allow Amazon To Dominate Apparel

Despite daily affirmations from the White House that “everything is awesome” with the economy, 2017 has been a miserable year for retailers.  As Reorg First Day points out, over 30 retailers, with debt aggregating into the billions of dollars, have filed for bankruptcy so far this year… After Shiekh Shoes’ filing today, at least 30 […]


US Futures Rebound After Disappointing Chinese, European Data

Yesterday’s sharp Chinese selloff is now a distant memory after the BTFDers emerged, and this morning U.S. equity futures are once again levitating as the FOMC begins its two-day policy meeting, following an uneventful BOJ announcement on Tuesday morning which left all QE parameters unchanged. Asian stocks traded mixed steady while European shares climb. The […]


Global Stocks Just Shy Of Record Highs As Dollar, Yields Rise On Taylor Tension

Global markets traded near all-time highs on Tuesday, with S&P futures, Asian shares and European stocks all flat this morning, while oil continued to gain on Kurdish geopolitical concerns while most industrial metals fell.  The euro extended its recent slide and stocks drifted as Spain’s escalating hard-line response to the Catalonian secession threat fueled concern […]


Vulture Investors Swarm To Houston As Flooded Homes Sell For 40 Cents On The Dollar

      “The time to buy is when after there’s blood water in the streets.” As 1,000’s of families along the Texas shoreline continue to struggle with putting their lives back together following the apocalyptic landfall of Hurricane Harvey roughly 6 weeks ago, vulture investors are increasingly swooping in to exploit their misery with […]


Global Bond Rout Accelerates Even As Dollar Rally Fizzles

In a continuation of trading patterns observed over the previous two days, on Thursday the global bond rout deepened in the aftermath of the release of President Trump’s tax-cut plan, Janet Yellen’s recent hawkish comments and renewed optimism over the health of the U.S. economy. While global stocks were mostly mixed as investors tried to […]


Global Markets, US Futures Barely Move With All Eyes On The Fed

The day has finally arrived: today the Fed will officially announce the start of its balance sheet shrinkage (full preview here) while keeping rates unchanged, perhaps hiking again in December (market odds at 56%), while revising its economic projections and “dots”, most likely in a lower direction. And while we wait for the announcement and […]


Toys “R” Us Files Chapter 11: Second Largest US Retail Bankruptcy In History

Toys “R” Us Inc., the largest US “brick and mortar” toys retailer, filed for bankruptcy late on Monday night, as a result of a crushing post-LBO debt load and relentless competition from warehouse and online retailers, the “latest blow to a retail industry reeling from store closures, sluggish mall traffic and the gravitational pull of […]


Toys “R” Us To File Bankruptcy Any Minute; Bonds Crash

Over the weekend, we reported that vendors to iconic toy retailer Toys “R” Us had halted shipments over payment concerns and/or getting their receivables crammed down alongside other unsecured claims ahead of what appeared to be an imminent bankruptcy. Well, they were right, and according to Bloomberg a Chapter 11 filing by Toys “R” Us […]


Facing Imminent Bankruptcy, Toys “R” Us Enters Death Spiral

Last week’s news that Toys “R” Us has hired bankruptcy lawyers Kirkland & Ellis to help restructure its heavy debt load, came as a shock to the company’s creditors, who promptly sent its bond crashing from nearly par at the start of the month to 43 cents on the dollar as of Friday. As Bloomberg […]


Global Stocks Pull Back From All Time Highs On Poor Chinese Data; All Eyes On CPI

Global stocks backed off from all time highs, and S&P futures are unchanged ahead of the much anticipated US CPI report, which is expected to break a streak of five consecutive misses, while eyeing disappointing overnight Chinese economic data which missed across the board. European stocks and Asian markets were also modestly in the red, […]


Bank of America Stumbles On A $51 Trillion Problem

At the end of June, the Institute of International Finance delivered a troubling verdict: in a period of so-called “coordinated growth”, total global debt (including financial) hit a new all time high of $217 trillion in 2017, over 327% of global GDP, and up $50 trillion over the past decade. Commenting then, we said “so […]


World Stocks Pull Back Amid Rising Concerns Of A Market Correction

For the first day in three S&P futures have pulled back modestly from record levels as some investors cautioned that gains had gone too far, too fast, European shares are mixed while Asian equities extended their longest rising streak in almost two months as continued gains in Japan and India offset the losses in Hong […]


“This Is A Potentially Huge Deal” – RBC Warns Dollar Reversal Risks Grow

Since the plunge following North Korea's latest missile firing, the dollar has rocketed higher on the heels of a collapse in the JPY (BoJ?) and this morning on a dump in the EUR (after leaked jawboning from ECB) for the biggest 3 day swing since December.   Is this the start of a trend reversal […]


VIX Tumbles, S&P Futures, Global Stocks Rebound Sharply As Korea Fears Fade

The VIX tumbled by nearly 3 vols, down to 13.10 last, or over 18% lower and global stocks and S&P futures rebounded sharply on Monday as tensions over an imminent conflict with Pyongyang receded after U.S. officials played down the likelihood of a nuclear conflict with North Korea, recovering from fears of a U.S.-North Korea […]