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What’s Keeping The German Grand Coalition Talks Alive?

Authored by Mike Shedlock via www.themaven.net/mishtalk, After rejecting a Grand Coalition, SPD's Sigmar Gabriel seeks to keep the hopes alive despite little party support. Why? Background Heading into the last election, SPD failed to distinguish itself. Voters reacted appropriately, abandoning SPD, leading to its worst performance ever. When SPD initially declined the opportunity to form […]


German Antifa Group Posts Revenge “Hit List” Of 54 Police Officers

A "left-wing extremist" group in Germany associated with Antifa published a list of 54 police officers believed to have taken part in raids of suspected rioters protesting the G20 summit in Hamburg, with  the group calling for the public to 'dox' the officers by sending in their personal information. "We would be pleased about tips regarding […]


Merkel’s Last Stand – Article 7 For Poland

Authored by Tom Luongo, As she fights for her political life Soon-to-be-ex-Chancellor of Germany Angela Merkel will go down swinging against her stiffest political opponents in the European Union, the Poles. Merkel and French President Emmanual Macron publicly agreed to back Article 7 proceedings against Poland for refusing to comply with EU immigration quotas and […]


Germany Offers Migrants $3,500, Housing, & Healthcare To Leave Voluntarily

Authored by Jacob Bojesson via The Daily Caller, Germany is offering rejected asylum seekers money to voluntarily return home as the government gets ready to deport Syrian migrants next summer. The country’s interior ministry announced a scheme Saturday to give families up to 3,000 euros ($3,560) if they agree to leave. The program  – titled […]


Bill Blain: “Germany Is On Fire: How Long Until Bundesbank Demands Rate Hikes To Cool It?”

Blain’s Morning Porridge – November 27th 2017, submitted by Bill Blain of Mint Partners Germany – not solved and likely to prove an even larger problem.. “El castillo, le torre yo soy, le espada que guarda el caudal. Another massive shopping day – Cyber Monday. Let’s see if the declining footprint into US malls confirms […]


German Crisis Averted? SPD Ready To Negotiate With Merkel To End Political Deadlock

The Euro has jumped to a six week high following the latest record high print in the German IFO Business Climate index, which rose from 116.7 to 117.5 (exp. 116.6), but mostly as a result of what appears to be a breakthrough in the German political deadlock that some likened to “Merkel’s Brexit moment“, after […]


Merkel Tanks In German Polls As Critical Discussions Take Place With SPD

Angela’s Merkel’s ability to restore her power in Germany should be decided in the next few days, as talks take place with Martin Schultz’s SPD. In the meantime, Merkel’s ratings have unexpectedly “tanked” in the latest German polls. More than half of Germans believe she should not run for office in a poll conducted for […]


7 Reasons Why Stocks No Longer Care About Political Shocks, And 2 Why They Should

From Nicholas Colas of DataTrek Research Why do global equity markets ignore political shocks like Brexit, President Trump’s election or the news that Angela Merkel failed to form a government in Germany? There are plenty of good reasons, actually, which we review below. News that German Chancellor Angela Merkel failed to form a new government […]


Ignore Merkel And Brexit: According To Bill Blain, A New Threat Can Bring Europe Crashing Down

Blain’s Morning Porridge, Submitted by Bill Blain of Mint Partners Europe is like a 4D game of Jenga, and Germany is a very wobbly block – as are the banks Europe is an enormous 4 dimensional game of Jenga.  At the moment there are far too many blocks in play. Some of them are likely […]


Who’s Worse For The Environment: Merkel Or Trump?

Authored by Mike Shedlock via themaven.net/mishtalk, Who has a worse track record on the environment: President Trump or German Chancellor Angela Merkel? Let's investigate.  Trump Stance and Results On September 19, amid chatter that Trump might reverse his climate stance, CNBC reported Trump is still pulling out of Paris Agreement. One day ago the LA […]


Gold, Euro Slump As Merkel Admits “New Elections Are The Better Way”

EURUSD is testing overnight lows (and gold is tumbling) after German Chancellor Angela Merkel said she would prefer to go ahead with new federal elections rather than try to form a minority government.   Seeking her fourth term, Bloomberg reports that Merkel is “skeptical” about a minority government as it may not bring about necessary stability […]


Treasury-Bund Spread Surges To Critical Level

Bunds are bid relative to Treasuries this morning following the Merkel headlines, pushing the US-German yield spread to the critical 200bps level… Amid heavy volume selling in Treasury futures…   Which has pushed the US-German spread up to 200bps once again…   A key threshold since the election… Is that cheap enough to buy, or […]


Gold Drops To Key Technical Support After $2 Billion Purge

After surging above its 50-day moving-average on Friday, it appears someone is keen for that key technical level not to hold as they dumped almost $2 billion notional in seconds this morning, testing down to the 50DMA (but holding for now). 15,000 contracts dumped in under two minutes… but for now the 50DMA is holding… […]


“Merkel Will Have To Go”: Bill Blain On What’s Next For The Germans

“When you turn an election into a three-ring circus, there is the possibility the dancing bear will win..” After Sunday night’s shocking failure by Merkel to from a government (triggered by the Free Democrats walking out due to irreconcilable differences on refugee policy, energy policy and tax policy) the FT was quick to conclude that […]


What German Political Turmoil? Global Markets BTFD, Don’t Look Back

US index futures are unchanged, having recovered virtually all overnight session losses alongside the EURUSD following Merkel’s failure to form a government, while European shares rise despite Angela Merkel’s failure to form a new government. In the span of just hours, the goalseeked “hot take” consensus was that Germany’s collapsed coalition talks aren’t expected be […]