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“Are Central Bankers About To Lose Control?” The WSJ Asks And Citi Answers

In an article published by the WSJ today, which was originally titled “Are Central Bankers About to Lose Control?” but after some shoulder taps was renamed to the far more neutral “Can Central Banks Keep Control of Interest Rates?” author Jon Sindreu looks at the current Goldilocks state of the market, in which global growth […]


How To Survive Today’s Bubbly Market

Authored by James Rickards via Bonner & Partners, To paraphrase one of the great gems of Wall Street wisdom, “Nothing infuriates a man more than the sight of other people making money.” That’s a pretty good description of what happens during the late stage of a stock market bubble. The bubble participants are making money […]


If Bitcoin Is A Bubble…

Authored by Erik Norland via CMEGroup.com, Our earlier articles on bitcoin discuss the crypto asset as a currency and a commodity. Both papers focused on the consequences of bitcoin’s defining feature: the asymptotic supply limit of 21 million coins. This gives it an unusual juxtaposition of demand uncertainty and supply certainty (as well as inelasticity). […]


The Fed is Arranging Deck Chairs on the Titanic (the Iceberg Comes in 2018).

The Fed concludes its final FOMC meeting of the year today. The entire financial world expects the Fed to raise rates a final time. This will mark the fifth rate hike since December 2015, and the fourth of the last 12 months. Throughout this time period, the Fed has routinely stated that it is confused […]


The 30-Years Bubble – Why America Ain’t That Rich

Authored by David Stockman via Contra Corner, The entire financial and economic narrative in today's Bubble Finance world is virtually context- and history-free; it's all about the short-term deltas and therefore exceedingly misleading and dangerous. So when a big trend or condition is negative and unsustainable, you generally can't even get a glimpse of it from the so-called "high-frequency" weekly, monthly and […]


Finally, An Honest Inflation Index – Guess What It Shows

Authored by John Rubino via DollarCollapse.com, Central bankers keep lamenting the fact that record low interest rates and record high currency creation haven’t generated enough inflation (because remember, for these guys inflation is a good thing rather than a dangerous disease). To which the sound money community keeps responding, “You’re looking in the wrong place! […]


Bitcoin Tops $13,000 – Bigger Than Citigroup

For the first time in history, the price of Bitcoin has surpassed $13,000 (rising from $12,000 in less than a day).   For those keeping track, this is how long it has taken the cryptocurrency to cross the key psychological levels: $0000 – $1000: 1789 days $1000- $2000: 1271 days $2000- $3000: 23 days $3000- […]


An Angry Rudy Havenstein Lashes Out: “No, The Fed Is Not Populist”

Submitted by Rudy Havenstein After years of seeing terrible market news and commentary, I’m pretty jaded, but when I saw the recent Marketwatch op-ed, “Janet Yellen’s true legacy is her focus on middle-class wages” (by Tim Mullaney), I thought such nonsense needed a reponse that went beyond 280 characters. (Half of Mullaney’s article is an […]


The Mean-Reverting History Of Profit Growth

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, As the markets push once again into record territory the question of valuations becomes ever more important.  While valuations are a poor timing tool in the short term for investors, in the long run, valuation levels have everything to do with future returns. Yesterday, Doug Kass penned an interesting […]


Watch Live: Senate Banking Committee ‘Grills’ Trump’s Fed Chair Nominee Jerome Powell

Just two weeks after President Donald Trump announced that Fed Governor Jerome “Jay” Powell would be his pick to succeed Janet Yellen as chairman of the Federal Reserve, he is appearing today before the Senate Banking committee in a confirmation hearing that’s viewed as a virtual certainty. The hearing begins at 10 am ET. Watch […]


The Yellen Put – Friend Or Foe?

Authored by Chris Whalen via The Institutional Risk Analyst, The term “Greenspan Put” was coined after the stock market crash of 1987 and the subsequent bailout of Long Term Capital Management in 1998. The Fed under Chairman Alan Greenspan lowered interest rates following the fabled event of default and life continued.  The idea of the Greenspan […]


The Mother Of All Irrational Exuberance

Authored by David Stockman via Contra Corner blog, You could almost understand the irrational exuberance of 1999-2000. That's because everything was seemingly coming up roses, meaning that cap rates arguably had rational room to rise. But eventually the mania lost all touch with reality; it succumbed to an upwelling of madness that at length made even Alan Greenspan look […]


David Stockman Exposes “The Illusion Of Growth”

Authored by David Stockman via The Daily Reckoning, The Wall Street Journal published a superb example of hopium recently in a sunny-side-up story entitled “U. S. Manufacturing Rides Rising Tide, Buoyed by Global Growth, Optimism.” Indeed, this lazy cheerleading excuse for journalism captured the sum and substance of why the punters keep buying the dips […]


“Very Close To Irrational Exuberance”: Asian Equities Break Above All-Time High As Hang Seng Clears 30,000

Following the new all-time high in US equities, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index broke through its November 2007 peak to make an all-time high in Wednesday’s trading session. This was something we noted could happen yesterday in “SocGen: Asian Equities Are So Awesome, A China Minsky Moment Is ‘Manageable”. The dollar weakened slightly after outgoing […]


Goldman Bets On “Rational Exuberance”: Unveils Its S&P Price Targets, Sees Bull Market Lasting Until 2020

Just days after Barclays released its 2018 equity outlook with the title “Rational Exuberance”… … Goldman’s David Kostin decided that imitation is the sincerest form of flattery and in presenting his S&P price target* for 2018 (and 2019 and 2020), and has named his preview report the same: We footnoted price target, because once again […]