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WTI/RBOB Shrug At Bigger Than Expected Crude Draw

WTI/RBOB faded back from yesterday's Libya pipeline headline-driven exuberance ahead of tonight's API inventory data. A bigger than expected crude draw held WTI prices steady but RBOB faded very modestly after API showed a notable gasoline (and distillates) build.   API Crude -6mm (-3.75mm exp) Cushing -1.3mm (-590k exp) Gasoline +3.1mm Distillates +2.8mm Heading into […]

WTI/RBOB Algos Confused As Crude Draws, Gasoline Builds, & Production Jumps Again

WTI/RBOB held gains overnight following API's reported crude draw (despite the gasoline glut) but after DOE confirmed a 5th weekly crude draw and 6th weekly gasoline build, algos were confused with prices chaotic. Production hit a new record high. North Sea and Canadian crude supply disruptions are suppressing U.S. imports and encouraging exports. API Crude […]

Dow 25,000 In Sight As Tax Cuts Are “Priced In” One Last Time

Dow futures are up some 80 points this morning after early on Wednesday morning the Senate passed the Tax Reform bill in a party-line vote, and is now set to become law after a follow-up vote in the House and Trump’s signature some time on Wednesday afternoon. The good news is that the biggest political […]

WTI/RBOB Extend Gains After Bigger Than Expected Crude Draw

WTI/RBOB inched higher on the day ahead of tonight's API data and then knee-jerked higher as the data showed a much-bigger-than-expected 5.2mm crude draw.   API Crude -5.2mm (-440k exp) Cushing +70k Gasoline +2.001mm (+2.45mm exp) Distillates -2.85mm (+250k exp) A very mixed bag as the series of crude draws continues and gasoline builds… This […]

WTI/RBOB Steady Despite Huge Gasoline Build, New Crude Production Record

Despite last night's surprisingly large API-reported crude draw, WTI/RBOB prices were sliding in early trading but as the DOE data printed prices stabilized despite a smaller crude draw than API and a much bigger gasoline builds than expected. Production surged on the week to a new record high. Bloomberg's Mitch Martin noted that the Brent […]

Stocks Rebound From “Bama Shock”, All Eyes On Yellen’s Last Rate Hike

After an early slide last night following the stunning news that Doug Jones had defeated Republican Roy Moore in the Alabama special election, becoming the first Democratic senator from Alabama in a quarter century and reducing the GOP’s Senate majority to the absolute minimum 51-49, US equity futures have quickly rebounded and are once again […]

WTI/RBOB Higher After Surprisingly Large Crude Draw

WTI/RBOB tumbled today after fears about cracks in one of the world's most important oil pipelines faded. Prices were below last week's pre-API levels as hope was high that last week's big surprise product build was a fluke but once again we saw notable product builds, but prices popped higher as a 7.382mm crude draw […]

WTI/RBOB Extend Losses On Biggest Gasoline Build In 11 Months, Record Crude Production

Following last night's API-reported huge product inventory builds, bulls were hoping DOE would rescue WTI/RBOB prices but it did not as the dat confirmed a huge crude draw and even bigger product build (gasoline's biggest weekly build since January). Adding to the pain, US crude production rose to another new record. A gasoline build is […]

Asian Market Rout Goes Global On Tech, Tax And Government Shutdown Tremors

A selloff which started in Asia, driven by renewed liquidation of Chinese and Hong Kong tech stocks and accelerated by weaker metal prices which pushed the Shanghai Composite below a key support and to 4 month lows… … which sent the Nikkei to its worst day since March and the second worst day of the […]

WTI/RBOB Sink On Massive Product Inventory Builds

A relatively stable day in energy markets as many other markets turmoiled, but as tonight's data hit, both WTI/RBOB kneejerked lower after API showed massive product inventory builds (despite a big crude draw).   API Crude -5.48mm (-2.5mm exp) Cushing -1.95mm (-2.4mm exp) Gasoline +9.196mm – biggest build since Jan 2016 Distillates +4.259mm – biggest […]

Copper Crash And Yield Curve Carnage As Tech, Trannies, & TBTFs All Tumble

Today was a day in the upside-down: Banks underperformed Tech; High tax underperformed Low tax; Momo outperformed Value; Nasdaq outperformed S&P; and VIX down with stocks down…   While Nasdaq (green) outperformed on the day, and was bid at the open, Trannies (blue) underperformed; note that as Europe closed, everything rolled over….   Only Trannies […]

RBOB Fades On Surprise Product Build, New Record High Production

Last night's API-reported surprise crude build sparked selling that not even Russia/Saudi jawboning could rescue, but DOE data showed the exact opposite with a big crude draw and even bigger gasoline draw. Added to a new record high in US crude production and RBOB is fading and WTI is not rallying.   API Crude +1.82mm […]

WTI/RBOB Spike On OPEC Headlines After Bearish Inventory/Production Data

Update: WTI/RBOB was fading after DOE data but then Kuwait dropped the following meaningless headline: OPEC JMMC RECOMMENDS EXTENSION, DIDN'T FINALIZE DURATION. And the algos took over… *  *  * Last night's API-reported surprise crude build sparked selling that not even Russia/Saudi jawboning could rescue, but DOE data showed the exact opposite with a big […]

WTI Unable To Hold Gains Despite Russia, Saudi Jawboning

WTI Crude algos ran stos this morning to pre-API levels on the heels of Russian and Saudi comments, but those gains are fading fast as the machines run out of ammo. API's surprise crude build sparked overnight selling… But this morning's ramp after Saudi/Russia jawboning is fading fast. Russia seemed to confirm its agreement: *RUSSIA […]

US Futures, World Stocks, Bitcoin All Hit Record Highs

US equity futures continued their push higher overnight (ES +0.1%), and the VIX is 1.5% lower and back under 10, after yesterday’s blistering surge in US stocks which jumped 1%, the most since Sept. 11, following Powell’s deregulation promise, ahead of today’s 2nd estimate of U.S. Q3 GDP which is expected to be revised up. […]