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Emerging Market Junk Debt Issuance Surges To New Record As The “Search For Yield” Intensifies

It seems that the never-ending “thirst for yield” from the world’s massive pension funds, combined with the ever-present “cash on the sidelines” problem, is driving the creation of yet another global financial bubble in emerging market junk bonds.  Alas, as the FT points out today, the world’s largest fixed income investors can’t seem to get […]


CalPERS Calls The Top: Largest Public Pension Fund Mulls Dumping $50 Billion Of Stocks

Is the largest public pension fund in the United States getting ready to dump about $50 billion worth of stocks?  According to a new note from Bloomberg, CalPERS’ board is meeting for a workshop today in Sacramento to discuss asset allocations for the upcoming year which could include a doubling of the fund’s bond allocation […]


“How To Forecast Markets”: A Departing Top JPMorgan Strategist Reveals What He Learned After 30 Years

One of the most popular JPMorgan analysts, traders and commentators, Jan Loeys, head of global asset strategy and author of the weekly “The JPMorgan View” piece is moving on (to a different, non-client facing part of the company), and is using his last weekly address to JPM clients to recap the main lessons he has […]


Jack Bogle Slams Wall Street’s “Unrealistic” Earnings Guesses, Says Market Valuations “Rather High”

88-year-old investing icon John "Jack" Bogle, founder of the Vanguard Group, says that the market seems to be "fully valued," and suggests investors adjust their asset allocation. In an interview with The Street, Bogle said: "The valuations of stocks are, by my standards, rather high," adding that "my standards, however, are high." When considering stock […]


Hard Assets In An Age Of Negative Interest Rates

Authored by Marcia Christoff-Kurapova via The Mises Institute, Time is the soul of money, the long-view – its immortality. Hard assets are forever, even when destroyed by the cataclysms of history. It is the outlook that perpetuated the most competent and powerful aristocracies in continental Europe, well up through World War I and, in certain […]


A $1.5 Trillion “Quantamental” Market Opportunity

While the debate rages if retail investors have eased on their boycott of the stock market, making it increasingly difficult for institutional investors to dump their holdings of risk assets to Joe and Jane Sixpack even as active investors continue to suffer unprecedented redemptions amid a historic shift from active to low-cost, factor-driven passive management, […]


“How Much Further?”: Goldman Warns This Is The 5th Longest Streak Ever Without A 5% Correction

Goldman is becoming increasingly worried that a correction – and a sizable one at that – appears imminent. Two weeks after the investment bank announced that according to its Bear Market Risk Indicator the odds of a crash have risen to 67%… … on Monday morning, Goldman cross-asset strategist Ian Wright cautions in his latest […]


Two Key Indicators Show The S&P 500 Becoming The New “Cash”

Authored by Daniel Nevins via FFWiley.com, Pension plan administrators do it. Their actuaries and consultants do it. Professional endowment and foundation investors do it. Financial advisors do it. Private investors may or may not do it, but they probably should. Do what? All of these folks already are or should be asking themselves the following […]


Boomers Are Turning 71 – These 4 Charts Paint A Perfect Storm It Will Set Off For Investors

Authored by Stephen McBride via MauldinEconomics.com, Few investors understand the magnitude of the looming demographic crisis and its ramifications. The first Baby Boomers turned 70 last year. At the same time, the US fertility rate is at its lowest point since records began in 1909. This disastrous combination means by 2030, those aged 65 and […]


“This Is A Potentially Huge Deal” – RBC Warns Dollar Reversal Risks Grow

Since the plunge following North Korea's latest missile firing, the dollar has rocketed higher on the heels of a collapse in the JPY (BoJ?) and this morning on a dump in the EUR (after leaked jawboning from ECB) for the biggest 3 day swing since December.   Is this the start of a trend reversal […]


Funds Managing $1.1 Trillion Are Dumping Junk Bonds

Even before Ray Dalio doubled down on his warning that the US has become as dangerously fragmented as during the pre-World War II days of 1937, prompting him to “tactically reduce” risk, some of the biggest names on Wall Street were selling. Two weeks ago, T.Rowe Price made waves when it said that it had […]


Cryptocurrency Hedge Fund Returns 2,129% YTD

We’ll preface this post by saying we have never heard of the Alternative Money Fund – which “Specializes in Returning Freedom and Value” – and very well may never hear of it again, however it is notable for two things: i) it is a “hedge fund” invested entirely in cryptocurrencies and ii) it has allegedly […]


Lord Rothschild: “Share Prices Are At Unprecedented Levels, This Is Not A Time To Add Risk”

One year ago, the financial world was abuzz when the bond manager of what was once the world’s biggest bond fund had a dire prediction about how “all of this” will end (spoiler: not well). Gross: Global yields lowest in 500 years of recorded history. $10 trillion of neg. rate bonds. This is a supernova […]


This Is The Most Equity-Bullish Chart We’ve Seen Yet

How expensive are US equities versus their peers around the world? Compared to bonds? Commodities? Are there fundamental risks we can identify? In the following presentation, Cantillon Consulting's Sean Corrigan answers all of the above and details what opportunities for better asset allocation might lie ahead…   Howver, deep in the presentation is an intriguing […]